Gold closed down 3.7 points on Thursday, falling through support levels at the 7 day moving average and the inner Bollinger Band. While it's not clear if this is going to be a long or short lived downward correction, I am banking on price hitting the 21 day moving average at 1232.90. As I've said before, when price breaks through the 7 day moving average, the is a...
Gold closed down 2 points on Wednesday, once again finding support at the confluence of moving averages and the inner Bollinger Band. While not moving lower than support, price stayed contained within Monday's candle and is setting up for a potential 'Rising Three Methods' pattern. This pattern starts with a long green body that is followed by three small body...
Gold closed up 2 points on Tuesday even as the US Dollar gained ground fueled by strong consumer data. After the news came out, the precious metal slowly slid down from a high of 1258.4 to the low of 1247. But there it met support from both the 7 and 8 day moving averages and the inner 1.0 Std Dev Bollinger Band. I am still waiting for the tag of the upper...
Gold moved higher today, gaining 10.2 point to close at 1255.7. After penetrating the middle Bollinger Band @ 1255.4 to hit a daily high of 1261, price closed just underneath that middle Bollinger Band. I am still expecting a tag of the outer Bollinger Band at 1266.10, which is my first profit target on this bull trade that started with an entry at 1220. All...
On Friday, Gold spiked up above 1250 but then sold off as the day drew to a close, to close at 1243.3. On the week, Gold was up 14.3 points. All indicators are bullish and, Friday's Heikin-Ashi Doji aside, I am looking for price to at least tag the 1.5 Bollinger Band or higher. Reversing now without even a tag of that 1.5 Bollinger Band would be unusual. So until...
One of my favorite uses of Bollinger Bands is to participate in what I call a 'Coast to Coast' trade. This is when price breaks from one of the outside Bollinger Bands and then reverses and moves towards the opposite Bollinger Band. Along the way to completing the opposite tag, price will often react off the 21 day moving average. You can clearly see that on the...
Gold dipped lower in the overnight session but then rebounded off the 7 day moving average. Price is now at the top of the weekly highs and looking to move above 1250. I've added a second haDelta indicator which is set to track the weekly Heikin-Ashi candles. Now both the daily and weekly are aligned in blue. This is a great way to stay in the trade and to filter...
Gold traded down 3.6 points on Thursday and while it was a down candle, the bull move is still supported by a green Heikin-Ashi candle. It would also be unusual for price to not move past the inner Bollinger Band. As you can see on the Heikin-Ashi version of the chart, the uptrend still appears to be strong; The weekly chart below shows a possible transition to a...
Natural Gas today stayed range bound, unable to break the 3.087 price. That price is also at the middle Bollinger Band. Support for the day is provided by the 7 day moving average, the purple crosses on the chart. There are some signs that price wants to go higher. The Heikin Ashi Delta indicator is blue, signaling an upward move. And usually you would expect a...
On Wednesday, Gold continued to climb higher, extending its rally for a 6th straight day. On today's chart, I've put back my triple Bollinger Band setup so we can get a better idea on what price is doing. We are currently at the inner Band, which is set to 1.0 Standard Deviation from the 21 day moving average. It looks pretty certain that gold wants to move to the...
Gold closed higher today, up 12.3 points. In the first big push above the 21 day moving average, gold had started the day back under the 21 day moving average but didn't fall as far as the 6 day moving average before springing back up. The next target is up at 1269 where the upper Bollinger Band and the 200 day moving average are waiting.
Natural Gas reversed direction today and closed above the 6 and 8 day moving averages. In a statistical anomaly, and sharp reversal, price did not touch the 21 day moving average. I closed my short trade for a small loss and I am now neutral. Even though the new Heikin Ashi Delta indicator has turned blue, there is resistance directly above in the form of the the...
Gold closed up 5 points on Monday to end the day at 1234 which is above the 21 day moving average which now sits at 1228.60. Today I'd like to introduce my new chart layout which now includes a Heikin-Ashi Delta indicator which was originally developed by Mr. Dan Valcu. Based on Heikin-Ashi candles, there are 3 main components to the indicator. The first and...
Natural Gas continued to move lower and through the Ichimoku Cloud. Next stop looks like the 21 day moving average, the gold line in the middle of the cloud. Remember, hitting the 21 day moving average after a breach of the 8 day moving average, is a high statistical probability. Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Gold closed 6.6 points higher in the first full day of trading after the Fed announced a new interest rate hike. Price closed above many of the moving averages, including the 6, 8 50 and 100. It also closed above the 21 week moving average. In addition, as I called out yesterday, price did tag the 21 day moving average as was expected after the close above the 6...
The Fed today announced an increase in the Fed rate. This was not a surprise. What was surprising is the Gold rally that followed. In fact, Gold blasted through all resistance levels, including the 6 and 8 day moving averages, the 50 day moving average and the 21 weekly moving average. The Heikin-Ashi chart also shows a dramatic change of direction (see...
Natural Gas fell today in trading to end the day under the 6 day moving average. This could be the first sign that the bull move over the last 2 weeks is over. With price closing right at the 8 day moving average and the top of the Ichimoku Cloud, we also had the first red Heikin-Ashi candle in 9 days. My strategy calls for waiting for a close under the 8 day...
As the United States and the rest of the world wait to hear if the Fed will raise interest rates tomorrow at 2:00 pm EST, Gold continued moving sideways right at the 1200 price level. Price did remain under the 6 day moving average and under all other significant moving averages as I have been pointing out this last week. In addition, we have now finished our 10th...