Finchcliffe

Finchcliffe Updated 

We can see CADJPY rejected off the ascending channel and horizontal resistance confluence. I think we'll retest following a bounce off the lower boundary, especially seeing how oil is doing and today's CAD data. I'm really mindful of the end of week BoJ news as I think this could cause some reversals based on recent BoJ fundamentals and historic moves to protect...

Finchcliffe Updated 

We can see that GBPNZD has broken below the mid-point of the rising channel. Looking for sells going into the BoE rate decision this week, with NZD generally strengthening and GBP generally weakening. Depending on what happens on Thursday we we'll see either a break of a bounce off this point. I'm targeting 2.072 initially, where I see confluence of the rising...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Fundamentally I got Aussie strength on the horizon, whilst the EU is all over the place. I'm seeing a big fall coming, with the EU basically stagflating and AUD being buoyed by Chinese recovery, gold price increases etc. Even though we've seen positive data for the Euro this week, the effect on the FX has been negligible. Can't see the Euro doing much more than...

Finchcliffe

Expecting USD weakness this week, and continued CAD strength due to Oil and good fundamentals. Not much else to say here, great RR on this move if it comes off!

Finchcliffe Updated 

We can see that GBPAUD has broken the weekly rising trendline with gusto at the end of last week. We have a small pinbar close on Friday which suggests a retracement back up to retest. I'm expecting strength to build up for the AUD with the positive signs coming out of China, we can see it is recovering across most crosses, and sterling weakening. BoE decision...

Finchcliffe Updated 

I'm expecting continued Aussie strength as the market expects China recovery is in progress. BoJ interest rate and minutes will be big news on Friday, but before then I expect to see a continuation up within the current rising channel, breaking and retest initial support around 95.6 to rise to test the 96.6 support. We're heading into very choppy waters now, and...

Finchcliffe Updated 

In my opinion GBP is building up for a big fall this year, and it has to start with a lower high. Oil prices are rising, and as much as the FED don't want this, it's happening, and this should be good for CAD. I can see a rising wedge pattern, we can see spinning tops forming and it looks like we're running out of steam, I believe we'll initially fall back to...

Finchcliffe

In my view we're getting to the end of Gold's sell-off, testing the weekly support, testing the daily descending fall line, coming to the end of a falling wedge. We're oversold on the lower timeframes, what's not to like about this buying opportunity! DXY is hanging on in there, with CPI tomorrow, like the news on Friday, I still don't expect DXY to break the...

Finchcliffe Updated 

I'm expecting full on GBP weakness over the coming weeks, regardless of what happens with the dollar. We've broken below the months of ascending trendline and so far failed to break back above, we have a beautiful bearish engulfing candle on the 4hr close from Friday. I get this pair wrong a lot (because I live in the UK and can see a car crash happening in slow...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Aussie is performing really badly and though CAD suffered on Friday due to the unemployment data, I think it will show strength due to the rising price of oil (which looks set to continue). We're in a bearish downtrend that I can't see stopping soon, so looking for shorts around 0.882 - 0.885.

Finchcliffe Updated 

In my recent ideas I’ve noted JPY strength resuming and this is evident in the performance last week, and we can see this when looking at the JPYWCU chart which is like DXY for the Yen. We can see what could be a higher low forming and a fourth retest of the resistance around 0.005350 which could break. We’ve seen out-performance of the Yen against many...

Finchcliffe

Even writing this I’m thinking it could be a crazy idea with USD strength in play, but let’s see... I think we’ll see some early weakness from the USD before a momentum shift that will see DXY reverse up (maybe by end of the week). I think the EURO is still looking strong, bouncing back from the falling following the ECB rate hike pause. ECB are hawkish around...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Gold, this is what I'm thinking for this week and longer term: On the LTF (4HR) I think we'll fall at the start of the week due to: DXY strength Reducing momentum (MACD) Rejection at 1963.5 Localised LHLL's EMA7 and EMA20 crossing below EMA50 If I see a suitable entry around the current level then I'll be in, looking for a first TP around 1940 and...

Finchcliffe Updated 

I never trade DXY but I always have a tab open, I find this really useful when trading many pairs. My current take on the Fed and the US economy is: They were the first to respond to growing inflation Their tightening has led to interest rates of 5.5% (only matched by BNZ) They've hawkishly indicated more hike(s) Consumer confidence numbers this week...

Finchcliffe Updated 

I believe we're going to start seeing a shift in sentiment for the JPY, there were indications last week, we broke a rising trendline, we've retraced and retesting now. Fundamentally the Japanese economy looks stronger, despite the loose monetary policy. We saw in June 2022 that BoJ can chuck curve balls in too, I'm not necessarily expecting that but if it...

Finchcliffe Updated 

I'm very bearish in AUD, fundamentally I think there's a chance we'll see another pause from the BoA this week. I see a strong US and though this may not play out in DXY, against weaker pairs the USD should show its current strength. Even before that, with short term USD strength and a weakening Australian Dollar I think we'll break through resistance and out of...

Finchcliffe Updated 

Fundamentally seeing really weak EUR this week, and JPY getting stronger. We've just seen a break of the rising trendline and retest at the end of the week. This is going down, 1:4 RR

Finchcliffe Updated 

I never trade DXY but I always have a tab open, I find this really useful when trading many pairs. My current take on the Fed and the US economy is: They were the first to respond to growing inflation Their tightening has led to interest rates of 5.5% (only matched by BNZ) They've hawkishly indicated more hike(s) Consumer confidence numbers this week...