This pair is shaping up to be one of my favorite trade setups: the trendline break and retest of the level/zone that broke the trendline. Looking at the Monthly chart below, we’ve seen a significant downtrend for nearly two years that ended in February this year. At that time, I posted a buy setup, buying dips under 0.57 and targeting the 0.60 level as the first...
Picture this: You’re at your trading desk, eyes on the charts, heart pounding as the market swings unpredictably. Do you feel that fear creeping in? Now, imagine knowing that this unpredictability doesn’t have to scare you. Instead, it can be the key to your success. Let's dive into why thinking in probabilities and staying calm in the face of uncertainty can...
Picture this: You’re at your trading desk, eyes on the charts, heart pounding as the market swings unpredictably. Do you feel that fear creeping in? Now, imagine knowing that this unpredictability doesn’t have to scare you. Instead, it can be the key to your success. Let's dive into why thinking in probabilities and staying calm in the face of uncertainty can...
After 16 years of trading, I have come to realize that mindset and beliefs are critical to achieving consistent success in the markets. Through personal experience and countless hours of market analysis, I've discovered that the psychological aspect of trading often makes the difference between consistent gains and recurring losses. Today we will explore how...
This pair has surged over the past few weeks, nearing last year’s high at 2.158 and approaching several key high timeframe (HTF) levels. First, we have the 2020 spike high, which reached the monthly SUPPLY/SELL zone created in June 2016. As shown in the chart below, just above that zone is the 61.8 FIB level from the Brexit decline that began in August...
As per my last trade idea on this pair we got the dip back down under the 1.73 mark and are now well inside the Monthly SELL zone fast approaching the 1.78 mark were I mentioned that the market may target (see related post) So, what's next? Over the coming days and weeks, it’s likely we’ll see a sell-off for this pair. On the weekly charts, the 1.775 level is...
The Yen has been getting hammered across the board lately, and there’s no telling how far these pairs can go long-term. However, in every strong uptrend, buyers eventually take profits, allowing the market to dip and providing opportunities to re-enter at better levels. This scenario seems likely for NZDJPY. We've just popped above a key Monthly resistance...
The EURCAD pair has been steadily rising since the beginning of the year. After a brief stall at the 1.48 weekly resistance, which was broken last month, we have seen a drop and retest of this level, now acting as support. Price has already surpassed last month’s high this week. So, what’s next? The most logical next target for bulls is the 1.50 resistance, a...
The guppy has been steadily rising for the past 18 trading days after a significant drop due to likely BOJ intervention. So, what’s next? In my opinion, this pair is highly overbought across all time frames. A correction seems imminent. If you look at the daily chart, the steep and prolonged uptrend suggests a significant drop is likely. The 4-hour chart...
Looking at the weekly chart, Cable has been forming a triangle/wedge pattern, which could also be viewed as a bullish flag after the rise from 1.035 to 1.31500. So, what’s next? In the bigger picture, I’m bullish on this pair, but there will also be short-term selling opportunities. I expect the price to move up towards March's high at 1.29, slightly above the...
After finally breaking out of the 2022 high this pair has been on the march towards 105 which is the beginning of a key Monthly SELL/SUPPLY area with the ATH just below 108. Looking at the Daily chart below price has been slowing grinding up since the two bouts of intervention 2 weeks ago with both the RSI & Stochastic approaching extremely over bought levels as...
Last week, there were fireworks across all JPY pairs, with each hitting multi-decade highs. Notably, EURJPY reached an all-time high, peaking at 171.5 before experiencing a sharp drop due to two rounds of intervention by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). So, what’s next for this pair? This week, it’s been slowly creeping back toward the zone where the second round of...
This pair has been stuck in a range between 1.105 & 1.055 for nearly 2 years and has just broke out of the short term resistance @1.095 The next logical move now is for the pair to test the top of the 2 year range above 1.10 and as it does this is where I will be looking for SELL setups. The daily chart below gives you a clearer picture of the 2 year range and...
The Loonie has been hovering between 1.31 and 1.39 for the past two years, and we're quickly approaching the upper boundary of this weekly range. Will there be another sell-off? Let's dive into what the price charts reveal. We're riding a 17-week uptrend on the weekly chart, with last week's candle showing an especially bullish move—over 200 pips—pushing us near...
There has been no stopping the bulls on this pair since it made the lows at the end of last year towards the 1.06 area. Its took the exact path I planned out in the idea that I posted in October last year dropping down towards 1.06 before rallying back up towards 1.15 (read related idea below) So what next for this pair ?? Given the extent of the rally and the...
This pair has been on a strong upward trend since the beginning of the year, following a significant drop at the end of December. At that time, I shared my first trading idea for 2024 on TradingView. You can find that idea linked in a related post at the bottom of this discussion. That trading strategy was spot on, hitting our target of 0.88, although I had...
Unless you've been living under a rock the last few years you have seen the massive depreciation in the Japanese Yen against every other major currency pair in this post I'm going to share with you why I think the BIG reversal in fast approaching. This post is much like the post I did on the CHF at the beginning of the Year where I correctly predicted a major...
The Dragon has been surging since the start of the Year even more after my initial trade idea from January which did hit my first target of 185 it has now rallied to new highs and sitting at a key Monthly level so what next ? Personally I think once again we have a nice shorting opportunity as we are at a key Monthly resistance level that goes all the way back...