Palladium is in a strong downtrend right now. In fact, in the Trend Following Market Trends Barometer , it is the strongest trend with a value of over 70%. We are opening short positions at market price with a very strong risk management metric - as always - aiming to surf the downtrend and lose only 0.5% of our portfolio value if there is a pullback. Our target...
The euro, as well as all its correlated currencies and related products, crossed critical support levels a few weeks ago and right now is in a pullback within the mid-term downtrend. The mid- and long-term trend are in phase 4 (bearish), and the RSI on the monthly chart is 23.32, which make it unreasonable to hold it. After our shorts and currency strategies a...
BTC is showing opportunities to execute risk-adjusted short positions through futures or DMA CFDs (avoid STP brokers). No matter if BTC bounces to the upside, we could also benefit from such situation, and we can place pending orders in order to take advantage of the most likely scenario on a quantitative and qualitative level: a mid-term downtrend....
In our last Bitcoin analysis with our TTW (trend-time-weight) system, we clearly positioned our portfolios for a very likely steady decline in the value of BTC with a target of $20K. Now that we are here, BTC is in a stage 4 (bearish), entering the 210 MA average on the weekly chart (the reference for a bearish market in the mid and long run). Under no...
The USD has shown and is showing a lot of strength in the markets over the last 12-16 months while the economy maintains growing risk of a global correction/systemic collapse. The USD is decorrelated from the Euro, Pound Sterling or Swiss Franc, to name a few of the suffering European currencies, having lost over 20% of its value in the last 12-16 months, without...
Bitcoin is in a very dangerous (bearish) situation by each quantitative metric in financial analysis -technical, fundamental and manipulative-. The mid-trend is clearly bearish, with a ~33 RSI in the weekly chart, and a ~46 RSI in the monthly chart, as well as bearish moving averages (210, 70, 14), and the price under them. The price is experiencing some...
The current mid-term bearish trend of international equity markets could end in a big upward rebound, or in the start of a correction. The coming weeks will be completely decisive.
BTC has broken key support levels, and is within a clearly visible bearish trend, under the SMA 210, 70, & 14, with an under 50 RSI and a MACD bearish cross. The next relevant support is around $30K. There are still odds that this is a false break out, so active traders and their bots should be prepared for possible long and short positions. There is a strong...
International markets are at key support levels, most of them in short-term trends achieving supports which, if breached, could foster corrections, but if not, could foster strong bullish trends. Volatility is coming.
BTC is going through a stage 1 trend (lateral), and could start a stage 2 trend (bullish) in the next months, staying above the 210, 70 & 14 MAs, and holding strong RSI and MACD numbers in weekly charts. In terms of chartism, it's going through the most bearish zones of a long-term uptrend channel. Fundamentally talking, the global economic landscape could...
The US Dollar is showing strenght, being over the 210, 70, and 14 MAs, with a strong and bullish RSI (64+ weekly, 61+ daily) and an important cross over in the weekly MACD (210, 70, 14). In terms of chartism, we are ending a bearish trend channel that could be a fake break out, so we will not necesarily find short-term bullish positions. We could find...
BTC has shown correlation signs with global markets in the last months. I am shorting again. Ratio P/L: + 5/1 Possible loss: 0.5% Position levels: SS: 5990 TP: 3401 SL: 6467 I will average a new short position around 4600 with a 0.75% wallet risk, and another one around 4000 with a 0.5% w risk.
Shorting since 51.20. We have averaged two times, and this is the third one. Max risk per p: 0.5% of wallet Ratio R/B: 1/4.4 S/L: 23 T/K: We do not set take profits, just manage the closing positions with the SMM 14. Decorrelation of portfolio: 30% Cash: 45%
Aprox. levels: BS: 7081; SL: 6.738; TP: 8.500 (20.04%) (-4.84%) = 15.2
Aprox. levels: BS 2.767; SL: 2.695; TP: 3.000 (8.42%) (-2.60%) = 5.82
Aprox. levels: BS: 1.33; SL: 1.30; TP: 1.36 (1) 1.43 (2) (2.26%) (-2.26%) = 0
Aprox. levels: BS: 6.61; SL: 6.47; TP: 6.78 (1) 7 (2) (2.57%) (-2.12%) = 0.45
Aprox. levels: BS: 1.375; SL: 1.3685; TP: 1.395 (1) 1.42 (2) (1.46%) (-0.47%) = 0.99