LordWrymouth

LordWrymouth Updated 

At present, the US equities markets are at a critical inflection point, especially tech. We're still in the bear side of a correction in an extremely major bull market impulse fuelled by Party Central's COVID stimulus programs, and yet flirting with all time highs. Sometimes markets top without a blow off. Nasdaq's daily chart, above, shows price raided the...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I don't normally pay much attention to the forex markets, but a friend on Twitter went into a cable short last month, had some immediate success, and then more or less got stopped out when she went rippy rip to start July. After looking at it 6 times, I think that my friend's bias that the pound is bearish is legit, but that it's too soon to get short. The...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I will reiterate again, as I have in my past posts, notably: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal That if you are bullish on US equities into the future and want to see a healthy economy into '24 and '25, you DO NOT want to see a new all time high to be set yet. Instead, you want a correction. A major correction is just that: a...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I hadn't really looked at IWM until a follower asked me about it on Twitter, and after thinking about it for a few hours and comparing it against SPY and QQQ, I realized that it's not that IWM is lagging, it's that it's not going to follow the recent mania. Some wisdom I heard recently is that breadth is important in markets because it indicates a large amount of...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I've heard that a number of "Chinese Partners" and even their wallets were directly involved in the formation of the Ethereum Foundation. Whether that's true or not, the reality is that too much of today's digital currencies are connected to the Chinese Communist Party, and that's a big problem for long term bulls when the United States and its allies are talking...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Digital currencies are not something you should be fundamentally bullish on, because this current generation of "decentralized" tokens that are really centralized in the hands of a few co-opted developers and a number of Chinese Communist Party-linked miners and entities aren't intended to be kept. What's intended is for a global system of Central Bank Digital...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Over the last two quarters, financial social media has cared a lot about the "JPM Collar," a series of very large options trades that JP Morgan uses in one of the funds it offers its clients. The theory for speculators is that the JPM collar will be used to constrict the market within a certain range. But as for how that plays out, it's hard for a trader to...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In recent analysis on the state of the markets, I note that the notion that we're "in a bull market" is actually really dangerous, and how, if you really want to see healthy markets into the future, you don't want to see a new all time high print yet, because we're just too far over the trend: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal Moreover,...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Since the end of February, and more accurately mid-March, the volatility on Natural Gas has all but disappeared. This is a good thing if you're bullish, because it's both consolidation and indicates accumulation. It's also a good thing from a sentiment/narrative perspective because everyone has all but forgotten trying to gamble on BOIL. Moreover, it's strange...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Frankly speaking, Coinbase is a stock you actually want to keep a careful eye on, because as the US/International regimes fully integrate digital currency, Coinbase is quite likely to be a key organ of the network. But for now, this thing is worth $14 billion still and at a time that the crypto market is doing really poorly, Binance and Tether are ticking...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The current generation of digital currencies are something I really implore you to lose all faith in. At this point in history, they are old, and have been corrupted by various factors using the "Embrace, Extend, Extinguish" technique. In the short term future, the existing cryptos will be significantly marked down as a result of Central Bank Digital Currencies,...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I've had a number of successful calls on crude oil, which you can find in my post history. In those calls, I had always been bearish on oil, anticipating a run to a 4-handle. However, I reassessed my prior assumptions when the MMs took out the Low Of The Year in quick order to start May. I haven't been particularly sure in the time that has passed, but between...

LordWrymouth Updated 

It's not that I am fundamentally bearish on gold. Actually, I am fundamentally bullish on gold. But it's because I think the fundamentals of gold are bullish that this commodity is not bound to pump while the MMs have tipped their hands that they're going to sell Artificial Intelligence and Chinese Communist Party garbage to a willing horde of retail zombies and...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Frankly speaking, the pattern that would make the most sense for the markets with the situation in the world at present is that the ATH on Nasdaq, Dow, and SPX are taken before the end of '23. However, there are a number of problems that indicate despite the extreme greed, bear capitulation, and bull euphoria this may not happen. One of the biggest fundamental...

LordWrymouth Updated 

NVIDIA's price action last week was a historic event in the markets, and at a very strange time. Whenever you see such an outlier, it's time to perk up and really give a deep think to what's going on in the world at large. For me, I had long since anticipated NVIDIA would print a new ATH, but I did not believe it would do it until the markets at large had...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In this post I would like to remind everyone of two critical points: 1. Overall market fundamentals are not very good because the situation in the whole world right now is not very good. The Millennial-themed Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) was ultimately little more than a pretext to drop economic stimulus under because the economy was already #rekt in...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Apple is something of a reverse canary in the coalmine when it comes to the Nasdaq, specifically because it's its highest weighted company at almost 14%. All these weeks everyone has been bearish, but yet, Apple is not in anything resembling a bear market. Instead, everything about Apple from the monthly chart to the daily chart indicates that the January all...

LordWrymouth Updated 

One of the first things you might ask yourself with this call is "How did a bull get stuck in a washer and dryer?" The people who look more closely might ask "Why is this bull living out of a washer and a dryer?" The short answer to both of these questions is that the dude listened to Reddit. I say this in every post about memestocks, but Reddit isn't your...