TrendTao

TrendTao

🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 📊 Trade Balance: The U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to $96.50 billion in December, up from $78.20 billion in November. 📈 Key Data Releases: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (8:15 AM ET): 🏢 Forecast: 148K | Previous: 122K Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): 🏭 Forecast: 52.8 | Previous: 56.8 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): 📊...

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🔮 📅 Tue, Feb 4 🌎 Market-Moving News: 📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods. 🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET):...

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🔮 📅 Mon, Feb 3 ⏰ 10:00 AM ET 📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI Previous: 49.3 Forecast: 49.2 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery...

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🔮 📅 Fri Jan 31 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%) 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher from earnings, then...

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🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025 📅 Thu Jan 30 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K) 🌎Global Events: 🇪🇺 European Central Bank Meeting: The ECB is expected to announce its monetary policy decision, with markets anticipating a rate cut. 🇩🇪 Germany GDP Release: Germany will publish its GDP...

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🔮 📅 Wed Jan 29 ⏰ 2:00pm 📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%) 📜 FOMC Statement ⏰ 2:30pm 🎙️ FOMC Press Conference 💡 Global Events: 🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting: Market-moving interest rate decision and policy updates. 🇪🇺 Eurozone GDP: Preliminary Q4 GDP data for the Eurozone could impact global sentiment. 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead...

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🔮 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 💡 Global Events: 🚩 China PMI: Key manufacturing data impacting global growth. 🍵 U.K. Business Report: Updates on investments and pensions. 📊 Earnings: GM and LMT pre-market results. 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near...

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🔮 📅 Mon Jan 27 No major U.S. data 🌍 Global Watch: ECB signals 2025 rate cuts (25–50 bps expected). 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am ET 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 🌍 Global Watch: Eurozone inflation rises to 2.4% (stagflation risks). 📅 Wed Jan 29 ⏰ 2:00pm ET 📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%) 📜 FOMC Statement ⏰ 2:30pm ET 🎙️ FOMC Press...

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🔮 📅 Fri Jan 24 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.1% 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.8% ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Chicago PMI: 36.9 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Trump mentioned he will try to lower the rates. Let’s see how the markets adjust to it, but...

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🔮 📅 Thu Jan 23 🗓️ Day 4 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 217K) ⏰ 11:00am 🎙️ President Trump Speaks 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -0.1M (prev: -2.0M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: If we gap up once more, we will break all-time highs. This will be met by a big decline to juice liquidity. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Only resistance...

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🔮 📅 Tue Jan 21 🗓️ Day 2 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Wed Jan 22 🗓️ Day 3 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Thu Jan 23 🗓️ Day 4 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 220K (prev: 217K) ⏰ 11:00am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -2.0M 📅 Fri Jan 24 🗓️ Day 5 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Flash Manufacturing PMI: 49.4 📊 Flash Services PMI: 56.8 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 Existing...

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🔮 📅 Fri Jan 17 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Building Permits: 1.46M (prev: 1.49M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will get pinned down by the weekly zone before dropping lower. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: People finally decided to be bullish after seeing yesterday's price action. Let’s bet against them first, then close it around 5925. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will...

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🔮 📅 Thu Jan 16 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (prev: 0.7%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 201K) 📊 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -5.2 (prev: -16.4) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Craziest thing was the amount of people...

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🔮 📅 Wed Jan 15 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core CPI m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.3%) 📊 CPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.3%) 📊 CPI y/y: 2.9% (prev: 2.7%) 📊 Empire State Manufacturing Index: 2.7 (prev: 0.2) ⏰ 10:30am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.0M 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Pullbacks here and there but...

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🔮 📅 Tue Jan 14 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Pullbacks here and there but will get bought up. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish...

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🔮 📅 Tue Jan 14 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%) 📅 Wed Jan 15 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.3%) 📊 CPI m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.3%) 📊 CPI y/y: 2.9% (prev: 2.7%) 📊 Empire State Manufacturing Index: -0.3 (prev: 0.2%) ⏰ 10:30am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.0M 📅 Thu Jan 16 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev:...

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🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024 📅 Fri Jan 10 ⏰ 8:30am 💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%) 👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 164K (prev: 227K) 📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%) ⏰ 10:00am 📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: 74.0 (prev: 74.0) 📈 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: 2.8% 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: The...

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🔮 📅 Wed Jan 8 ⏰ 8:15am 🧑‍🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (prev: 146K) ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 214K (prev: 211K) 🎙️ FOMC Member Waller Speaks ⏰ 10:30am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.8M (prev: -1.2M) ⏰ 2:00pm 📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Slight rally higher and then chop out. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A little more upside and then faced...