


Cuddles1997-1999
In the scenario that the massive builds this past five weeks were due to mess-ups with the hurricanes and import data and the bull run continues as before. This also requires republicans to win the house next week and eia -0.10% to improve dramatically.
Just doing more feeds like this to see if they track well. Assumes republican victory. The first week or so of the idea looks too dirty to pay attention to.
A slightly longer version of what I'm looking for if this trade war is over. It's an exact copy of the past leg up scrunched down to look like H+S which tend to appear when major trend-lines break and then start rallying back to the previous diagonal trend.
Trading view keeps publishing my trendlines skewed... however. I noticed that the angle of the predominate trends supports is twice that of its resistances. Wedges always have false breakouts and I kind of guess that could mean the 2542 support because 2942 was the top. First move could be part of a 5 wave elliot upwards. dunno
I've been trying to correlate what I assume will be a touch of 2700 on the s&p (a small downside from 2740 now) and finding a bottom for an ABC. This is what I'm seeing. My wave 3 looks odd to some people, as many see it being 3 and 4 and 5, but since the flag did not ever make a test of a previous resistance I just consider it a larger 3. Will see! 67 is a very...
I've been stubborn in my hypothesis that people will "sell the rally" instead of "buying the dip." I see the top of that rally around the historical yearly average of 8% ytd gains which is at 2890. I also looked at most of the previous recessions and they all had a first move down before retracing 78% of that move before heavy selling into the December earnings....
I've been reading Ray Dalio's book and out of the worlds past 26 short term debt bubbles they all seem to settle around 50% loss. If one marks this like an ABC and 50% is the 1.6 final extension of the 6 wave that conveniently places the low of the night trump was elected as point A! Of course markets that lose that much value tend to get sold of more than...
just weekly continuation of poor fundamentals, still surprised oil didn't close lower. i think 71.71 is the top for now. basically stop over 72
Bonds yield are getting a little out of hand and there are both midterms and an uncertain pro business trump re election to scew in that favor. More importantly as interest rates rise, the US is extremely vulnerable because of how much leveraged debt it has accumulated due to free money. There may also be a more impactful trade war and I believe the impacts of...
Lots of long term resistance + trump attempting to keep oil low. Dollar strengthening and global growth to cool due to debt being overextended and a trade war. Am I a bad person for not charting on CL1! ? Yes.
Year was up 10% and i believe will bottom out at half that of 5% around 2800 after the elections. Sell the 2/3 rally at 2915 and buy 2800 for 15% ytd gains in decombre. This will also look like a head and shoulders i guess.
Looking like a failed H+S. I use fib so looking for target of .618 retrace for this earnings report. I've been reading up at MU has a ton of debt that it will have trouble paying off as interest rates going up, they definitely won't be able to do stock buybacks. If things get really bad then 16... but for right now kinda just looking like the platform support of...
don't feel like explaining too much. 27.17 LOD tomorrow Friday 8/14. 27.17 to 30.66 30.66 to 25. 25 to some retrace... 27? should be trending though so nothing major. after. Lots of sideways before "oversold buy ins start, target of 40 means last buy in point 2/3 of way to stop 15.87... last earnings report price.