upside potential exists. short stop zone below double bottom. See my monthly chart for longer term trade analysis
Inverted Head and Shoulders bottoming pattern is appearing. All squatches are masters of hiding and often these sightings are hoaxes. If this sighting is true we are catching the inverted right shoulder at a good time to maximize profits with limited risk. Long term trade analysis is shown in my other Monthly chart. Here we are looking at the start of wave...
All chart ideas are not proven until played out. That being said here is a long term technical analysis with current price at the .50 retracement level formed by the Dec. 2016 low and the Jan. 2018 high. This is the blue subwave x of the primary blue wave (X). Can price go below this .50 level? YES! Therefore a STOP location below the previous swing low is...
Here are a couple of bullish scenarios. Dark red is alternative bullish strategy. Blue primary count suggests some close targets. Extreme long term pattern and targets also suggested showing wave (C) for investors.
Monthly chart (prior) has shown long term short trend. rebound from Brexit election has faded and now looks like wave 1 and 2 (see red) are complete. Alt count would suggest (dark red) wave x will finish and wave Z may go higher so set stop above the .382 zone just in case.
Alt count also suggests a downward long term move. Been a year of rebounding and sidelined waiting. Now Main count wave 5 (blue) has just started with sub wave I and a retrace of 38.2% for wave II. (Look at a smaller time frame will clearly show that sub move better.) Long term target is 1 year out. R.R. at this location very good with a stop above the...
Squatch watch is on. Wave B of 4 is at .88 retracement. R.R. here pretty good but watch for expanded or running flats.
Re-label, re-label, you know the drill. This shows a bullish scenario because the low of 11-8 was breached today. This price move knocked out the stops of longs. Pin bar suggests a possible long entry with a relatively short stop below 1.324810 9-16 high. First Target a favorite fib. location near (B) for a 5X to 1 risk reward ratio. Mind that the trend...
There is always an alternative count and now we have either a completed retrace to the 50% fib. level (in pink) or the highly expected upward move to blue trend line to make a nice corrective channel. Ending diagonal (pink)must stop at 1.3691 to keep pattern validated because wave 3 must not be shortest wave for this pattern. Likely scenario is Black wave count...
Looks like the all clear sound for the dollar? HMMM let's look back at history and see. Expect a slight pullback perhaps here at .618 fib. Maybe a few months before the Impulse continues. Lot's of upside to come to channel or higher.
flat correction move to wave 4 good for several hundred pips
Inverted Head and Shoulders starting to show. Looking to buy upward move to wave 4
A stop above descending trend line grey Good risk reward ratio on this investment trade. Enter short the pop to blue neck line on bear candle.
OIL AND USDCAD ARE SUPPOSE TO TRADE CONTRARIAN. NOT DONE FOR 6 MONTHS. EXPECTED FED RATE HIKES (4) FOR 2016. ACTUAL (0)! 600 PIPS ABOVE LOW. WHAT DOES THE MARKET KNOW? OIL ROSE BY 90% (26 TO 50) WHEN NEWS SAID "WORLD GLUT" OPEC ATTEMPTING TO STABILIZE OIL PRICES NOW.
The prior Monthly and 15 minute charts showed reason for short bias. This might help the mid term plan. Shorting this temporary down turn could turn into a longer term downtrend if an Expanded Flat. If analysis is wrong even more downside is possible. Upside to 50% retrace would be target wave C to (x) if analysis is correct then a big move down! Using the 13...
The weekly bar 11-11-16 showed indecision. (Spinning Top) This monthly chart suggests staying short below 13 m.a. and channel. X may have upside see shorter time frame chart If monthly candle close breaks above 13 m.a. then wait and ENTER SHORT X to C {B} target 50's below wave A. Stop placed to your risk management +- 70 pips above 13 m.a. OR ENTER LONG to 34...
Well I got it wrong in the last chart but without any pain. More upside likely in wave 5. The structure of the diagonal is LEADING not ENDING as I previously labeled on last chart. It formed wave A or wave 1. If wave A, then first target is 100% length of wave A, then the 50% retrace of entire bearish move from the top. Strength coming from possible Fed hike...