BLUF : What is the one dynamic that "Market Makers" love? Volatility = Opportunity = Huge Profits given the right Leverage(s). What you see in the "Drink of Volatility" is nothing but 80+ or 100+ bps moves...its not about Price but Energy, it just comes down to who is pushing and who is pulling! Swings, Momentum, Herd Psychology...when it looks like all is...
BLUF : Absolute Perfect Reflexive-Bounce...WARNING ONLY...do not be surprised if the market goes HIGHER to that Huge Gap at Top then Reverses like a FookinLighteningRod! This week, next week... maybe I have no FookinClue...TBD . FOMC lowering rates may have the opposite effect you think... StandTheFookBye ! BS Rules/Spidey-Sense(s)/Situational Awareness.... ...
BLUF : Plan = Execution (FireSale per your Portfolio), No Plan = No Execution! Process & Managing Trade(s)... Note : Sure we will get a "Bounce" + "Anticipation" of a FFR Cut come 18Mar BUT if "Powell & Co" Hold-Steady then Down we go to the Low of DEC 18 ...TBD... Nothing is as it Seems ... ... Oh by the way FFR Cuts at the end of a Cycle have a...
WhoFookinKnows....x2 Gaps left to fill or Bounce. 2369 24DEC18 2746 03JUN19 2829 AUG-OCT19 Then the Euphoria from 02OCT19-28FEB20 and a "Shitasterfy" Whats next...Fed/Lower Rates...Good for Sentiment and Market Psychology....Let's See what happens? Process .... Manage your Trade(s )...E xecution ...Have a Plan , You don't get these types of...
BLUF : Does the M roll over to a W forming the next shoulder and down she goes again or just continue down forcing the Feds' Hands...Election Year...the fireworks between FookinT-Fed will be memorable to say the least... Who Fookin Knows ...have Plan and Execute ... Let's watch the ShitShow! Question : In a world where US is the only game in town....Fed...
BLUF : As for the markets, we'll see...Would like more buying opportunities..No matter what happens though, life goes on and the cycle repeats...High Threat Environments taught me that..Risk happens slowly then all at once.” Volatility closes the distance Fast triggered by the " Unexpected "..But the overall instability of financial markets has been building for...
BLUF : The Dr. delivered some much needed "Pain" today, will tomorrow bring the anticipated "Bounce" or do we get a "Complete Wipeout"? What does Gold Know? TBD Process...Manage your Trade(s)...You Do Not get these kind of Opportunities to add to your portfolio...which is why we have a "Plan" ...Go Execute ! Find-Fix-Finish !
FEAR is All Time High ...Let's see if better entries are in the future...TBD! BullShit Rules...Situational Awareness!
CTA's, Rebalancing, FookinGammaBro's...When looking for the Sucker at the Poker Table...Do not be the Sucker!!!
Process ... Manage your Trade(s)...this is why you have a Plan ! HEAD SHOTs ONLY! The world is NotFookinEnding folks....just another BUYING/ENTRY Point...Standy-Bye, Bust It! The S&P 500 is still up 3.3% year-to-date and hasn’t hit it’s 50-DMA since October of 2019. ,20-DMA =3,323 * 50-DMA = 3,279 * 100-DMA = 3,159 * 200-DMA = 3,041 * Math says…S&P...
BLUF : Put/Call Ratio is Highest in a while…VIX is High…10 YR Yield broke 1.50% and USD keeps Rising…TLT will be the benefactor! Markets march higher or pullback...there is only one game in town folks for "FookinGlobalMoney"...MAGA country...thats the wrench in the entire puzzle and its the linchpin...What I know and think isn't worth one subway token! Let's...
BLUF : CTA's Long, Option dealers long S&P 500 convexity (FookinGamma) then short, Buy Da DIP, HF's Rebalancing (Huge VOL Spike Today ivo 1130 250K SP Contracts...more coming), FEB OPEX (Covering/Rolling)... WTF! Word of the Day goes too.....Michael @profplum99 Asness said. “We’ve seen this movie before a few times and we know how, but definitely not when,...
High rates, fiscal and strong dollar all together create this virtuous circle...USD feedback loop: a strong USD, lower global growth and the global savings glut feed off each other in way that suppress real interest rates and elevates asset prices. Then we combine the current dynamic of these two forces: the US sucking in global savings and the dollar...
BLUF : Yep we hit 100% Symmetry line w/new resistance...SPX hitting 3400 S ooner rather than L ater but turn around and LooK at the USD this "Usually/Most Often" doesn't end well...TBD. Let's watch the ShitShow. HEAD SHOTs ONLY!!!
BLUF : Lets see what happens today with the follow thru or march higher...TBD! 10 YR Yields marching down to 1.50...TBD (Demographics/Pensions/BabyBoomers...get used to it!)
BLUF : I get it...but I like the environment and I like the odds of a bounce for moderate-good short term execution...Let's see what happens! Find-Fix-Finish!
BLUF : Isn't it obvious? Pick your favorite trade...FookinKungFluVirus = Entry...TBD! HEADSHOTsONLY! (Names/Companies in Chart have no meaning...showing opportunity ONLY)
BLUF : This is a S trong-Market...call it any name you want but it has momentum... B ut given the recent Rate-Of-Change (ROC) & Steepener of the wave up and the longevity of this run...a 5% pullback would be welcomed and expected...nothing in the macro validates a further drop outside of unseen crisis to include 2nd/3rd order effects of the...