TradingCocktail

TradingCocktail Updated 

Another MASSIVE squeeze on USD happening on Ukraine crisis ease moment. UZAR on MA200 D1 dynamic support and also overbought. Good Long opportunity.

TradingCocktail Updated 

good distribution and possible H&S.. short for long term.. lets see how this is going.

TradingCocktail Updated 

Fundamental insight: NFP will obviously print above the expected number today. This will raise the question on will the Fed stays with 25bps hike or 50bps. This is good enough to make SP fall.. but of course the 25bps is a more likely outcome for March. At the same time the so called 'cease fire' between Ukraine and Russia failed to make risk on mode on...

TradingCocktail Updated 

The economy of Junkies Asset Classes Published in early 2022, this is actually our forecast for the price of Bitcoin at that time.. You can check it on our medium for verification. Our fundamental compilation on bitcoin and asset classes in general and a pragmatical content, not married to ideals on both sides bulls and bears while the market is...

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The 'Why' is here:

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Fundamental Insight: No hike and dovish RBA as expected, they use geopolitical risk as excuse. AUS200 slump after the announcement, good long here as there's easing tension on Ukraine crisis, and bullish on US indeces too as now market betting for 25bps hike only.

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Yen very weak vs CHF since Asia session. Perhaps yen will be more stronger as the Ukraine and Russia delegation meeting seems will not get the deal done immediately and potential stalemate here.

TradingCocktail Updated 

Fundamental Insight: Sell the fact on Ukraine crisis could end, and everything back to normal theme which more fundamental than the geopolitical sentiment. The uprising inflation and rate high, which will keep overvalued asset dropping after all the easy money policy distributed into this most overvalued asset.

TradingCocktail Updated 

Reason is on the previous/related post. All the previous divergence show the dump, perhaps this one also will.

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Crypto still under pressure toward March rate hike.

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Feel free to interpret it. Fundamentally Indeces is still very fragile fundamentaly. Good R:R short.

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With all the problems escalating on Ukraine, inflation, aggressive hike, this seem possible.

TradingCocktail Updated 

The real issue is not the Ukraine Crisis, but the rate hike and inflation which eventually will kill all the overvalued asset. Look at our publication for the reason why this will happen.

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U.S. Believes Russia Intending To Launch A Full Invasion Of Ukraine Within 48 Hours – U.S. Intel Sources To Newsweek Several Ukrainian Government Websites Under Cyberattack

TradingCocktail Updated 

Risk-On mode for now, technically good setup as indeces and yield rebound.

TradingCocktail Updated 

10Y Yield on the rise, and so DXY.. good R:R. Ukraine crisis stop escalating for now.

TradingCocktail Updated 

Short on the London Open. Good R:R. Nothing change still on the same situation in Ukraine Crisis, good setup for long CHF after some correction.

TradingCocktail Updated 

Fundamental insight Another hawkish Fed Bullard commentary and increasing tense is back to Ukraine crisis. FED’S BULLARD: GOOD TARGET IS TO HAVE FUNDS RATE UP BY ABOUT 100 BPS BY JULY 1