$NFX Newfield Exploration approaching overbought territory today on light volume with an MFI of 95 after trading green 12 of the last 13 sessions. Expecting the 50d ema to provide some strong resistance - will be looking for a close under $18.00 for confirmation (<$17.75 ideally). Targeting a 10%-15% retrace back to $15.00-$16.00 range by early February. Note...
$BBBY Looking very overbought at at this point, expecting strong resistance around $15.35 level. Playing for a near term retrace. See chart for possible near and medium term targets. Opened position in next weeks $16.00 puts for just over a dollar - a nice ITM high delta play. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$THC Tenet Health - Possible inverse head and shoulders formed on the hourly. Will monitor for a break above $18.00 resistance. Targeting $21.25 gap-fill (from mid-December) by mid to late January. Additionally, there has been some unusual bullish options activity today with around 43k Jan'2020 $20.00/$25.00 strike call options traded today for a total premium...
$NFLX Topping out today, expecting some retracement in the coming days. Two gaps left open below. Volume peaked last Friday and has been in decline since. Hanging man candle today on the daily a bearish sign. RSI and MFI topping. Targeting $298 level by Friday. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$SQ Breaking through the downtrend line today on solid volume. Will be looking for a close today above $60.60 for confirmation. See chart for near and medium term target levels. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$WWE Approaching upper resistance line on long term rising wedge with a low volume rally today. Fundamentally this stock looks very over-priced with a P/E of 84x...almost as high as Netflix 93x...except with 5% of NFLX revenue, 5% of NFLX earnings growth, and less than a third of NFLX revenue growth. Up over 130% from the start of 2018, this stock has much farther...
$AAPL Apple - Over $250M in December Puts purchased today with another $100M+ in January Puts. A major fund with deep pockets is expecting additional downside in the very near term. I'm targeting the 200d ema on the weekly chart or about $150 by January. If that doesn't hold, next major support would be around $133. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$AR Antero Resources - Appears to have found a bottom around $9.00 in December. RSI is beginning to trend upward on the daily chart with price still moving relatively sideways. If oil can continue to recover as we move into 2019 I expect AR to bounce back well above $10 within a short period of time. Will monitor for a break above ~$9.90 resistance before...
$NVDA Puts led Calls today 100 to 1 . Roughly $530 MILLION DOLLARS of $NVDA Puts purchased today deep in-the-money. The biggest red flag is they were all near-term expiration December and January. The daily chart supports a continuation of this final 5th wave down. Depending on the severity of the move I see two possible targets by January - $120 Long-Term...
$WSM Williams-Sonoma - Death cross on the daily chart earlier this month. After a post-Xmas bounce price has been rejected at down trend line resistance. Expecting continued declines into Q1 2019. See chart for two possible medium term targets. Adding to the bearish outlook, we saw some unusual options activity late last week with 16k Jan'19 47.50 strike (OTM)...
$MU Micron - Some significant bearish put options activity yesterday far out in time contracts deep in the money. - 15k $40.00 strike June'2020 put options traded vs OI under 2k for $18M in premium - 10k $45.00 strike January'2021 put options traded vs OI of 4.1k for $16M in premium If both trades were the same fund it's possible this was another diagonal...
$DISH Dish Network Corp - Possible long term head and shoulders formation on weekly chart. Based on Fibonacci levels, long term target $14.50 by July 2019. Bearish unusual options activity today - - 5.4k $22.50 strike (OTM) Jan'2020 puts traded today for total premium of $2.5M against OI of 2,685 contracts. - 13.3k $17.50 strike (OTM) Jun'2019 puts traded...
$CRM Salesforce.com holding within what looks like a bullish channel for the last few months. - Bullish options activity today with 15k $155.00 strike (OTM lottos trading for under $1.00 - Delta 0.11) Jan 18th 2019 call options traded for $1M in premium against OI under 5k. As well as 3.8k $135.00 strike (ATM - Delta 0.54) Feb 2019 call options traded for $3.3M...
$AAPL Viewing today's bounce as a temporary short covering rally, as we were extremely oversold coming into today. As long as Apple has not broken through the downtrend line it's been riding since early November, I'm still bearish for the near term. See chart for a couple possible near term targets. Adding to the bearish near term sentiment, we saw some...
$WBT Welbilt - Oversold at $11.50 support. Two possible medium term price targets on chart. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$UXIN Chinese used car e-commerce platform Uxin saw bullish unusual options activity today with about 5.5k $4.00 strike (deep ITM) Feb'19 calls traded for a total premium of about $3M against OI of under 1k. Uxin recently announced that it had entered into a partnership with the world’s largest online marketplace Taobao (owned by Alibaba $BABA). The stock is...
$COST Costco tagging key $200 support level today looking very oversold. Expecting a price recovery into the 1st quarter of 2019. Note there is an un-filled gap below $200 from June of this year - could see us dipping as low as $198 this week. A close this week below $198 would be bearish - ideally we stay above $200. Targeting mid-December overhead gap-fill of...
$LMT Bullish falling wedge into long term gap-fill from May 2017. Playing for a near term bounce back to $290 by January. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.