Mrsam36

Mrsam36

From the long-term Elliott wave perspective, price appears to be correcting the bullish cycle that started in October 2023 when Gold was exchanged for 1810. After completing wave (IV) of the supercycle degree in September 2022, Gold rallied to complete waves I and II of (V) in May 2023 and October 2023 respectively. Thus wave III of (V) started in October 2023 at...

Mrsam36 Updated 

(CPI) rose by 0.2% in October. Over the past year, it increased by 2.6%. On the other hand, the core CPI increased by 0.3% monthly and 3.3% annually. This data strengthened market expectations of the US Federal Reserve's potential third interest rate cut in December. According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next...

Mrsam36 Updated 

At the time of writing, however, market participants are battling to establish a trend. The USD retains its strength, but the momentum eased, while US indexes pared the bleeding, with only the Nasdaq Composite trading in the red. The macroeconomic excitement will likely recede as the US other relevant figure to release for the rest of the week

Mrsam36 Updated 

Gold (XAU/USD) came under heavy selling pressure and slumped below $2,700 on Wednesday as US Treasury bond yields rallied on Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. Inflation data from the US and Fedspeak next week could offer fresh insights into whether Gold will be able to shake off the bearish pressured

Mrsam36

Good Day... And a Tom Terrific Tuesday to you! Well, a PT guy came to the house yesterday, sent by my doctors, to get me strong again... I told the PT that my youngest son was a PT, and he about turned around and left, but then I told him that my son hadn't checked with me, so he was more than welcome to begin... I passed all the tests! I even blew the guy away...

Mrsam36

(XAU/USD) is already up half a percent to trade in the $2,730s on Monday during the European session after rising over 1.0% on Friday. The precious metal is gaining on a mixture of increased safe-haven demand due to the intensifying conflict in the Middle East and moves by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) to further ease credit conditions by cutting interest rates.

Mrsam36

price reached a fresh all-time high on Thursday, trading as high as $2,969.63 a troy ounce during American trading hours. Gold buyers gained confidence early in Asia as the poor performance of local shares fueled demand for safety. Demand for the bright metal was also backed by concerns about the United States (US) future government. Three weeks ahead of the...

Mrsam36

price reached a fresh all-time high on Thursday, trading as high as $2,969.63 a troy ounce during American trading hours. Gold buyers gained confidence early in Asia as the poor performance of local shares fueled demand for safety. Demand for the bright metal was also backed by concerns about the United States (US) future government. Three weeks ahead of the...

Mrsam36

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 195.95 will resume whole rise from 180.00 to 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35 next. Sustained break there will target 208.09 high. On the downside, below 192.87 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 189.54 support. Further break there will target 183.70 support

Mrsam36

price came just ticks ahead of new record high ($2685) during European trading on Wednesday, in fresh extension of bull-leg from $2602 higher low of Oct 10 and the bottom of corrective phase from $2685. The metal remains strongly supported by growing prospects for global monetary policy easing, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding nearing US...

Mrsam36

price came just ticks ahead of new record high ($2685) during European trading on Wednesday, in fresh extension of bull-leg from $2602 higher low of Oct 10 and the bottom of corrective phase from $2685. The metal remains strongly supported by growing prospects for global monetary policy easing, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding nearing US...

Mrsam36

There hasn’t been any catalyst this week for the rally in gold although we had a key technical breakout which might have increased the bullish momentum. The lack of bearish catalysts though is helping to keep the bid going as the market has finished to reprice the aggressive rate cuts expectations that weighed on gold in the past weeks as it contributed to lift...

Mrsam36

USD/JPY has been struggling to break past the resistance level at 149.55 despite repeated attempts over the past five trading sessions. The Japanese yen remains under pressure as the Federal Reserve signals a more moderate approach to interest rate cuts in its upcoming meetings, contrasting with the broader expectations of more aggressive rate reduction

Mrsam36

The US Dollar (USD) gains support from increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will avoid aggressive interest rate cuts, following a strong jobs report and concerns of sticky US inflation. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are currently pricing in an 88.2% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November, with no anticipation of a...

Mrsam36

This disappointment was followed by China’s consumer and factory-gate price inflation data on Sunday, which showed the extension of the disinflation trend in the world’s biggest consumer, sapping investors’ confidence. Additionally, intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran and also between China and Taiwan remain a cause for concern for...

Mrsam36

week ago today, the USDCHF made a break to the upside and out of the "Red Box" that had confined the pair going back to August 20. The US jobs report was the catalyst for the move higher, but by Monday, the price fell back to the high of that "red box" and even moved within the topside edges of it. Sellers should have entered on that breach, but the momentum was...

Mrsam36

The USDCAD has been trending to the upside since bottoming on October 2 near 1.3472. The momentum over the last eight trading days has taken the price up to a high of 1.37826. That took the price to the low of the next swing area target between 1.3784 and 1.38036 (going back to April 2024 – see the red numbered circles on the chart below)

Mrsam36

The NZDUSD traded above and below the 100-day MA this week but above the 200-day MA (green line) into the mid-week RBNZ rate decision. The central bank cut rates by 50 basis points and that sent the pair below the 61.8% but buyers came in against the 61.8% retracement. The subsequent bounce off the low on Wednesday saw the price move back to the 200-day MA where...