Smart Money's Secret Signal: Commercial Traders Are Loading Up on Natural Gas The natural gas market is displaying compelling signals that suggest a potentially significant bullish trend change on the horizon. Through careful analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report and several other key market indicators, we're seeing a convergence of bullish factors...
Gold, Silver & Palladium are nicely setup for shorts if we get a confirmed bearish trend change on the daily. Worth noting, Palladium recently had a major bullish divergence trigger, which implies higher prices coming for this market. Enjoy your week.
ZL & ZC are fundamentally setup for shorts if we get a confirmed daily bearish trend change. I like ZL more than ZC, for reasons outlined in the video. Have a good week.
Natural gas is nicely setup for longs if we get a confirmed bullish trend change on the daily. -Extreme commercial long positioning (most long they've been in the last 3 years) - bullish. -Investment advisor sentiment very bearish - which is actually bullish. -Undervalued vs gold & treasuries - bullish. -ADX under 40 while commercials got extremely long -...
COT analysis shows that the Euro and Mexican peso are nicely setup for longs upon a confirmation of bullish trend change on the daily. The only "fly in the ointment" here is that the DXY commercial positioning is still very bullish, which is a bit of a mixed signal. Ideally, we like to see the DXY & majors give opposing signals simultaneously. That being said, 6E...
Today, we look at the Mag 7 via the following methods. MAC (Moving Average Channel). Valuation with Trend. High Timeframe Divergence. To summarize, overall, these markets are generally bullish. I outline areas of interest where I will be looking for trades to the long side. Have a great weekend.
Today we take a look at ETH and lay out a variety of trade ideas. MONTHLY: From the Monthly perspective, ETH remains very Bullish. Essentially, going long ETH anywhere at or below the low of the Monthly MAC is a legitimate spot to buy. The target based on the Monthly chart is around 3,400 (approximately 30% above current price level). From an investment...
Utilizing the very effective and non-discretionary MAC strategy, coupled with lower timeframe divergences for entries, we take a look at DXY from the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly perspective. Have a great weekend.
A very quiet week for COT setups. This week, Corn is still a setup market for shorts. This video goes into why I am looking to short Corn if I get one of my 3 entry triggers. Have a great weekend.
This week is a quiet week for COT setup markets. In this video I overview how the currency setups which I have identified over the last few weeks (Long USD, Short JPY, AUD, CAD, EUR) have played out and are well underway. As of right now, the only currency that is setup for a trade is the Mexican Peso. This video reviews the combination of factors which have...
This tutorial might be short, but it is packed with potent information on how to REALLY trade divergences. Divergences are one of the BEST ways to catch market reversals. However, from what I have seen, most people do not have a real process for determining when a divergence is actually confirmed/triggered, and then how to determine targets based on the...
This week, ZL, ZM, ZC & ZW are all setup for shorts based on the COT strategy. This is a SETUP market, it does not mean short now. It means if I am presented with an entry TRIGGER, I will enter short. Until then, I wait. Enjoy your weekend.
A few weeks ago I was calling for shorts on 6J, longs on DX, and shorts on ZB. Those trades are well underway, with partials already taken. This week, COT strategy is supportive of longs for DX. Of particular interest is 6A (AUD). The commercials are more short this market than they have been in over 3 years. This is a very bearish signal. I will be focusing on...
A few weeks ago, I was calling for longs in CL, HO & RB based on the COT strategy. The move is underway, but based on new analysis this week, I would look to take further long entries in these energy markets. There are currently no COT strategy setups for NG.
Overall, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. The Monthly & Weekly MAC strategy is still supportive of looking for buy triggers on pullbacks into the Monthly/Weekly MAC lows. I will be looking for entry triggers on entry timeframes if Bitcoin pulls back into the $56K to $57,500 price range, and would consider still hunting entries if it trades below these levels. The...
Monthly & Weekly MAC strategy suggests dips into the Weekly &/or Monthly MAC low are good setup areas for going long. Essentially, I'm looking to buy the dip if we get a price move into the levels noted in the video. I would not just be buying the MAC lows. I would be looking for entry triggers on my entry timeframes in those areas. I also point out that there...
Corn recently has had the monthly bullish divergence confirmed with Septembers monthly close. This has major implications for corn, as I anticipate corn to now trade up at least 15% from current prices, up to a max move of approximately 35%. Monthly divergence triggers such as this are signals that the prudent trader must pay attention to. This does not mean I...
Soybean Meal recently confirmed the monthly bullish divergence with Septembers candle close. This is a significant signal that prudent traders should pay close attention to. What this signal implies is that there is a minimum 15% move to the upside from current price ahead for Soybean Meal. The high end target is a 30% upside move. This does not mean this market...