elalemiami

elalemiami

If we continue to see the same pattern. BTC will keep above the green emas till 2026, finding bottoms around the last months of 2026. So we still got time. Relax and enjoy the ride.

elalemiami

I will be sticking to this idea because as you can see parabolas tends to be more flat over time due to the diminishing returns in btc nature. This might be the future path of btc I can feel it.

elalemiami

In the past parabolas have been broken around 120 bars or 800 and more days. This would confirm that maybe one of the tops (if more than one occurs like in past cycle) might be around second trimester 2025.

elalemiami

This crypto has been so strong this bullmarket that I am not surprised seeing at least a 700 dollars target.

elalemiami

Its been pretty interesting that bull markets have usually last about 1000 days. If we keep with that nature we could see as I mentioned multiple times before tops in 2025 and bottom prices around the last quarter of 2026. I drew what might be the future path of the Gaussian Channel in the upcoming two years. I hope you like it.

elalemiami

On the monthly take a close look at the histogram(momentum). Notice that it usually takes about 26 bars or 793 days to be on the green territory . It seems the lmacd line (blue one) is attempting to reach the upper trend line by next year ~Apr.

elalemiami

As a continuation of breaking that parabola. We can start to speak about correction and then after around 400 days a possible bottom for next bear market lows. As you can see fib levels have been in sequence finding the lows last time at the 0.5 fib level. Next time we might go close to the 0.618 around 40k.

elalemiami

My main idea with all of this is not to be obsessed with price targets, but with BTC momentum. One of the best momentum indicators is LMACD. And we should keep a close eye on the trend of this indicator once it hits the upper band of the LMACD trendline.

elalemiami

Once BTC goes above previous ATH is a good time to start analyzing parabolas. If you look closely once it breaks previous ATH the movent continues ascending in a parabolic move and then braking the pattern to culminate in a lateral correction or bear markets. Lets see this time

elalemiami

The plateau that btc nature presents these days might be invalidated in futures cycle due to mass adoption or dollar weakness. What I still believe is that we should find tops some point in 2025 and finds bear markets lows in late 2026.

elalemiami

Fibs showing when measuring from bottom to top how this levels in sequence have caught the previous tops. See the sequence 0.618 then 0.5 and this time might be the 0.382 resulting in a price target of 140k and in correlation with the LGC.

elalemiami

If this patterns keep playing out we should find topping prices around March 2025. According to previous bull markets price usually tops ~100 and more days before the 616 days of bullish trend.

elalemiami

According to LMACD histogram , we might see a similar bull market duration ~800 days(green histogram bars). LMACD found tops ~100 days before histogram shift to red bars. This might give us an estimate date of peaks around April 2025? Aligning this with the LGC results in a price target of 150k.

elalemiami

Well folks here we are, getting close to the bubble phase. Once we get in contact with the top curve you should be aware that it might reverse. Prepare to take some profits and scoop back in around 40k. Good luck fellas.

elalemiami

If this pattern about the fib levels finding tops around the 0.382 levels proves right next time , we might seeing tops around 177k. You measure it from first top to the third one leaving the second one at the 0.382 level.

elalemiami

First of all congratulations you all , we made it. But this the time to be realistic and stop FOMOing and buying at this zones. It's time for you to start planning ahead how much will you be taking as profits to buy more at the next bear market. Take a close attention at the LMACD and that diagonal spotting past tops.

elalemiami

Note as the CNY/USD broke to the upside and its LMACD line started oscillating above the 0 line which is a bluish sign, BTC started the parabolic phase. We might follow this pattern this time

elalemiami

If we see what BTC did win the past once the dollar started a down trend. I would not be surprised seeing the same this time.