JHartCharts

JHartCharts

Crypto and risk assets are hanging in there, having found near-term (daily timeframe) supportive levels. Markets are trying to decide whether the next swing will be up - challenging ATHs - or down. Longer-term (monthly, weekly) charts, suggest that additional downside is possible. There's no shortage of risk-off fundamental drivers, any of which could serve as the...

JHartCharts

Quick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If...

JHartCharts Updated 

While the decline in copper persists, @HG is nearing areas of previous demand on intermediate-term timeframes. Specficially, we will be watching the industrial metal's action between the prices of 4.1130-4.0605 (with hypothetical stop lower @ 4.0250). Given the current momentum and potential add'l downside per larger timeframes, we recommend watching for micro-TF...

JHartCharts Updated 

Quick idea here as we look to get back in a groove with analysis/posts after a very light October. Not going to include a lot of elaboration, but we're looking to take advantage of a swing short (price depending) via a low timeframe (5-minute) RTY supply zone (defining candles not pictured here since sub-15-minute charts cannot be posted). If price approaches the...

JHartCharts Updated 

Considering a trend continuation long in NG here. Per the attached charts (also using futures for zoning), we've had a decent pullback and are nearing intermediate-term (daily) demand. Using the futures chart, there are multiple 15-minute demand zones stacked 3.058-3.006. So, if we penetrate that zone (flirting with it now), look for micro timeframe reversal cues....

JHartCharts Updated 

Not a market we trade super often, but there has obviously been a LOT of opportunity in natural gas as of late. After a long period of accumulation, NG has finally broken out to the upside. We are looking for potential trend continuation longs. Ideally, we would like to enter this trade around the ~3.00 level (roughly coincides with Anchored VWAP +...

JHartCharts

For this trade to be in play, Bitcoin still needs to drop about $2,000. That said, we hope BTC eventually trades down below 25K. This setup is considered a “bear trap” because traditional support/resistance traders are likely to be watching/sell a break below the 24756 low which printed on 6/14. Despite what traditional technical analysis suggests, making a...

JHartCharts Updated 

While it's unclear whether crude, which has experienced large moves recently on account of the developing conflict between Israel-Hamas, wants to trade higher or lower over the longer-term, we’re looking to take near-term longs after filling the downside futures gap formed 10/6. We’re only showing down to a 30-minute chart here, but there are some smaller...

JHartCharts

Quick take/analysis, but consider scooping some low-risk crude contracts here (break above 84.84). Better demand zones are lower, but we've had a sizable downdraft into buy areas + are testing a key support/resistance area (~84-85), so those traders may be at our backs. The US dollar has finally taken a pause at the supply zone we ID’d in posts from earlier this...

JHartCharts Updated 

Possible volatility short/equities long shaping up. Still a lot of downside momentum/catching a bit of a falling knife + we'd rather see the NQ fill its gap south of 14400, but it could be time to start thinking about index longs given the levels both stocks and vol are approaching. Given that the Nasdaq still has further to fall before completing its gap fill,...

JHartCharts

Very incomplete analysis here, but looking for confirmation of reversal on low timeframe charts. Additional zone lower, so keep that in mind, but these levels haven't been seen in quite some time and there was an imbalance favoring buyers last time we were here, so consider a buy despite very negative headlines, recent USD strength, etc. Stepping in front of...

JHartCharts

Given USD strength and the sustained pressure of ever-increasing US interest rates, gold has been taking it on the chin. However, we’re getting into buy levels/demand where it may be poised for a near-term recovery. Keep tabs on gold (spot, futures, GLD), but if you see signs of accumulation/trend reversal (use small timeframe charts), consider climbing aboard....

JHartCharts Updated 

While wariness remains re: larger timeframe structure for US equities (+ continued weakness in US gov’t bonds, USD strength), we are stalking near/intermediate-term longs via downside futures gaps in both the ES and NQ. The YM and, to a lesser extent RTY, are also approaching possible buy zones, thus bolstering this trade’s attractiveness. While the primary...

JHartCharts Updated 

Quick take here before signing off. We’re already seeing a buy side reaction in US equity indexes as the ES (S&P 500) came very close to filling its downside futures gap. We captured the S&P 500 idea in a post several hours ago (). If equities retest lower, which we believe they’re likely to, the NQ has a couple solid demand/buy zones (green lines) not too far...

JHartCharts Updated 

The attractiveness of this idea is rather dependent on how prices act between current price (1900) and ~1885, the upper demand zone’s (green lines) “aggressive” entry. If new supply/resistance forms directly ahead of buy levels, the trade may be scrubbed because of dissatisfactory risk-reward. Something to keep in mind… That said, we are confident that gold will...

JHartCharts Updated 

Looking to play tech for a bounce here. Demand Zone is sourced from 60-minute chart within the context of longer-term timeframes. As overarching market structure is somewhat of a concern, look to harvest short-term profits quickly and leave runners for intermediate-term swing long if able. Safety first!