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ger30 trendanalysis Less Tags Show All Tags
GER30 Pivot at 10250
GER30
, 60
GER30: GER30 Pivot at 10250

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DAX Weekly and Monthly RSI perspective (Update I)
DAX
, W
Long
DAX: DAX Weekly and Monthly RSI perspective (Update I)

This is update I of RSI perspective for the timeframes Weekly and Monthly. I try not to attach too much value to these types of views, as they say little about price and divergence between RSI and price can go on for a long time. Monthly: Monthly has broken the 2009 support and went a lot deeper than i (and probably many others) initially expected. RSI on this...

SPY MM flag breakout 28th Aug. 201
SPY
, 15
SPY: SPY MM flag breakout 28th Aug. 201

Potential targets when price breaks out of the flag

GER30 Was the recovery strong enough after the quick sell off?
GER30
, 60
Short
GER30: GER30 Was the recovery strong enough after the quick sell off?

I'm thinking this sell off needs a double V confirmation before it heads off higher. Time will tell. I'm currently on the sideline playing only small scalps. No big entries at the moment.

SPX500 Manoeuvring through a blow off phase
SPX500
, W
Short
SPX500: SPX500 Manoeuvring through a blow off phase

My view on what i will try to find on weekly, while manoeuvring through this blow off phase. 1. Denial: "We're still in a bull market!" 2. Bull trap: "BTD!" 3. Fear: "Hmm macro a lot worse, also Trump for president..., should i... what if... uhhh... uhhh... aaaaaah...!!!" 4. Capitulation: "NOOO! Bear market, time to sell. Or do i just hold and sit this out?" 5....

SPY Possible reversal after closing at Low Of Week (LOW)
SPY
, W
Long
SPY: SPY Possible reversal after closing at Low Of Week (LOW)

I saw an interesting chart a while back on TV from a user whose name i can't remember anymore. The user showed that when a week closes near or at the Low Of Week (LOW) it has a high probability of reversing the next week. Not a general rule, but i think it was ES/SPY specific. I'm not taking nor holding any position with SPY. I also don't see it making a new ATH...

GER30 price failure, -3.75% removed from bear market
GER30
, D
GER30: GER30 price failure, -3.75% removed from bear market

Price movement and potential in %. +5.45% : Still up for 2015. For how long? :) -20% : Beware of the bear market. -11.7% : Downside sell off so far. -5.55% : Important trend line encounter. I have entered a 10% long call position at channel support to follow my trading system, but the channel support has completely failed and price is on it's way to test the...

DAX Weekly and Monthly RSI perspective
DAX
, M
Short
DAX: DAX Weekly and Monthly RSI perspective

This is my RSI perspective for the timeframes Weekly and Monthly. I try not to attach too much value to these types of views, as they say little about price and divergence between RSI and price can go on for a long time. Monthly: Looking at monthly RSI i see a H&S where the right shoulder is confirmed and RSI is close to hitting the 2009 rising trend support. I...

GER30 What i'll be looking at (June 10, 2015)
GER30
, 240
Long
GER30: GER30 What i'll be looking at (June 10, 2015)

Bearish short term channel support holding after yesterday's sell off. If GER30 manages to close around 11190, i think testing 11600 the coming days will have a high probability.

UMC At bottom of inv cup long term support
UMC
, D
Long
UMC: UMC At bottom of inv cup long term support

I'm seeing a nice long position for UMC developing. Technicals: - RSI in pennant in the oversold region. - Price forming a falling wedge, falling into the support of the inverted cup long term support. T1 Jun15-Aug15: 2.38 T2 Jun15-Dec15: 2.60

PG Trying to say something?
PG
, M
PG: PG Trying to say something?

What's that PG? Not sure what you're trying to say. Hmmm.

SPX500 Silly attempt at guessing paths
SPX500
, 240
SPX500: SPX500 Silly attempt at guessing paths

Note to self: this will be so awkward to look back at.

SPX500 The scenario no one wants
SPX500
, D
SPX500: SPX500 The scenario no one wants

2 months sideways ahead? Rinse repeat. Range bound with a top of 2150 at most.

GER30 What ill be looking at (June, 2015)
GER30
, 240
GER30: GER30 What ill be looking at (June, 2015)

This is my view for June 2015. The most important line is the red line below the bullish channel (double line, least steep bullish channel). If ger30 closes below this line, i would see it as the invalidation of the drawn scenario.

Congratulations SPY-VIX with the new ATH of 200.06
SPY
, D
Long
SPY: Congratulations SPY-VIX with the new ATH of 200.06

On Friday May the 15th SPY-VIX closed at a new ATH of 200.06! *pop says the cork* If you believe that VIX/VXX leads SPY, then a new ATH on SPY will be a fact in the week of Monday May the 18th. Congratulations :)

8 SPY SECTORS FROM HIGHEST TO LOWEST WEIGHT
XLB
, D
XLB: 8 SPY SECTORS FROM HIGHEST TO LOWEST WEIGHT

This chart shows 8 SPY sectors from the highest to the lowest weight*. You can copy/use this chart by going to the Share icon on the chart (below the like button) and click the Make it mine button on the popup. Enjoy! * Taken from www.sectorspdr.com on May 9th, 2015. It's missing XLU (2.75%), because TV has a limit of 8 charts.

EXPE Blow-off top as fake out, back to rising wedge support
EXPE
, D
Short
EXPE: EXPE Blow-off top as fake out, back to rising wedge support

A nice blow-off top as a fake out on EXPE should make it's way back to the rising wedge support. Fake out seems confirmed by negative divergence on RSI and OBV. T1 Jun15-Jul15: 92.74 T2 Jun15-Aug15: 88.57

GER30 What ill be looking at (May 14th, 2015)
GER30
, 240
GER30: GER30 What ill be looking at (May 14th, 2015)

Yesterday's turn around was quite intense and rather unexpected. Presumably led by bad US macro that even had the EURUSD and gold rallying. So, there are some mixed signals at the moment, hence the neutral view. This could still make an inverse h&s, but the argument for it is weakened after the quick sell off. It seems both bears and bulls are equally ready to...

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