As seen in BA, an overbought RSI can stay overbought. For swing shorting, I like to wait until the stock crosses under the daily ATR trailing stop, even if it means missing the beginning of the move.
As seen, the DJT stayed overbought for a long time, in a "stepping stone" kind of move. On the other hand, if FDX knocks this down enough today, it could be a good sell-signal for other indexes.
With most equity markets soaring, there are only a few stocks I watch that have one hour bear flags. Here are 2 of them.
Yesterday, the SPX achieved the measuring objective from the inverse H&S break out. Usually, I measure it from the amount of the move prior to the break out.
The /ES forming a "three marching lemmings" MACD warning sign. This is when the product makes at least 3 successive highs, but the MACD makes 3 successive lows. This could indicate a near term change in direction, if a break of a defined trendline occurs.
A "Stewie Pattern" is an inverse head and shoulders pattern. When I highlight it, it sort of looks like Stewie, from Family Guy. In this case, the /ZB is trying to bottom out, but the MACD needs to work off the overbought condition. If the MACD can get back to at least the zero line, and the /ZB retains this bullish structure, then I would look to get long.
A "Brecher Ledge" is a bear flag, with the bottom trendline horizontal.
With U.S. markets starting to break down, I am watching for a possible breakdown in the /NKD as well.
There are many chart settings that traders use. These have worked for me for 40 years.
Many funds might push the "sell" button, if the /ES breaks the 50 SMA decisively.
When I look for bearish patterns,I like to look at multiple timeframes.bCAR looks like a perfect bear flag, but the longer term uptrend makes me cautious about playing it.
Many biotechs are trying to "turn the corner". Over 55 and NTLA could much higher. I am going to look at bullish call spread ideas this week.
Stocks like NOW have already filled the double gap. Most are now overbought on daily MACD's. IF markets start to sell off, MDB could fill the gaps on the downside.
Markets could still fill the second gap around 4000, That would coincide with the 50EMA. Many stocks have already filled "the double gaps".
The circle is the 50 percent retracement, the 200 weekly SMA , and the price support.
Usually a slowing in the economy hurts the growth oriented RTY the most. Instead, it is outperforming.
The /NQ needs to hold the breakout point from yesterday, or it could go much lower.
Equity traders will be focusing on 2 big things today. The action of Bitcoin, and the yield on the 10 year note. The 10 year is already spooking some, as the yield approaches 3 percent again. Bitcoin has to hold right here, or it could test the lows.