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since Sep 3, 2020
chartpattern
fundamental
macro
market
sandp500
spx
spy
treasury
trendanalysis
yields
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This is a chart showing treasury yields, color coded by duration (yellow is the 1 year, dark blue is the 30 year), with the $SPX in the lower frame. Each red line shows a major market top and how they relate to yield compression followed by inversion. It looks to me like shorter term yields always rise vs longer term yields quite awhile before bear markets occur...
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This is a chart showing a yield rainbow on a monthly basis, with a chart of $SPX in white, so the idea is to see how $SPX reacts to the movement of treasury yields over time. Treasury yields can't fall too far below the zero line, so we'll inevitably see a compression against the zero line take place and I assume yields will move sideways in a range for the...
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