UnknownUnicorn1043646

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for Softbank: - Evergrande's temporary suspension has it out of sight and out of mind, but it is expected to default on the 18th. How soon they forget. The corporate bond market collapse is not localized, but instead is spreading: - We have reached the end of a Yen Carry Trade Cycle: - Japan is #1 in the world in debt, boasting a Debt-To-GDP of 266%...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for Macro: - Currencies lead stocks. Get the dollar right, and you get most things right. Few things are above the dollar in hierarchy of economic cycles. - I have been following and studying the dollar for a while, in ideas like this one: - However, there is another currency of great importance - the Yen. - Japan's Central Bank is the creditor of the...

UnknownUnicorn1043646

Idea for ES/US500: - Head and Shoulders pattern. - Price stalling beneath 50 DMA. - Trend reversals are characterized by exhaustion candles, and frequently end up in right shoulders as dip buyers step in. A most opportune entry is presented. GLHF - DPT

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for Indices: - HSI is in something like an island top reversal. Was expecting a bounce to 20 DMA, but only seems to be getting 9 DMA and looking on the verge of collapse. - This "bull flag" that it was in previously resolving in this way is a huge clue... as this pattern exists right now in so many important markets globally. - China has already popped their...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Brief for SPX: - It would appear that the quick bounce to ATHs from the September window of weakness has been negated and the market is suffering prolonged weakness. - Dip buyers have continued to be distributed on with quick rallies that are just as quickly smashed down (Bear market: Big rips, big dips), signaling motives of market participants. - The dollar has...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for MRNA: - Good level for reversal. Aug 13 is the capitulation date. - Stop is at 41 degrees. - Gamma squeeze bubble ends with big deflation. TP1: Gap fill 260~ PT 0.5 retrace of move: GLHF - DPT

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Line of Least Resistance determined by Underlying Conditions in my Global Macro Campaign. Price Action Behavior suggests short attack taking advantage of sellers at previous breakout, to accumulate for next wave... which is building up quickly. I will know if my suspicions are correct at the median line. US-China tensions will make the supply scarce, and NATO...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for VIX: - Today the SPX dropped over 1%, yet VIX did not budge, VX futures and SKEW dropped off into the close instead. - SKEW which had been elevated previously has dropped during the last 2 VIX spikes, yet VIX is not stopping its advance, nor are indices stopping their decline. - At the very last second of the close, Biden signed a bill which would...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

On Sept 5, 2021, a black swan appeared in Tiananmen Square. On 2021, 9/29 (1929), the QE bubble ended and the global recession began. GLHF - DPT

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for SPX: - I think that we will have a bit of a rally in the short term. - A bit of a lengthy post to document process and my thoughts on the market psychology here. The hardest trades to make are usually the best ones to make. - Traders have been betting on a trend reversal of this ungodly bubble, but after a 5% correction, there are many warning signs of...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Brief for SPX: - Weakness in price due to Quad Witching ahead of FOMC. Controversy in taper announcement as ECB has done. - Technical weakness in price, as it has fallen out of a rising wedge and as of yet, failed to make a quick recovery to ATHs as usual. Price closed in a DCF, indicating weakness in the dominant cycle. - Fears of real estate market collapse in...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Brief for IWM: - Bull flag to give a try. - Rotation out of tech and into cyclicals, tailwinds due to rising yields. It should benefit Russell. - Potential EOY rally due to seasonality, September seasonality may be behind us. GLHF - DPT

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for SOHU: - China is now beginning an easing cycle. - While rising yields may take the wind out of US tech's sails, there is an opportunity in China tech, if one can stomach the regulation risks. - Price has formed an immensely bullish setup (C&H/Bull Flag). GLHF - DPT

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Brief for JD: - China is now beginning an easing cycle. - While rising yields may take the wind out of US tech's sails, there is an opportunity in China tech, if one can stomach the regulation risks. - This may go on a 6month+ rally GLHF - DPT

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for DBA: - Agriculture on an uptrend but testing a down TAIL resistance. - Rejected at resistance, re-testing. - Watching for the short if rejected again, or fakes breakout to the sliding parallel and fails to breakout. GLHF - DPT

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Model has given entry signals for Genco Shipping & Trading Limited: - "Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes worldwide. The company, through the ownership and operation of dry bulk carrier vessels, transports iron ore, coal, grains, steel products, and other dry-bulk cargoes. It...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Model has given entry signals for Dry Bulk Shipping: - The investment seeks to provide investors with exposure to the daily change in the price of dry bulk freight futures. - We expect a boom in the shipping and freight sector with the pandemic backlog, and nations increasing their industrial production to meet new initiatives. - We are very excited about...

UnknownUnicorn1043646 Updated 

Idea for UVXY: - Vol Compression Cycle nearing its end. - Long October. - The 'Big One' is approaching. GLHF - DPT