Osmanomics

Osmanomics

My valuation on a fait XAU futures for a troy ounce of gold. I think with the lasts posts, the reason speaks for itself. The hedging and hoarding of such an asset during volatile times usually is the perfect recipe for a price moon. I don't see anything limiting the rise of commodity if global tensions don't settle. Let us wait and see

Osmanomics

Wow, what a week it has been. SPX down 3.5% and up 2.5% the day after. My thought is this backtrack is going to be the biggest retracement for the drop, just like we saw on bitcoin. APPL seems to have DOJ issues, NVIDIA chip issues in Taiwan... all seems to be lining up for potential lower for longer. My only buy this year will be TSLA. More on that. Goldilocks...

Osmanomics

Although everyone is cutting down production, even SHELL, we are seeing the narrative of higher prices for longer. OPEC wants to cut beginning October 2024 until 25. This might be for a multitude of reasons, which makes it quite unclear what the goal is. After falling demand and easing in production, my narrative is that we might see prices fall instead of rise,...

Osmanomics

As you can see, potential final Elliot wave lower high on daily. Like to see final discounts before potential rate cut cycle. (FED spoke yesterday and seemed bullish for rate cuts during 2025, coinciding with elections and time variable with potential price action picking back up during then)

Osmanomics

love these fibs elliot wave, since bottom, waiting for final pump, might see a retracement on the red fib for target on higher levels (daily fib). Can't wait to see btc discounts. Let's see what we have with big week ahead, FED speakers and spx at potential top

Osmanomics

BTC bull case, Major trendline retest on the daily while in a overall uptrend. Since we have the FOMC meeting that is fundamentally looking at a rate hike, we might see BTC retest previous key levels around 28.1k for a liquidity search. This is the bull case, implying the retest is to aim back at higher prices (37.6k). BTC bear case, Although Blackrock's...

Osmanomics

(adjusted) No 61.8 confirmation, everything is still looking bad.

Osmanomics

Just an idea where equity might be heading with all the turmoil with banks. I think the FED will bail them out and eventually the 3 next meeting won't have any rates rise, cuts if banks and markets bleed, but overall we might not see the bottom, yet. Let's see equity raise with BTC and usd possibly back on it's downtrend.

Osmanomics

Strong earnings are surprising everyone with positive cash flow, the disaster has probably not been felt yet. Rather, fully... A guy in finance told me his teacher said rates takes at least 8 month to be digested by the equity market. Just an idea.

Osmanomics

DXY frenching 200ma, I don't think he's letting go anytime soon. Let's see him retest it with a beautiful potential 61.8 level correspondence. Simple and easy like that, Also concords to Feds meeting previsions... let's see the 50bps

Osmanomics

Yes, Testing 200 ma, liquidity search on top before going back down with fib confirmation. (Might see 0.5 test if first rejection doesn’t hold)

Osmanomics

Lower lows, lower highs. Etherum is going down before it’s big uptrend.

Osmanomics

Big Big uptrend coming. Everything seems in play for economic decisions to lower the in hand liquidity of EU people. Interest rates are on the rise and these black swan events are signs of reinforcing monetary policies on NATOS side.

Osmanomics

US crude OIL is looking good for a bounce, confirmation on both MA's on both time zone are extremely bullish. The purple dot represents the daily moving average and the green dot represents the 4H moving average. Fibonacci shows possibility of sideway movement for a while, this will depend on the market god's mood and events unraveling in the world. I really don't...

Osmanomics

As stated, we are still in a downtrend. I still see 0.618 as the golden level where we'll see price action going back to. Although shorting liquidation might mean a new bull run, I am convinced we will see 0.382 at least for the uptrend, catching those guys on top is going to be a decision made with the available liquidity.

Osmanomics

Looking at the indicator, seeing the possibility of a bull trap due to heavy shorting pressure by retail. Might see them moving the price up going accordingly to the FED's agenda to keep their interest hike and not make it "hawkishier". Used fibo to see the big picture, various confirmation on 0.5, .618 and 0.272. I verified with the ema as well, on the one hour...

Osmanomics

EURUSD Look at the potential liquidity on top of EUR and bottom of DXY, forget the war, NATO is not getting implicated.

Osmanomics

Overall downtrends with the indexes when looking on the big candles; weekly and daily... everything is red. Won't se green for the rest of the year IMO, but that's another subject. Here is my analysis: Drawing Fibonacci, we establish the zones, finding the 61.8 which is the strongest level of this downtrend at the present time. This also means market god entry...