The Euro may be readying to push higher against the British Pound in the aftermath of Thursday's Bank of England monetary policy announcement. There, it was revealed that two policymakers seemed further hiking as 'not appropriate'. EUR/GBP has been steadily falling since 2020, with recent months on the premise of a more hawkish BoE compared to the European...
The Australian Dollar may resume gains against the British Pound following weakness since early April. GBP/AUD's bounce has been slowing, and now a breakout under a bearish Rising Wedge is in focus. Further downside confirmation could hint at downtrend resumption, placing the focus on the early-April low at 1.7175. Beyond that sits the 2018 and October 2017...
The US Dollar is making a move against the Chinese Yuan after months of consolidation. USD/CNH took out a year-long falling trendline, as well as the 6.3941 - 6.4107 resistance zone. This marks the highest close since October. Further upside confirmation could perhaps hint at a turning point for the almost 2-year long downtrend. A bullish crossover between the...
The Hang Seng Tech Index appears to be carving out a Rectangle chart pattern on the 4-hour setting. The ceiling seems to be at 4883 with the floor at 4300. Breaking above could open the door to extending the mid-March bounce, but that would place the focus on a long-term falling trendline from February 2021. The latter may reorient the index lower. On the other...
The Euro may be readying to resume its broader downtrend against the US Dollar. EUR/USD appears to be carving out a bearish Rising Wedge since finding a bottom in early March. A breakout to the downside exposes 1.0945, opening the door to extending losses from February. That would place the focus on April 2020 lows, making for key support between 1.0727 -...
The 10-year Treasury yield soared to a new high over the past 24 hours, confirming the breakout above peaks from June - July 2019. Yields are now testing the former 2.34 - 2.43 support zone. Extending gains above the former exposes 2.61 before the 2019 high at 2.79 comes into play. These may offer the next critical levels of resistance as hawkish US monetary...
In the wake of the latest US CPI report, where headline inflation clocked in at 7.9% y/y (as expected), continuing to run at 40-year highs, USD/JPY has been trending higher. The Federal Reserve is expected to commence its tightening cycle next week by raising interest rates. Its balance sheet is also no longer expanding. Front-end Treasury yields are on the rise,...
The Euro appears to be on the verge of confirming a breakout under a Bearish Rectangle chart formation. Immediate support appears to be the 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 1.1048 before the 78.6% level at 1.0927 comes into play. This has exposed lows from April 2020, which make for a range of support between 1.0727 and 1.0793. Keep a close eye on the 100-day...
On the weekly setting, gold has left behind a Shooting Star candlestick pattern, showing signs of indecision following gains since earlier this year. Ukraine geopolitical tensions cooled into the end of the week, resulting in a long upper wick on the weekly candle. Further escalation could easily bring back upside momentum in the yellow metal, while cooling...
The New Zealand Dollar gained after the RBNZ raised interest rates to 1% form 0.75% in February. On the 4-hour chart, GBP/NZD confirmed a close under a bearish Double Top I have been closely following since last week: www.dailyfx.com This may hint at reversing the uptrend from November, with immediate support as the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at...
Following another strong US CPI report, the 10-year Treasury yield surged above 2%, further pushing above peaks from late 2019 (1.9073 - 1.9718). That has exposed peaks from summer 2019 as key resistance (2.1779 - 2.1431). A bullish Golden Cross remains in play between the 20- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages. Keep a close eye on RSI, negative divergence...
Following a surprise hawkish pivot by the European Central Bank as the Bank of England raised rates to 0.50% from 0.25%, EUR/GBP rallied the most since April 2021 this week. With markets already pricing in an aggressive BoE, that may leave room for equivalent ECB bets to catch up ahead. That could leave EUR/GBP tilted higher. The pair also closed at the highest...
The Chinese Yuan spent most of 2021 appreciating against the US Dollar despite a broadly upbeat year for the latter. Now, fundamentals may be paving the way for its turnaround amid the risk of slowing demand for Chinese exports - www.dailyfx.com USD/CNH recently turned higher following a more hawkish Federal Reserve, reinforcing the key 6.3526 - 6.3238 support...
The Thai Baht has been cautiously gaining ground against the US Dollar since December despite recent volatility in stock markets. In fact, USD/THB recently broke under a key rising trendline from early 2021, confirming the breakout. Key support below appears to be the 200-day Simple Moving Average. Tourism is a key component of Thailand's economy, which has been...
S&P 500 futures seem to be pushing for new highs during Friday Asia-Pacific trade. On the 4-hour chart, this follows brief consolidation since earlier this month. Negative RSI divergence still persists, showing fading upside momentum. This can at times precede a turn lower. Keep a close eye on the 50- and 100-period Simple Moving Averages. These remain tilted...
The Australian Dollar could be readying for its next leg higher against the New Zealand Dollar following losses since early October. AUD/NZD recently confirmed a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern, opening the door to extending gains. But, prices still need to overcome the near-term 20- and 50-Day Simple Moving Averages. Clearing them exposes the 23.6%...
The Australian Dollar may be vulnerable to the Japanese Yen following a couple of bearish technical developments. This follows a rejection of the 86.253 - 85.909 resistance zone. AUD/JPY recently confirmed a breakout under the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement at 84.50 on the 4-hour chart. This also follows a bearish Death Cross between the 20- and 50-period Simple...
USD/CHF has been in a near-term downtrend since late September, now finding itself on a rising support range from the beginning of this year. A bounce off the trendline could pave the way for a push higher back towards a long-term falling resistance line from April 2019. Still, a bearish Death Cross seems imminent between the 20- and 50-period Simple Moving...