This trade is not primarily based on technical analysis, although it serves as a support for the position overall. It's my opinion that the very recent performance of the dollar is based on trailing economic data that does not accurately reflect a disparity between the Yen and the Dollar. It is primarily based on modestly positive economic data and the intention...
No context provided. Published for person track record.
This analysis is contingent on data that cannot be cited due to the source's explicit restrictions placed on republishing without expressed written consent. ULSD is of particular interest in the energy markets for the following reasons: • It is quoted based on delivery at New York Harbor. This means that it has localized supply / demand factors related to the...
Classic backwardation scenario, a textbook move. Major supply disruptions at Prelude floating liquefied natural gas (FLNG) facility in Australia, Nord stream at 20% flow, and a lag between demand and LNG deliveries to Europe will likely drive prices higher, but we are betting on what we know, the difference between spot and the August contract. We can expect the...
The money has been made, a rally from mid October has pushed the market quite high at a steep slope. However at this fever pitch, there are many indications that regardless of market fundamentals or traditional technical indicators and sentiments, history paints a particular picture of the present market. There is a notable parity between the CBOE put and call...
Rough market cycles are derived from significant resistance and support using the sine wave and cycle line tool. In tandem with this, the market cycle based reflex indicator cycle line has crossed trend line, as well as the 8 hour fisher transform being "overbought". I would not place a trade based on any of these indications separately, but collectively I believe...
Quick and dirty trade idea on soybeans. Nothing fancy by any stretch of the imagination. Previous 11.85 support is being tested, maybe we can make a dollar or two based on a quick pivot to the upside. As a result, a very tight stop loss is in order, this trade has a very high reward / risk ratio. No time will be wasted, the market shall crash though support and...
Hello! This idea is based upon a cycles analysis as well as a system that is best described a conformal geometry. Risk to reward ratio is approximately 1:10, currently short 3 contracts with the intention to roll them as necessary. This idea only covers the trade itself, the analysis behind it will be outlined in another idea published to my profile. Stay tuned.
For my own records. Entry 23905, 1:6.5 Risk to reward.
NDX crash, occurring between 7/7/20 and 7/11/20. Sorry, no description here. Strictly for my own records.
Here ye, ye, another tale of soothsaying, naysaying and doomsaying. I will make no attempt to justify my analysis. I am stating that the utterly absurd TSLA rally will be over very soon, perhaps within a week, or less! But certainly soon, and publishing a public idea is a great way of keeping track. I could be dead wrong, this a test of a new technical form of...
Another idea for my own records. Form of analysis is arcane, original, and I have no interest in an explanation.
The 44 period MA is virtually flat, signalling a pullback. All the technical indicators in the lower pane are also pointing towards a significant decline on multiple timeframes.
This trade is based purely on fundamental analysis. The dismal exchange rate has been caused by dramatic capital flight, a drastic decrease in exported commodities such as palladium and gold, Eskom bailout, and the monetary policy of the South African Reserve bank. Substantial risks are the unpredictable decisions of the South African Reserve bank. That being...
NKD (CME NIKKEI Fututes) price is inversely correlated with the Yen.This is the opposite of the relationship with most currencies andthe equities market of the respective country. Volume has declined,and it's likely that it will push 6J (CME Yen Futures) between .0093300 and .0093600
I'm really just publishing this one for my own records. Long entry when LBS pulls back to 356 or so, holding the contracts through June, then selling them.