Trading-Capital

16:45

Trading-Capital

Crazy action and reversals. Once again the volatility continues but the vix didnt spike. We discuss the US Dollar, Yields, SPY.

Trading-Capital Updated 

Apple is at an inflection point and will likely decide the fate of the market. If Apple earnings miss then we could see rejection off this level. A retrace ot the previous trend has occurred, now the bulls need to close above the previous trendline break. Bears need to see this level hold as resistance. 5 weeks of upside does favour a small pullback at the minimum.

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UNH is hitting critical support. If it closes below support a topping formation will be on watch. This stock is heavily weighted in the XLV.

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Massive Moves to the upside often see that move retraced over the coming weeks especially if market fundamentals deteriorate. none the less this stock likely sees a significant amount of profit taking.

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Apple has seen a massive reversal on earnings. A clear rejection off the 50 Weekly Moving Average has been observed. The sin Curve of the major moving average is starting to slope down with force and looks poised to start the next down leg with this rejection.

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Amazon likely sees a continuation move into the multi factor resistance white trendlines. If it reaches that level it will likely encounter some sell pressure.

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Google is near resistance but could push up a bit to tage and test the breakout trendline. The Fear and Greed index has now been trading in the fear side for 2 weeks. Usually prolonged trading in the Fear range foreshadows a near term downward pressure. What makes this intersting is the Fear index range was just tagged on the monthly & Daily time frame.

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Meta has rallied off of a major share buyback. This is now a perfect short setup as its approaching some massive resistance in a way overbought move. Accumulation on the short side should be high risk to reward setup.

03:28

Trading-Capital

Analyzing the Vix and discussing why we the markets could be in for a surprise in the next 1-2weeks as the vix hits major support. However if no surprise arises, and the vix confirms below key support, we may continue an upward grind.

Trading-Capital Updated 

Similar pattern appearing on the DJT. Will we see the upside move completed or will it fail like it did in 2018/2019.

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ERY is on the verge of breaking out of a falling wedge from the lows of the chart. Very likely to see a breakout here. If it fails we will see the lower wedge act as next major support level.

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Nat Gas/ UNG is into massive support and completely oversold on the daily & weekly time frames. Everyone wanted nat gas at +$9 but no one wants it below $3. Funny how markets work. We are long Nat Gas in anticipation of a 25-50% bounce over the next 2-6 weeks.

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EPV looks to b breaking out of a falling wedge pattern ahead of the FOMC. does this indicate a bounce in rates and the DXY?

03:32

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Pfizer may provide a great risk to reward setup. Multi factor trade setup on pfizer likely sees a technical bounce. Keep in mind markets are weak.

20:00

Trading-Capital

Looking into all the major sectors of the S&P 500 to see if this breakout can be trusted. we review all sectors on a weekly basis to provide insights of the overall market. Most sectors have not broken out & trading at major resistance.

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Why is Copper so important to track and what can we learn from studying its price action. Copper simply put is the most used base metal in the world and really powers every aspect of world. Doctor Copper is telling us something. Copper has had an impeccable rally of the lows, this has been confirmed with the major rally in copper mining stocks. In this chart...

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Lumber is at a critical inflection point. Its likely telling us that Central bank policy is about to experience more inflation if they start to ease to soon. If Lumber continues to rally, its screaming more housing inflation could be around the corner. Since we have a major Technical Topping formation in play, Lumber is still vulnerable to more downside...

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This Lumber Weekly chart clearly shows the unique parallell range that confirmed a breakdown. Now to determine what likely happens next we wait to see if we get a close above or below the weekly key channel Resistance line. If rates remain soft we will likely get a continuation move to the upside.