drduru

drduru

Above the 40 (January 4, 2019) – The Oversold Chronicles End As A Fed-Inspired Stock Market Explodes Higher January 6, 2019 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 20.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 13 days in oversold territory) AT200 = 14.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 21.4 Short-term Trading Call:...

drduru

AT40 = 10.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #2) AT200 = 15.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 34-month low) VIX = 24.5 Short-term Trading Call: bullish (caveats below!) Commentary The week started as I expected based on the technical setup on Friday that I discussed in the last...

drduru

AT40 = 31.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just off a 32-month low) VIX = 21.2 (as high as 25.9) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary I have become convinced that 2019 is going to deliver another one of those poor trading starts. The...

drduru

Nothing like a good sell-off to kindle interest. Until November 14th, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) held a floor between 5750 and 6000 for the entire year, whether on an intraday or “closing” basis. After that threshold broke down, sellers overwhelmed buyers to the tune of new 52-week lows. The cryptocurrency now sits at a 13+ month low, a -69% year-to-date performance, and...

drduru

AT40 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 24.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 32-month low) VIX = 22.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The technical damage continues in the stock market. Amid all the carnage and massive gap downs, I am surprised AT40 (T2108), the...

drduru

The business of stock prognostication is a tough one: a lot of uncertainty abounds, markets swing through surprisingly long bouts of herd-following and counter-trend sentiments, bots and market makers can rampage through the best technical setups, and companies sometimes only disclose the minimally required information. I dare to prognosticate only with risk...

drduru

It has been a while since I took note of the impact of economic numbers on the Australian dollar (FXA). For most of this year, I have instead been a lot more focused on what the Australian dollar, combined with the Japanese yen (FXY), might be saying about risk attitudes in financial markets. Today, I finally took note of economic drivers. The Australian Bureau...

drduru

AT40 = 35.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 34.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Hold up. Pump the brakes. The bounce from oversold conditions just got more difficult as sellers forced buyers to come to a screeching halt. The S&P 500...

drduru

Above the 40 (November 7, 2018) – Exclamation Points for the End of Oversold Trading Conditions November 8, 2018 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 40.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 37.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Financial markets made their...

drduru

Above the 40 (November 2, 2018) – The Bounce from Oversold Survives An Early Test November 4, 2018 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 22.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ends an 11-day oversold period that followed a 4-day oversold period AT200 = 31.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 19.5 Short-term...

drduru

Above the 40 (November 1, 2018) – An Extended Oversold Period Ends with Important Footnotes November 1, 2018 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 21.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ends an 11-day oversold period that followed a 4-day oversold period AT200 = 32.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX =...

drduru

AT40 = 17.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 10th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period AT200 = 29.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 23.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The small bullish divergence to start the week received follow-through in the form of a big...

drduru

Above the 40 (October 25, 2018) – Breadth Responds Poorly to Latest 1-Day Oversold Rally October 26, 2018 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 12.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 7th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period (as low as 10.3%) AT200 = 27.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 24.2...

drduru

Above the 40 (October 18, 2018) – A Second Oversold Period Gives 200DMAs A Fresh Challenge October 19, 2018 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 15.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 2nd day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period AT200 = 33.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up 6 percentage points) VIX...

drduru

Above the 40DMA (October 17, 2018) – A New Oversold Period for the Stock Market Despite A Bullish Intraday Bounce October 18, 2018 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 19.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 1st day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period AT200 = 37.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up 6...

drduru

Above the 40DMA (October 16, 2018) – Critical Stock Market 200DMAs Pass the Oversold Test October 17, 2018 by Dr. Duru AT40 = 20.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ended a 4-day oversold period AT200 = 39.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up 6 percentage points) VIX = 17.6 (drop of...

drduru

AT40 = 13.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – a 4th oversold day (below 20%) AT200 = 33.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 21.3 (no change) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary All eyes are now trained on the stock market’s critical long-term moving averages as oversold conditions...

drduru

AT40 = 11.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (hit an intraday low of 9.4%, oversold day #3) AT200 = 32.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (intraday low of 30.0%) VIX = 21.3 (a decrease of 14.7%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their...