Surviverino

Surviverino

This is a follow-up to the previous BTC analysis. We think it is likely to retest the $25000-area, perhaps even higher ($30000) before a last drop to $9700 around the period of Sept 2022 - Jan 2023. It still looks as if it is the most reasonable outcome at the time. This would put BTC toward a target of $100000 - $150000 in 2025-26, before a new monthly bear...

Surviverino

I think BTC.D will trend upwards as I think BTC will have a run this summer to around 25-28k without altcoins pumping with it. Also, I think the bear market will bottom out around January 2023. I dont think its good to look for altcoins at the bottom of the BTC bear, because the market structure of such projects will not have revealed their upside potential. They...

Surviverino

When I take a look at the macro chart it looks very similar to a macro wyckoff-distribution! Everything sweet has to come to an end and I think at some point we cant expect free money after every halving. There must be a "lost cycle" coming up. I don't know if it is the next one or the next one after that, but from my analysis price can still reach 100k in 2025...

Surviverino Updated 

Here is a BNB trading plan if there is no bullish breakout in the near future. I hope there will be a bullish breakout, but I also want to prepare in case it does not happen. The difference from the two bullruns is that inflation and money supply has distorted the picture a bit I believe. I looked at Benjamin Cowens video where he viewed the BTC chart adjusted...

Surviverino Updated 

I tried extrapolating previous bullruns and how they differ in relation to the halvings. It seems that the peak of each cycle is happening later in every cycle (warning: there are only 2 data points!). Either way, if you divide the days from the 2012 halving to the peak, and the 2016 halving to the peak, they differ by a factor of 1,312. If you time that by the...

Surviverino Updated 

I have taken a BTC position which I will sell at the top of the Bollinger Band. It is molded after the chart I posted yesterday. When price drops to first buyback point, I will buy back 50% and hold for the potential of buying back 50% more at the lower target. If the lower target is not hit, I will place buy orders on the third buyback point as illustrated. Thank you