Ochlokrat

Ochlokrat

The gold price finally reached the magical USD 3000 mark a few days ago. However, a look at the volume calls for caution, as a setback could be imminent. We are seeing significant outflows at the top and selling in strength. Although we do not expect a bearish reversal in the big picture, a setback of around USD 150 to 200 in XAUUSD is not unlikely.

Ochlokrat

Trump is shaking up the markets. Contrary to the expectations of many market observers, the dollar is showing surprisingly significant weakness. If we look at the GBPUSD chart, we see a brilliant rally. However, the price has weakened recently, which is why we expect a temporary correction of the bullish trend to the target zone shown. The trade offers an...

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Attention, traders! In the current sell-off we have very high values in the PCQ (put-call ratio on the NASDAQ)! The stocks are trading above the highs that initiated a bullish reversal in August 2024, for example. The following chart shows two potential targets for a long trade.

Ochlokrat

The US CPI data will be published tomorrow. EURUSD has recently stabilized above the 1.03 mark, but remains weak. The big picture shows a desolate situation, which suggests that the market will test the lows from 2022 in the coming weeks. This assumption is confirmed by a look at the liquidity zones, which indicate significant support for EURUSD only at around 0.97.

Ochlokrat

After weeks in a downtrend, the EURUSD appears to be stabilizing. The beginning of an upward trend has recently emerged, which is still fragile but has the potential to bring the price back into the area well above 1.05. From the target zone shown, a renewed price decline is to be expected.

Ochlokrat

In GBPJPY, various indicators show pronounced bullish divergences in the major time frames. The candlestick chart also shows a consolidation formation at a high level, which suggests an imminent upward breakout. This idea shows two possible targets for a long trade: a conservative and an aggressive target.

Ochlokrat Updated 

The effects of the ceasefire in the Middle East are now beginning to be reflected in the price of WTI. We currently expect the rally of recent weeks to be largely reversed and assume that the WTI price will approach the USD 73.30 mark.

Ochlokrat Updated 

After today's upward trend, a short forecast seems like a joke. Nevertheless, it can be observed that the Tesla share has cleared the liquidity in the upper Wick of January 6, 2025 at this very moment. This same liquidity is still present in the lower wicks at just over 370 dollars. With a short trade, we are trying to profit from a renewed downward movement if...

Ochlokrat Updated 

A short and simple short idea for MSTR: We wait for the price to touch the gap without closing it. The recent interim highs, where sell-offs occurred, allow us to set a tight stop. We then expect prices to fall significantly into the range of the take profit shown.

Ochlokrat

Following the strong US economic data, the markets are in panic mode: Hopes of further interest rate cuts are fading like ice cream in the summer sun. A look at the TLT chart does not bode well. The monthly chart shows extremely strong hidden bearish divergences in the OBV. I have written an indicator for private use that draws these divergences clearly visible on...

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The US labor market data to be published on Friday is likely to cause further distortions on the currency market, which will also affect gold. Massive hidden bearish divergences have built up in the gold price in recent weeks. The price is currently trading slightly below the overarching downtrend line, so we expect a significant downward movement.

Ochlokrat

The NASDAQ remains weak. After the significant price losses on Tuesday, strong hidden bearish divergences are now establishing themselves in the OBV. In view of the political and economic uncertainties, pressure on the NASDAQ is likely to increase in the coming days. A possible catalyst could be strong labor market data, which makes further interest rate cuts less likely.

Ochlokrat

GBPJPY surprised yesterday with a sudden sharp drop. The price is currently consolidating and it appears that the downtrend has lost significant momentum. There is a strong support zone at the bottom, so the best opportunities in GBPJPY are currently to be found on the upside.

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NVIDIA shares staged an impressive rally last week. We expect a new attempt to reach the all-time high, but initially expect a short-term correction to the lower line of the pitchfork, as shown in the chart. If the idea works optimally and NVIDIA shares respect the lines, we should reach the target area at around USD 152.40 on January 13. This date correlates with...

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General Overview The data provided includes options for Gold futures expiring next Friday. It covers both call and put options with detailed information such as strikes, premiums, and changes. A key metric here is the put/call premium ratio, which is 0.81, meaning that call premiums are higher than put premiums. Additionally, the put/call open interest ratio is...

Ochlokrat

EURUSD remains weak. The strong downward trend is unlikely to change much in the coming days and weeks. Many traders are waiting for the price to reach the magic 1.0. But it is unlikely to happen that quickly. We expect the EURUSD to reach the area around 1.02 first. Before we enter a short trade, we would like to wait for a pullback to the entry zone shown in...

Ochlokrat

A dangerous pattern for the bulls has established itself in the BTC: a SHS formation that suggests falling prices. The imputed short target of the pattern is lower than the take profit chosen for this idea. This takes account of the fact that the big picture still shows a stable upward trend in Bitcoin, but that a further correction is to be expected in the medium term.

Ochlokrat

The USDJPY currency pair is in a stable uptrend. The price recently broke above the downtrend line established by the interim price decline from July 2024. It now looks like “clear skies” for the bulls. We are also trying to participate in the bullish outlook for USDJPY with a long trade. The time horizon for this trade is a few weeks. This is not a problem, as...