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The dollar index is attempting a comeback, but the 100.20–100.50 zone has so far formed a strong resistance. Today’s jobs report will be key for determining the short-term direction. Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 138k. This could be the last relatively strong report before the effects of tariffs begin to weigh on the labor market. Leading indicators...

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GBPUSD formed and then broke an ascending wedge formation. The dollar appears to be gaining modest ground against key currencies globally. Hessent noted that tariff-related news is expected by the end of today. If the incoming update involves a trade deal with a major partner like Japan, it could further support the bearish technical outlook. If the retest of...

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We discussed the potential battle between bulls and bears near the trendline in our early April post. USDJPY bears ultimately won that battle, and the 140 target was reached. You can view the earlier post here: Following the breakdown, the 140 level acted as support, and now an upward reaction has begun. At today’s meeting, the BOJ held rates steady at 0.50%...

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First, a warning: This is a hypothetical scenario in which gold has made its final top at 3500, and we explore the possible short-term effects of this outcome. Today will be a busy day for gold, with both PCE and GDP data scheduled for release. The remainder of the week is also likely to be more volatile than recent days, with earnings reports from NASDAQ:MSFT ,...

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USDCAD remained relatively calm as Canadian election results began to come in. Mark Carney is projected to win, and the initial reaction was bullish for the Canadian dollar. However, the gains were short-lived, as the victory margin appears narrow. Canada stands at a pivotal moment in its history. The newly announced tariffs will likely deal a heavy blow to the...

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Two pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day. First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion. The second blow came from ASML’s earnings...

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A U.S. judge has found Google guilty of illegally monopolizing the digital advertising technology markets. The monopolization of both the demand and supply sides has been a long-standing concern for the rest of the digital advertising sector. This ruling may significantly benefit The Trade Desk (TTD), as it operates as an independent demand-side platform. The...

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Gold pulled back after testing the 3500 level. A reversal in rhetoric from former President Trump regarding China, along with some breathing room provided by Powell, eased market tensions. Reports indicate that meetings with executives from NYSE:TGT , NYSE:HD , and NYSE:WMT influenced Trump to reconsider his ultra-aggressive stance, as he recognized the...

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Bitcoin is nearing the key 91,000 level. Following the breakout from the trend channel, Bitcoin has been moving as expected, approaching this important zone. The 91k level previously acted as a major support and held through multiple declines for months. Given its historical significance, there is a strong possibility that it will now act as resistance. However,...

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GBPAUD has broken the key support level of a double top pattern. The price is now caught between two important zones: the neckline of the double top, which is now acting as resistance, and the former resistance zone at 2.0725–2.0775, which has turned into support. If this support fails, GBPAUD may continue toward the double top’s projected target near 2.04....

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The S&P 500 is falling, but despite the sharp negative moves in recent weeks, the longer-term trend remains positive. The uptrend that began with the 2020 dip is still intact, and it appears the market has used this trend as an opportunity to buy the dips in the last two weeks. If you zoom out from the current economic turmoil, the broader positive outlook for...

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EURGBP is giving negative technical signals ahead of the Lagarde's press conferance. After Trump announced new tariffs, the euro surprisingly gained against the pound. The U.S. imposed tariffs twice as large on the EU compared to the UK, with a minimum of 10% on UK goods. Despite this, the pound weakened more than expected. However, this move might prove to be...

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Gold has been on a powerful run since breaking above the 2100 resistance level in March 2024. After just one year of relentless gains and a return of over 60%, it has become one of the top-performing assets. But the big question now is: how far can this rally go? To the moon? It's difficult to predict how far prices can climb during these kinds of parabolic...

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Bitcoin has now broken above its downtrend channel, likely signaling the first bullish shift in trend. So far, tariffs haven’t fully impacted economic data aside from inflation expectations, consumer sentiment, and PMIs. The more tangible effects are likely to start appearing in June. With the bulk of tariffs (excluding those on China) postponed for three months,...

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Oil prices are feeling bearish pressure. OPEC was unable to increase production significantly last year to stabilize prices. High interest rates have kept global economies cool enough. However, starting in May, OPEC will begin unwinding its voluntary production cuts. The timing of this decision is questionable. Tariffs are expected to hit global economies hard,...

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Gold has entered a consolidation phase after surging from 2970 to 3245 last week. Ongoing headlines about tariffs continue to fuel global demand, with strong interest seen in China and U.S. However, there are early signs that gold prices may be approaching a short-term supply-demand equilibrium. COMEX inventory data recently showed that, for the first time in...

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The 72,000–74,000 support zone has managed to hold, preventing Bitcoin from dropping to the lower boundary of the trend channel. The current setup now resembles more of a wedge formation, which increases the probability of a bullish breakout. That said, the broader trend remains intact, and until a confirmed breakout occurs, bears remain in control. Another test...

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Silver is undergoing a potential trend change. The previous yellow uptrend channel has been broken, and a new, nearly flat-slightly downward channel (marked by blue lines) appears to be forming. While it may be too early to confirm this as an established trend, the structure is developing with increasing clarity. Silver is now at a crossroads. The former...