LeoBlackwood

LeoBlackwood

Trump's announced comprehensive tariff plan has triggered global attention. As for the U.S. Dollar Index, on Thursday, the price of the U.S. Dollar Index generally showed a significant downward trend. On that day, the price rose to a high of 103.931 at most, dropped to a low of 101.232, and closed at 101.937. Looking back at the performance of the U.S. Dollar...

LeoBlackwood

On Thursday, the price of gold plummeted by $110 initially. Subsequently, it rebounded from $3,054 to $3,135, surging by nearly $80. This was a typical market scenario of a double whammy for both bulls and bears in a washout. Whether it was those who chased long positions at high levels or those who chased short positions expecting a pullback, they all suffered...

LeoBlackwood

Bitcoin has also experienced a rapid decline due to the tariff remarks of the U.S. government. It is currently testing a key support level. If it continues to fall and breaks below 81,126, a bearish trend will be confirmed. If this support level is not breached, one can initiate long positions at the low level. Trading...

LeoBlackwood

After U.S. President Donald Trump announced tariffs and the OPEC+ decided to increase oil production, concerns about the demand outlook intensified, leading to a significant decline in crude oil prices on Thursday. The short-term trend of crude oil has dropped sharply, with all the gains since mid-March being given back. The oil price has touched a low near 66....

LeoBlackwood

The EURUSD exchange rate continues its rebound momentum. Although the weak inflation data in the eurozone has strengthened the market's expectation of an interest rate cut by the ECB, the US dollar has weakened due to the risk - off sentiment triggered by Trump's tariff remarks, which has become a key factor supporting the short - term upward movement of the...

LeoBlackwood

On Tuesday, the price of the U.S. Dollar Index generally fluctuated in a range. The price reached a daily high of 104.345, a low of 103.99, and closed at 104.19. Looking back at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index on Tuesday, after the morning opening, the price initially fell under short-term pressure. Subsequently, it halted its decline and resumed its...

LeoBlackwood

The 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving averages of gold are converging, and the lower shadows of the K-lines appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate a technical correction after a period of sideways consolidation, and there is a possibility of a second upward pull. The hourly chart shows that the price range is...

LeoBlackwood

As I had anticipated, Bitcoin (BTC) has started to recover. BTC has successfully broken through the 86,500 mark and even reached 87,000. The long position strategy has achieved profitability. Currently, Bitcoin still maintains a bullish trend. It is advisable to wait for a price pullback and then initiate long positions. BTC Trading...

LeoBlackwood

U.S. heating oil futures gave back their gains. EIA (Energy Information Administration) data showed that U.S. distillate fuel oil inventories unexpectedly increased. U.S. gasoline futures' upward momentum expanded slightly, and the EIA data indicated that the inventory was basically in line with expectations. The commercial crude oil imports in the United States...

LeoBlackwood

I have consistently adhered to the strategy of shorting gold. Today, after the gold price spiked upwards, it showed a pattern of being under pressure. The price reached a peak of 3149 and then pulled back. After fluctuating during the U.S. trading session, it continued to decline. Currently, it has broken below the intraday demarcation level of 3120, which in the...

LeoBlackwood

As I stated in my previous idea, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward...

LeoBlackwood

Recently, the United States has stepped up its sanctions against Iran. It also made threatening remarks indicating that if the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine fail to reach an agreement, it will further intensify sanctions against Russia. Such actions have heightened the market's concerns about the future supply side. Meanwhile, the short-term and phased...

LeoBlackwood

In the future, two major variables will dominate the trend of the euro: 1、Details of tariff policies: If the US imposes tariffs on the EU with an intensity exceeding expectations, the euro may quickly test the support level of 1.0750. Conversely, if the measures are mild or postponed, the exchange rate may rebound above 1.0900. 2、Linkage of US economic data: If...

LeoBlackwood

The GBP/USD is still fluctuating repeatedly at present. Taking various factors into account, there is a great deal of market noise in the current currency market, and many currency pairs are in a sideways trend. The British pound has been fluctuating sideways for several weeks, and the market is digesting the previous significant upward rally. The 1.30 level on...

LeoBlackwood

BTC broke below 83,000 and continued to decline, reaching around the lowest level of 82,000. Currently, it generally shows a downward trend. In my opinion, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the...

LeoBlackwood

The situation in the Middle East is clearly deteriorating, which undoubtedly has a huge stimulating effect on the global risk aversion sentiment. More funds have started to seek safe havens. However, the best choice at present is not the US dollar. With the continuous rise of the East, more and more capital will favor this side of the East. Therefore, the pressure...

LeoBlackwood

The short-term trend of crude oil has been oscillating and declining at a high level. The oil price has broken below the moving average system, and the objective short-term trend has entered a transition period. The bearish momentum is gradually intensifying, and the oil price dropped below 70 in the early trading session. In the 4-hour chart, the objective...

LeoBlackwood

I conducted resistance tests at the levels of 3,100 and 3,115. However, in the early trading session, the price of gold surged rapidly, soaring all the way to around 3,027. In the later period, choosing to stand by and observe to avoid risks could also be regarded as a sound strategy. Now, the market has approached a stable state. The resistance test at 3,027 has...