


Fomenka
not a trade yet. Simply an observation.
So hard to stay in shorts after such moves. Nevertheless the price did not violate my previous count but completed it. Fundamentals support strong dollar and the last abrupt move can form right shoulder of the H&S pattern. RSI at lower time frames also indicate exhaustion of the move up and on higher time frames more leeway to the downside. Waiting and learning.
Betting small just testing my technical skills. On 4H there is a pinbar followed by consolidation, EW indicates a bounce to complete abc correction, RSI shows divergence on 30min
Short-term bounce confirmed by RSI, EW count and series of pin bars
am not sure about this. Harami is something new for me. But overall I expect strengthening of dollar.
I remain bearish about EURUSD despite it broke long standing resistance formed by two trendlines in the top of the chart. The pattern of price advance looks corrective in the shape of ending diagonals. Usually ending diagonals happen in the terminal move (wave 5 or C) followed by abrupt decline. However before price reverses it is possible that we see a brief spike.
did not put much effort in labeling the wave count properly. Nevertheless I see 3 fractals in DXY price movement. I do not remember exactly where I learned it but it feels like the index is set to skyrocket. On daily chart the index is supported with 200MA which may provide hard surface to take off.
fractals usually happen in the beginning of a trend. In this case it means up. On daily chart the price is resting on 200MA
inside bar against the level of support, no obvious divergence in RSI (allows for a new high), trending in the channel. ElliottWave count is unclear for me. Pure price action pattern. EUR and GBP are about to go down according to my estimations and DXY to go up which also supports the case.
small double bottom + RSI divergence and overall expectation of sideways movement in 4rth wave between indicated resistance and support levels
trend down, inside bars on 4H, bouncing off the resistance level, consolidation in the shape of a flag and Elliottwave count. No resistance yet on RSI.
based on EW shape (4rth wave) in triangle, RSI which does not show divergence yet and level of support has not been reached yet.