3/13/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK Rental book - ppl ditch their shoes and go homeless chic in a recession, right? - look. of all the shoe names, this is the only one w the best growth, economics etc. etc. - but what's probably SHTF 20% case low? 7-handle. instead of high $5s EPS, you probably end up near $5 and so instead of 20x PE you're at 15x (remember the...
3/13/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:PATH meh. tough call... pass? - snagged a meager position of this AH -16 or so % - read the transcript. i'm just not impressed. all this "cash generation" is just going to buying back shares of so much stock comp. and honestly, blaming "macro economic" situation for budget decisions being kicked (which that may be true) is just...
3/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:OLPX welcome back to my PnL - after posting decent results - this premium haircare product co can probably do $100 mn fcf (v miminally) on 1 bn EV is 10% yield - i like the fact that the bar is low, this stock has held its own thru leadership transition - i'm not in love with amanda, but it's probably the fact that i'm not so in...
3/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NVO Hey now.. mr. mkt. i'll buy some - i'm the first to tell you, i think pharma is rotton to the core - but let's play the game here, emotions r a PnL killa - sub 20x PE for 20-30% GROWTH? - 4%+ cash yields - EU's biggest co (and btw that's great orthogonal exposure to US tech) - healthcare "defensive", and you get growth here? -...
3/10/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GCT Interesting. Watching $15, buy $12 - produces >$100 mm cash on round up $800 mm of EV... so yield checks box - has been actually growing - logistics, so mgns are not where i'm used to investing - but LT chart still looks legit - i'm sure tariffs r not helping - adding this one to my e-comm list for if/when $12 so hard to add...
3/10/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:VST I'm in. - as we rearrange chairs on the titanic - i am actively finding the chairs already generating >5% fcf yield (ideally closer to 10%), growing, not having missed, good charts, mgmt etc. - think i have a portfolio of 20-25 of these. trying to trim down to 10-15 and make them 1.5-2.5% positions each with my core positions...
3/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GAMB Hit my "would like to own" zone - we're in the hand grenades and not sniper market - cash gen here great. good mgns. - small cap, good growth - like the CEO - hit my "would buy" zone today - i'm allocating about 20% of my book to 1-2.5% positions this year that i plan to rent out (covered calls) when the mkt finds some form of...
3/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MDB Becoming interesting <$200 - returning to the scene of the crime - we're about 5-6x sales, what's a turn between friends - big SBC is what always keeps me meh on software unless i know it well... but they put up decent results/ guide "pass" let's say - we've seen worse - got unlucky reporting on a day like today, so factor that...
3/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:GWRE FAFO - 2% fcf yield - nothing ex pltr gets the 100x PE for "50%" NI growth - not in the business of shorting at the moment - but the owners here haven't pulled their head out of the bucket - i'll be waiting in the AM to take u to Fade U if u send it higher. - wouldn't be caught dead in this at the moment. wrong tape to FAFO. V
3/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AVGO #3 semi. it's a buy. - guys - this isn't NASDAQ:MRVL - if NASDAQ:NVDA and NYSE:TSM are S tier... i also like NASDAQ:MU as a supporting actor here (same line of thinking as NYSE:TSM ) - but at 3% fcf yields, 30x PE growing 30%+ - tough to not like this - let's see what jobz brings tmr, that could determine everything...
3/5/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:VEEV i'd buy it in any other tape - 4% fcf yields - growing small teens - fact that they're in life cycle-mission critical functions means probably more insulated from "roll your own" AI solutions that are plaguing software/ specifically SaaS/cloud type multiples - would be a dip buy - but suspect a beat/ stock up - good luck to holders. V
3/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT NXT, Bitcoin, NVDA... that's it down to 3 positions the kings nxt - massively understated growth, mgns, consensus cash and buybacks coming (50% position in deep ITM LEAPS) bitcoin - there is no second best. way higher, even if we do a dip to 60s, 70s ST... who knows. (30% position) nvda - 25x PE for 50% CAGR. cash machine...
3/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin ONLY. - don't let ANYONE do the work for you - don't trust. verify. - solana is not Bitcoin - eth is not Bitcoin - cardano is not Bitcoin - XRP is not Bitcoin - there is but one Bitcoin, with 21 mm tokens available into perpetuity on the network - mathematically provable - energetically and cryptographic...
2/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARRY NXT is your daddy i have an absolutely degenerate position in NXT and for the first time... i feel super comfortable w/ my portfolio. go read my NASDAQ:QQQ note premkt for some context as to my arranging furniture on the titanic. +8% YTD as of writing, gave some back/ a lot tbh... but doing this all from a position of...
2/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:NVDA and tape in the month ahead (LONG READ) - wild day y'day - but let's set our feet and think ahead - first on nvda, and i'm choosing to post my portfolio/ allocation on this name bc it's an important one for mkt sentiment, risk, geopol etc. NASDAQ:NVDA 5% LEAPS (2x leverage) - majority of world still thinks...
2/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ bottom. everyone thinks it's the beginning of the end i'm finally going long w/ leverage ST stuff this was the NVDA leverage flush we were looking for post EPS (see last QQQ note) V
2/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BLDE playing tmdx here... - sometimes fishing in the non-passive pools can generate some interesting buys as these things get whipped around as if they're being sanctioned, tariff'd or otherwise _____ - NASDAQ:BLDE 's product remains solid. valuation cheap. i'll leave it there. it's a small cap. it could go either way. but the...
2/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:TSM lobotomiz-ably ez buy - let the plebs argue about the ST nvda px action (spoiler - this party has just gotten started) - TSM is the best semi sharpe - seeing intc up today does give me a lil shiver. USSA takktics at their finest - but don't lose sight of the obvious cash gen, clearly a move into the US is +ve for everyone -...