The recent price action on the S&P 500 has been very interesting. While the long run outlook for this index is up, the recent price action tells a different story. The S&P 500 experienced an excellent bull run from April 2020 to December 2021. The year 2022 was shaky with huge whipsaws at just about every other month. 2023 looks like we might be getting some...
EURJPY has been trading in a range between 157.139 and 159.336 since early August. Earlier this week, price finally broke below the lower range boundary and it looks like price will remain below it. I currently have a bearish sentiment. Although price may take a pause post-breakout, I anticipate continuation to the downside will remain likely as this reversal is underway.
Price bottomed out mid-September and has been trading in a consolidation since August. After the initial break in the beginning of October, price entered another range (small pullback). I'm currently seeing an upside breakout coming out of an accumulation. This is an indication that there is a good swing trade opportunity here.
Price made the original high on September 27th. A few days later, a retest of the high occurred on October 3rd. After today's New York close, price continues to push to the downside. As long as price holds below the labelled neckline at 0.91492, I believe we can expect a bearish outlook.
The euro seems to be bearish against a basket of other major pairs. As price reverses from mid-August highs, we've seen two consolidation ranges. Price is currently in the process of breaking out of the lower range boundary of the second consolidation. I expect momentum to pick up.
Quick update on the CHFJPY pair that I've been watching for the past while. the reversal is underway. After a quick consolidation, this pair continues to selloff. There's a swing trade opportunity underway as price is breaking the lower boundary of this daily range.
EURSGD started consolidating at the beginning of September and then broke below this range 14 days later. Price retraced back to the lower boundary of the previous range and is currently holding below. This is a good indication that selling pressure remains strong. As long as price is holding below this range, a swing trade potential is possible.
FOREXCOM:AUDSGD has been trading in a range since mid-August. Price not only broke above the upper range boundary but it also remained closed above it in today's session close. As long as price remains above this breakout level at 0.8765, a structural reversal is underway. Since this breakout move and how it closed off, I remain bullish with an upwards...
FOREXCOM:GBPJPY has been in an uptrend since April of this year. Price stabilized after hitting the 186.547 highs in late August. I plotted a daily range based on how price traded over the past month. Today's session close marks a clear indication that price is drifting to the downside. Structurally speaking, I am directionally bearish. If price holds below the...
In my previously published idea, I expressed by bearish opinion on $FOREXCOM:CHFJPY. Looking intraday at the 4-hour timeframe, my bearish sentiment has weakened. The current 164.5 lower boundary maintains an unclean hold. However, this latest price breach lower was rather weak. After price crossed below this level, it quickly traded above it within the next...
I continue to focus on structural moves on higher timeframes. This is another setup I identified, and here's a breakdown of how I derived my downside bias. FOREXCOM:CHFJPY has been in an uptrend since January 2023. It topped out on August 21st of this year. Price retests the high and fails to break higher. Just a day after price retests the daily high,...
Several Australia dollar pairs seem to have a daily reversal underway. Another pair, FOREXCOM:AUDCAD , recently saw a breakout as well. Price traded to as low as 0.8655 and then formed an upper range boundary at 0.8765. Earlier today, price breached this upper range boundary and managed to above it. Given this clean level breach and hold, I expect further upside ahead.
Similar to my EURAUD post, I see downside potential in the EURNZD pair as well. I plotted upper and lower boundaries of this daily range based on last week's prices. Earlier today, price sold off, crossing back below the 1.88293 lower level. Not only is this signalling that price is unable to hold back within the range, the bearish candle is also an engulfing...
Recently, I started focusing on structural moves off of higher timeframes. This signal on FOREXCOM:EURAUD looks great to me. Price traded in the range from 1.6811 to 1.7017. After a small pullback, today's 5 PM EST close indicates that price is unable to hold above the lower level. Given the runup that this pair has experienced, I expect greater downside payout...
The dollar index bottomed up, hitting February's low and failing to breach further. Across the board on all pairs, the Japanese yen is appearing very bearish. Over on USDJPY, there's a very clean horizontal channel breakout. This is utilizing a modified Darvas box system to swing continuation breakouts.
GBP double-topped and now is breaking below a daily neckline. 1.2381 is a key level. If price closes lower over the next day, I believe further downside is highly likely.
0.6922 is a key level I'm watching right now. CADCHF has been in a massive range since December 2022. Since then, price has failed to breach new lows. Our lower levels are moving higher and higher, which is a good indication that there is very little compelling selling pressure. As price testing the 0.6922 level, a strong breach above this level will be an...
Price sold off and bottomed out in December of last year. We're now seeing a reversal and a relative low being held supported. 1.088 is a key level I'm watching. If price is able to hold above this level, I see strong upside potential.