William_Playfair

William_Playfair

BP and Shell move together and BP has already lead the way lower If Shell moves back to relative parity there is a 25% poss move Shell moves back to EMA 200 Shell moves back to 0.618 fib retracement of prior move This could be start of much larger move lower Most MSM are claiming inflation trade that oil will move higher but TA price chart shows breaking...

William_Playfair

As Oil is weak bearish case for Shell to sell back to its 200 EMA and then just fake out below this level to reach the 61.8 Fib retracement of the recent move up Shell looks like it just broke is support trendline Other points Oil has broken out of a wedge and appears to be moving lower BP and Shell move together and BP has made ATH at round number 500 and...

William_Playfair

Please see chart notes I am wrong if we get a blow off top back up and over the top of channel but if it falls back then this long term chart works. Its tough to get out at the top unless you are hedged now Market crashes typically come in late aug / Sep / Oct so just be careful out there We have not dropped back recently to test the Weekly 200 EMA for a...

William_Playfair

Possibility - the money that expanded on the BoJ central bank loans to international indicates the same periods of increase as shown on the chart so it looks like either the profits of the carry trade were put off shore. Or some of the money found its way here. Some will be returned as this carry trade unwinds BoJ shows 3-4 T of money in loans overall - it also...

William_Playfair

Optimism is at ATH Nasdaq is lead by 7 or so main stocks There has not been a major bear since 2007/8 and even then the market pulled back to historic overvaluation if you look at total data in the past 100 years Mutual fund mngrs cash reserve was at 2% historically low value suggesting a market top The upper trend line CAGL – capping ascending grind line was...

William_Playfair

Bearish case for BTCUSD Implies BTC longer term will go lower or at least its weak until the CForce picks up. Other charts like XRP and SOLUSD are going higher with CForce but if BTC drags them down we could all be bearish soon. ETH is very weak for Cforce on longer chart

William_Playfair

Bearish case for BTCUSD Implies BTC longer term will go lower or at least its weak until the CForce picks up. Other charts like XRP and SOLUSD are going higher with CForce but if BTC drags them down we could all be bearish soon. ETH is very weak for Cforce on longer chart

William_Playfair

Bearish case - Island top reversal made today suggests further selling unless the gap can be closed Expect the price to move back to the 200EMA which is 5% away If it does not stop there it could be a small trend change as it happened on NFP non farm payrolls day Not advice only for educational purposes

William_Playfair

Bullish case - Long term chart shows tri pattern and if the target is met it takes 3600% to get there This relies and helps predict that the Gold price will over time move up much higher and the gold miners stocks like this one will go up not advice just educational purposes

William_Playfair

Bullish case - watch for direction and trade Bearish case - watch for break of trend line

William_Playfair

Bullish case if oil price holds up or steady then this stock should perform to the lower target 30% seems sensible Loads of other oil stocks moving up Marathon looks v nice Not advice just for education purposes

William_Playfair

Bullish case, JPY will strengthen as USD weakens as US markets look bit toppy and have had a good run. Look for JPY stocks to move upwards focus on triangles and win on exchange rates too Buy JPY vs other currencies here dollar example as you could have multi year turning point at key level of support. As in 2008-10 a recession for the rest of the world the...

William_Playfair

Bullish case, 100% gain back up to ATH and IH&S target Still forming so may not play out but nice to be early price over 200EMA New $20 tariff for unlimited data so better than their competition but its another 100% up in crypto when the cycle is right in crypto Not advice, just for educational purposes

William_Playfair

Bullish Gold. It was very obvious that Gold was going up to the Fib and Asc Triangle targets earlier this year. It was not beyond the wit of man to see this move and trade it. Now that you can see Asc tringles happen all the time and that projecting fibs from the prior move top to bottom can be used for Gold to set price targets. Gold is still in a strong...

William_Playfair

Bullish Gold. It was very obvious that Gold was going up to the Fib and Asc Triangle targets earlier this year. It was not beyond the wit of man to see this move and trade it. Now that you can see Asc tringles happen all the time and that projecting fibs from the prior move top to bottom can be used for Gold to set price targets. Gold is still in a strong...

William_Playfair

Bullish Gold. It was very obvious that Gold was going up to the Fib and Asc Triangle targets earlier this year. It was not beyond the wit of man to see this move and trade it. Now that you can see Asc tringles happen all the time and that projecting fibs from the prior move top to bottom can be used for Gold to set price targets. Gold is still in a strong...

William_Playfair

BTC hard to forecast due to no obvious pattern so look for similar pattern which moves in tanderum with BTC ie SOL - or is it just all one market now ? SOL tria 72% move broken out now, ETF etc Bonk starting to follow so hopefully its real break, SOL.D confirms the break upwards Anyway an alternative way to predict that BTC is about to go into a range between...

William_Playfair

Compare what happened on BTC? – so true money flow – real $ actually put into it At the time mrkt cap 1.4 T July 24 – (numbers rounded up easy maths) BTC @ Market cap of 1T it was estimated that 300 Billion of real money was used to push the price to give a market cap of 1T. This is because the last price paid is applied across all BTCs to create a ‘market cap’ we...