VROCKSTAR

VROCKSTAR

1/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:KSPI Fastest grow bank for <10x PE - if u don't like chinese stonks, brazilian carnival or int'l markets, mmm... a kazakhstan centric king kong that just bought some turkish e-comm exposure is probably not your jam - but if you're in the mkt to take risk and turn over some rocks, keep this one on your close radar. similar to when...

VROCKSTAR

1/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CMG Top of mind, but too expensive >$50 - quick one here - amazing product - comps/ industry of QSR/FSR (i'm looking at you NASDAQ:WING , NYSE:SG , NYSE:CAVA ) are horribly overpriced. you think they're making quantum computers and beaming space lasers into ai-powered robots to eliminate labor costs - but pt is, NYSE:CMG is best...

VROCKSTAR

1/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PTON Ambiguous at $9, 2025 R/R poor - have followed this yoga pants-wearing, starbucks guzzling, taylor swift blastin' name for some time - first, the balance sheet/ net debt levels require some obvious cash flow generation to be neutralized... especially after a 2.5-3x move from floor - on one hand the marginal change in sales...

VROCKSTAR Updated 

9/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AVGO long print at $155 - 7/10 idea. so for me that's small position - 30x PE on name that's growing 20's: reasonable - my fourth tier name after NYSE:TSM > NASDAQ:NVDA > NASDAQ:ASML > NASDAQ:AVGO - i literally own NO semi's rn outside of some AMEX:SOXL C's that are more managing exposure, book, length etc, and you'll...

VROCKSTAR

1/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ADBE Buyer <$430, but nuanced - at *almost* 20x sales (a hair above), it's not "easy" to buy a software co trading nearly 8x sales growing "only" high single digits and facing question marks about generative AI offer, monetization, "canva" threat etc. - reminds a bit of NYSE:UBER in a different context, where there remains a ?...

VROCKSTAR

1/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CACI a lil $420 anyone? - no NASDAQ:PLTR - but also worth a fraction of NASDAQ:PLTR - substantial cash generation, 4%+ FCF yield growing mid teens - consulting more than tech. but right segment - chart seems to have disconnected on the meme NASDAQ:PLTR move, but pls fill me in if i've missed something more material. - good...

VROCKSTAR

1/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:RPD meh at $40, cap structure doesn't help - MSD topline growth meh - healthy GM but lacking EBITDA mgn (spending a lot for not great top line) - decent FCF yield at 175ish FCF on 3000 EV = 5.8% or better than cash - but given the cap structure include net debt of 500 mm - to get a yield of closer to 7% (which is starting pt for...

VROCKSTAR

1/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DT want to own, but can't near $55... patience or pass - solid B2B analytics biz w healthy mgns, solid growth and cash gen - wrote about it in may '24 and only traded the Q for a quick in-out, didn't return to the scene of the crime at $40 (that's why it's important to set your alarms in trading view! as many as you can handle! and...

VROCKSTAR

1/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:KD it's worth a lot less... than $37 - i turn over a lot of rocks, as you guys probably guess. this one i'd never heard of until i looked thru the NASDAQ:SIXG etf's holdings and went "hem let's see" - look. it's a consulting company with LSD growth and promise of really churning the FCF engine in coming years. - i don't doubt...

VROCKSTAR

1/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AKAM taking another look. dead $ in '25 - wrote about NYSE:S earlier today, it's not "obvious" and there's some hair there but it's interesting. more of a trade. - got me looking to refresh my "cyber pandemic" list of about 20 names to see what's changed in the last 6 months as we turn the leaf into '25 as i think this sector...

VROCKSTAR

1/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:S Back in sub $23, but small - previous entry was so good at $17 that I sold too quickly (tends to be something I do - working on it in '25 - but i also cut losers too so that's good) - i like the inflecting margins here, profitable inflecting and mid 20s growth for a unique 7 bn EV (smallish/ M&A -able), for only 6x this year's...

VROCKSTAR

1/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARM don't get sucked in at $140 - those of you who follow know my preference in semis is NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AVGO (and there are some alts that i'm willing to entertain) - but why pay 80x PE for 20-25% PE growth when you could pay 35x for NASDAQ:NVDA at 40% CAGR EPS or 20x PE for NYSE:TSM growing 30%+ (and...

VROCKSTAR

1/2/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:INTU need low $500s or else gl sidelines 4 me - will keep it short and sweet like my post in may '24 - good name. think they will continue to lead their tax and biz planning niche - but at >30x PE and growing mid teens at best, i simply have to ask "is that the best (you) or i could do?" - i mean NVDA is similarly trading w/ better...

VROCKSTAR Updated 

12/27/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA don't overthink it. $200 in '25 - while you might be distracted by the 10x's being made in these last few months... space memes, salad bots, and now quantum fanboi <3, don't get lost in the meme and miss the best long with the best sharpe out there, NASDAQ:NVDA - while you scan X and there are mentions (valid) of...

VROCKSTAR Updated 

11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ASTS Y'all ready to ball? Bot it! - honestly i'm still pretty cash heavy, so i'm playing ITM calls (and have started taking profits today as well... still hold NASDAQ:META , NYSE:TSM , NYSE:UBER as well as added on the top to my long-dated NASDAQ:NXT 's and hold a nice bag of OTC:BITW too). - but that being said, with...

VROCKSTAR

dearest friends thanks for following my stream of thoughts starting mid way this year. my publishing started as a way to "log" my thinking when i encountered new names to both hold myself accountable and not repeat my process, as had been the case many times before. and i figured... why not make it public, in case it added any value to the never ending game and...

VROCKSTAR

12/27/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MSTR Pay attention at $325 - i plan to have a lot more to say on this in time, so i'll keep it brief. - first: "no" this is not some weird ponzi. again i'll elaborate on many of these points in time, and if you provoke me, i'll respond in the comments - second: "yes" it's likely going a lot higher and undervalued - simply put,...

VROCKSTAR Updated 

11/23/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PDD Close to buying again... ~$100 - have traded this one around quite extensively, but it's always been a rental, because I'm never quite confident to own chinese stonks after getting the Brandon treatment on my Yandex shares (which eventually turned to NASDAQ:NBIS and i got to dump for btc) - the VIE structures in china...