The bottom is in for sure and primary hypo of sustained rally north of 2800 is still in play. HOWEVER, I like the possibility of taking a quick trip back down to retest the middle BB, where many will think "oh we failed again, time to press/add shorts," giving us massive juice to really accelerate the rally. May peel off some leverage around the open of cash hours...
This is the stupidest thing I have ever seen, people selling Ruble because of newly imposed sanctions and Trump tweets. Ruble is in a bull market vs USD going back a couple years due to divergent policies by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Russia. Short this pair at will every time these stupid headlines hit.
MINIMUM 0.618 retrace before a pullback to test the 0.500 or trend line support before likely break higher again to the 0.786 Fib which will be a big decision point. Through 108 the Yen carry will be back to fuel a lot of the S&P summer rally and if it's pushing 112 we are talking about 2900+ SPX. No position here.
We are going. Multi-month lows are in. The ONLY chance bears have is to produce a hard fail at 2710 which would open up downside through to new lows but I give that scenario less than 10% chance. Again, expect VIOLENCE to the upside, this will not be some 3-8 handle per day grind rally.
Sloppy, but chopped its way through that declining trendline. Could see a quick backtest of that line but expect the move higher to start rather immediately. If there would be a failure above where we are it is at that 2705-2710 level but if we push north of 2712 we are talking about a violent move through 2800.
Oh baby, this is not pretty. Needs over 12k to even think about a possible comeback. No position.