Morning folks, Probably I should make it as an update of previous idea... anyway... BTC shows upside bounce from the 1st 52K target. The pullback obviously is taking shape of reverse H&S pattern. Thus, the setup #1 for scalp bulls. You could think about this pattern, and its target around 60.3K For the bears it is nothing so far. You should watch for 2 moments...
Morning folks, So, BTC was so weak that even was not able to form the H&S pattern. Not as bad job data just pushed it below the floor... There are a few bearish signs exist now on higher time frames as well... So, obviously we do not consider by far any long positions. Maybe everything is not as bad yet to consider 44K downside target on 4H chart but... here...
Morning everybody, actually I'm not sure that we need the "new trading idea" here, because this is just update on existed one. Everything goes with the plan. Now BTC comes to the neckline, and intraday bulls could start watching for small 15-min reversal patterns to make a decision on long entry. Target is the same - 61-62K, the top of right arm of our H&S...
Morning folks, BTC was not able to escape mass revision of public opinion, concerning next Fed move. Not occasionally last time we've expressed doubts that BTC could reach 67K target. Here we will not speak about all bearish signs that we see. To keep it short we have big bearish engulfing on weekly chart which makes us think that H&S pattern on 4H chart is very...
Morning folks, So, we've got what we wanted - BTC dropped and not only to 61K but slightly lower, to 59.5K. The major question now is whether we indeed will go to 67K or deeper retracement comes? In fact, riddle is relatively simple. BTC now stands at strong intraday Fib support area. To keep bullish context, it has to go up right from here. In this case...
Morning folks, So, the 1st target is done. In general we could start speaking about next target around 67K immediately, but, 64K is also daily 5/8 Fib resistance. So, naturally market shows the pullback in similar situations. That's why we look at 61K support area form possible next long entry with mentioned target...
Morning folks, So, from indecision last time, situation is becoming a bit more clear. Now, based on market performance we suggest that short-term sentiment is bullish. Wyoming could bring surprises of course, but in general its results are dovish-skewed, which means supportive to BTC. BTC starts forming clear shape of round bottom. We consider 64.5K as nearest...
Morning folks, So, pullback that we've discussed on Thu has happened. But now we have two equal patterns on daily chart but in opposite directions. Our elder bearish grabber and new one on the bullish side. If you conservative enough - it would be better to stay aside and wait for clarity. We suggest that bearish pattern looks a bit better, just because of...
Morning folks, Last time we said - no longs until bearish daily grabber is valid. So, it is still valid. But if you do not want to wait when situation will be resolved, or by any other reason you would like to buy - here is the life hack. ;) On 1H chart we have clear "222" buy shape with 56.70K target and strong K-support area. So you could try this strong area...
Morning folks, So, Thursday plan worked nice - market was around 63K. Now situation is a bit tricky. First is, geopolitical situation is coming to the boiling point. Any activation in Iran will make negative impact on BTC, besides [b ]we have bearish grabber on 10-year bonds , suggesting drop back to 3.65% level. So geopolitical worryings are not in vain....
Greetings everybody, So, bounce that we've discussed last time is started. And BTC is already at the 1st Fib resistance area of 57K. On intraday chart we have AB-CD pattern with the target around 63.2K that perfectly Agrees with next 5/8 Fib level at 62K area. If market will fail to break 57K up, we do not exclude appearing of downside butterfly and attempt to...
Morning folks, Wow, we've talked about just 60-61K pullback, but BTC just collapsed and has become once again the victim of sell-off. Investors sell "bad assets" to plug holes in balances of "good assets". And from this point of view - BTC is a "Holy cow" of this process. Besides, when 30% of the market is controlled by ETF, I wouldn't be surprised by any...
Morning folks, So, retracement that we've discussed on Mon is started, although we thought it will be from 71K area. But M. East escalation has triggered sell-off in risky assets, and even J. Powell comments was not able to support the market. Now, although our 3-Drive pattern still seems theoretical possible, chances stand in favor our 2nd pattern - H&S. So,...
Morning folks, So, our daily bullish setup has worked perfect - grabber has been formed and everything has started. Now BTC in fact has a free space right up to the ATH. So, we suggest that it should be aiming to challenge it. Still, we have another tactic resistance area - trendline on daily chart, based on tops. If we take a look at 4H chart and suggest...
Morning folks, So, as we've said - don't upset if you missed long entry as we will get the chance later. Now retracement is under way. WE have a few different trading scenarios. First is, those who would like to buy - our B&B "Buy" trade stands very close. Today we could get bullish grabber on daily chart that will be quite welcome. On 4H chart the B&B could...
Morning folks, So, reaction on Biden's out is humble. Not only on BTC but across the board. Today it is a small update as nothing has changed significantly. Finally BTC has broken 66K resistance and now, officially, bearish weekly pattern is cancelled. At the same time, despite minor pullback, we haven't got clear H&S shape that we've counted on. Still, I...
Morning folks, Not many things to talk about. BTC slightly stepped out from our plan, shown direct upside action to 65K resistance area. But it changes nothing - we have the same trading plan and wait for moderate pullback, supposedly with H&S shape. Now we change the potential entry level from 59-60K up to 60.5-61.3K... Let's keep watching. The role of...
Morning everybody, As we've said last time - until BTC under 60K it keeps bearish context. So, the first step on a way to bullish turn is done. Market ha broken it up. Next decisive area is 65-66K resistance. If BTC will break it - it will be on a way to the new top and challenging of 74 ATH. Now we follow to reverse H&S pattern on 4H chart and watching for...