2/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:FSLR Cannon take fire. long. - this is by no means as big as NASDAQ:NXT given my conviction, familiarity w/ that one - but we've reached the point of "come on guys" - my thesis is we're in the middle of the stock market crash and it's been asynchronous which is why nobody is noticing and different mag7s have been used/ picked...
2/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ Welp. I'm short. - Back to 45% cash, i only like what i like and i've written about the names i would *like* to see get a bit of a beta-related-risk-off dump so i can put it back in at better pxs, CRYPTOCAP:BTC (thru OTC:OBTC ), NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:UBER and $tsm. - but look, i've written extensively about what concerns me...
2/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FOUR Probs a buy, but dip buy only for me - not expensive for growth - chart great - in any other tape where i'm not stacking cash i'd be punting long on this - it's possible i do take a small position into the close - but think i'll play it "risk free" and see the pitch go by. if stonk up, i let it run, if down, i dip buy. perhaps...
2/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:VRT lil ST punt only - not cheap, not expensive, but reasonable - dr. warren says... better to pay reasonable px for great asset than great px for mediocre asset - nvda results r on deck and mkt probably remains choppy until then, but my industry sources confirming this result will be smash and deekseek fear has more or less...
2/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:WMT breaking news "the consumer is not doing well" well fkn duh. if u own wmt... or cost... and think they r 40-50x pe types that grow MSD at best... NGMI i'm buying today NICE loaded the F back into NXT after doing some backlog work TSM more BTDR gl to all. this tape blows daily for some time. do what u can to stay solvent and...
2/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NICE lol. buy. duh? - i didn't plan on making this a 3% position. honestly it wasn't even on my top 10 list. but it was on some list. - are there any real people out there anymore? - these guys do like 900 mn in fcf this year... sub 10 bn EV and tons of cash and are buyback ppl. - not the most exciting product or leadership,...
1/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NICE nice sub $170 looks e-z buy - DD top line growth (meh, but "good") - 70% GM, 35% EBITDA mgn, *nice* - pretty near 100% FCF conversion (NI->FCF) and FCF yield about 8% on a ~10 bn EV - healthy balance sheet, net cash by ~1 billy - at 14x next yr PE (closer to 12x cash adjusted) for DD EPS growth, your mgn of safety is pretty...
2/19/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:KVYO Coming for another bite long - let's not get this tape twisted. this market is like some whack kids soccer match. nothing. everything. what the heck. who cares. what? - klaviyo remains one of those "odd" names that is taking share. their product, simply put, works and is winning. - this stock is NOT CHEAP. and honestly, this...
2/19/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BTDR Building core position <$15 - will post on this one a lot in the coming year(s) - Jihan founded bitmain which supplies 90% of the bitcoin chips today, was kicked out and is coming back to own the whole industry - NASDAQ:BTDR is a semiconductor company that looks to the untrained eye as "just another miner" - the smartest...
2/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:MED I'll call BS... super spec. long - it takes a lot for me to want to play EPS in this tape, but this is one i've looked at in the past, it's a multi-level-marketing company selling health/ weight loss food and selling GLP related stuffs under OPTAVIA - but when you look at the amt of cash and even stuff like inventory net of...
2/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OBTC Been slow loading... - keep OTC:OBTC in your watchlist - AND - keep OTC:OBTC/BINANCE:BTCUSDT/0.000332 - the above formula gives you the discount to NAV bc OBTC is a closed end fund - they've had some complications turning this into an ETF (lucky us). i know this one well. many of you know i've been making the mkts in the...
2/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:ANET Not obvious, sidelines - in this tape where we're mooning big beats/ gains (those have been software-related consumer and tend to be growing >25%) and shooting others (lower-growth w/ unclear outlooks) gives low visibility for how mkt will trade NYSE:ANET eps - on one hand, this stock has defn outperformed it's NASDAQ:QQQ ...
i'd rather be sippin' pina coladas on the balcony at this stage than continue at the beach party with clear skies darkening. think i've just been there, done that enough to not want to play the last minute FAFO game as much as one can possibly avoid it. so when i look out over the next 12 months... yup... let me stop right there... i don't think we can do that...
2/14/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CACI kinda obvious buy zone... - let's clear the elephant fart in the room... this isn't pltr, got it - but when you take a step back, here's a company that checks a few boxes, and is probably a good "money", a good orthogonal play to my current portfolio, a good valuation and plays to some theme that we haven't seen play out. - mr....
2/13/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:INTC Clearly in play - tons o debt in stack means equity is loose - clearly in play - taking a short on the 25C's weekly to "hedge" (my NYSE:TSM bc clearly that's what's required... if u peek) - small pos to play the game, already +50% on it as i write this. will see what/s up stock could ez see 3-handle today on this action/...
1/14/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:TSM Best value in tech. $300 this yr - among the obvious themes i'm playing in '25... semis, energy and bitcoin... NYSE:TSM is the best foundry money can buy - "china china" yuh yuh. whatchu gonna do about it. we are buying these headlines, these guys literally *own* the whole space and the flywheel to fund 2nm in taiwan and 4nm...
2/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:RDDT i'm bipolar on this... long print - i've been dead wrong about this one. honestly. - but there's no fighting the usage trends - valuation is still wildly expensive, but as one knows in this tape, until the music ends... a beat/ a good guide sends something like this... into nothing else matters territory - so we see meta...
2/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BLDE Adding more - last note in 11/18/24 spells out logic on valuation - not much has changed, but the px went up substantially - i get the sense ppl trade NASDAQ:BLDE like their other profitless low bid low liquidity trash - so on a day like today where it gets hammered, it feels more tape-related than fundamental, and i'm...