i like selling AUDUSD here as a short term pullback. nice resistance above which allows for good leverage. metals/commodities are a touch lower, the yield differentials are also a touch lower. the story for AUDUSD rising so far has been rising commodities which is lead to a strong terms of trade for australia and other commodity currencies. commodities are a...
quite like EURCAD higher here, i'm bullish USDCAD and slightly bullish EURUSD. There's decent support here and allows for a good entry. Euro equities have pushed higher since their breakdown, commodities are lower - both of which correlate pretty nicely with this pair (CAD correlations inversely) Euro dutch gas prices are lower and there was some news on...
i like USDCAD higher here from a technical perspective, there's a hammer on the 4 hour chart and a rejection on the daily at a pretty strong support level which is a good sign for me. narrative is good for CAD right now, but i think it is shifting towards USD. US yields jumped higher yesterday, a lot of talk about a 50bp hike in the future as well. USDCAD is...
Quite like USDCHF lower here From a technical perspective it looks quite nice to me, shooting stars on the daily and 4 hour chart right at the time of the fed meeting. We also have a potential double top forming at a pretty big level for USDCHF. Overall the fed was more hawkish than expected but I don’t think it was enough to have the market buy USD, from what...
Looking a EURUSD higher here I’m terms of what I’ve been reading I’ve seen a lot of people looking for sell USD after this fed meeting. Barring any hawkish surprise from the fed, I think if we are roughly in line with market expectations we could see more USD selling as a sell the fact setup. EURUSD seems like a decent way to play it, positioning is continuing...
GBPCHF looks low to me I’m not a fan of the GBP narrative at the moment, a lot of talk about the BoE hiking into slowing growth and risks of stagflation but I think for this week I like a GBPCHF long for different reasons. GBP has been trading similarly to EUR for similar reasons, we’ve had a strong push higher on EUR on lower commodities/more positive...
Turning a little bearish on AUDUSD, reasons being: commodities look a little more stable now, possibly with the news on ukraine no longer looking to join NATO and some semblance on a possible negotiation for ukraine and russia. AUD has been a recent hedge for this situation, benefitting from the rally in commodities and so should see a move lower on any...
Hello! first post, GB/CA rate differentials are suggesting that we should be higher, likely because GB rates have held up quite well during the recent risk off/commodity rally environment. CAD has been one of the currencies to benefit from this commodity rally on the crosses and i believe we might see some relief in this in the coming days looking at price...