jaxdog

jaxdog

NYSE:DELL I got long on this one Feb 14th and I was stopped out just a few days later. I am looking at it again because they are a big supplier for AI hardware needs, and I think they are over sold. (Just because I think that does not make it so.) Here is what I am looking at. Today’s candle is a clear rejection of heading lower (at least for today). If we can...

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I went long NYSE:DE on Mar 5th after it bounced right back over the 50 DMA (red). It had been choppy, so I waited to add to the position until today. Why today? If you look you can see the pattern of the candles kept getting tighter and consolidating around the shorter term EMAs. I had drawn in what felt to me to be a resemblance of a flat base pattern. It broke...

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NASDAQ:QQQ For a bull case, I need to see this get above both the horizontal area of resistance and the downtrend line on this 65 minute chart. It looks like it could be forming yet another bear flag. All TBD. If it breaks the flag down, I would expect another leg lower. So what we have here is a case of do or die. Hope this helps

jaxdog

I have taken a 1/2 size position here on $ROKU. It had a nice big earnings gap and has since pulled back. It looks to me that it is now ready to reverse higher. See notes on chart. I have taken the fact that it broke (just barely) the Downtrend Line and put in what looks to be a reversal candle. My stop will be just below yesterday's low. This is my idea. If you...

jaxdog

I took this long this morning after finding out that there is some insider buying. It looks like it is in a solid uptrend on this 30 minute chart. If this trade works it can run 20% to 30% in just a few weeks. All TBD. My stop is just below today's low. This is my idea, if you like it please make sure it fits with your trading plan.

jaxdog

NASDAQ:QQQ I am stalking a bounce on the Q’s. From an intraday high (all time high) to an intraday low on this chart is about 6.2%. I would expect at least a dead cat bounce in the short term, but the market may not deliver for me. Having said that, I have an alert set on this 30-minute chart on the Downtrend line. “If” that triggers, I will go to a 5- or...

jaxdog

QQQ had a big bearish candle on Friday. If you look left on the chart there were 2 comparable recent days. On Dec 18, 2024, and Jan 7, 2025, both lead to further downside. On Dec 18, the decline before a rally was about 5.3% and the Jan 7 decline was around 4.9%. Friday’s decline was about 2.4%. “If” those declines are any guide, we could expect another 2.5% to 3%...

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NASDAQ:INTC oh how the mighty fall from grace. But so much for nostalgia. INTC has been basing since August 2024 for over 6 months. It looks like it has support around $19. It has tried to get moving a few times but no go. Today it has tested both the longer term and shorter-term downtrend lines (DTL). It is testing today on the news that JD VANCE said AI will...

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AMEX:XBI has been range bound (wide range) for a year. Recently it has been in a downtrend as defined by lower highs and lower lows. However, it looks like we now have a recent higher high and (maybe) a higher low. There are still technical challenges like it is under all moving averages. It would look much better once it gets above the shorter-term MAs which are...

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NYSE:SNOW as of today has tested the breakout / resistance area Six times in the last 9 trading sessions. Today it tried again but it is hard to fight the market trend. However, the more it tests this area the more likely it is to successfully breakout. As always, there is no guarantee that it will or will continue higher. I am long this name at 186.90 and...

jaxdog

The Russell 200 Index is clearly in an established uptrend as you can see on this weekly chart. The CPI number out this morning looks like it will push it back to the lower trendline. If recent history is still intact (it is for now), there may be an opportunity for a long trade on a reversal. All TBD. My plan is to wait for a reversal back to the upside then...

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Boeing had formed a cup with handle formation that it “tried” to breakout from at earnings. That breakout failed but not by much. It broke out again on February 6th and has since been forming what looks like a bull flag. I had an alert set on the horizontal line of resistance (breakout area) and I took a long position with a stop just below today’s low. To...

jaxdog

NASDAQ:QQQ is clearly in a wedging pattern. These types of patterns “usually” resolve in the direction of the larger trend. In this case that trend is still up. This is a news driven market now so anything can happen. I have an alert set at both the top and bottom of the wedge lines. I do not plan to short this market, but should it break down, I may want to...

jaxdog

NYSE:CWAN is a name most of us have never heard of. They serve hedge funds, asset managers, and insurance clients with Analytic software. It looks like it is in the process of putting in a higher low. It has regained the 8 and 20 EMAs and the MACD has turned positive. It can still go either way. There is overhead resistance at both the upper horizonal line on...

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I have been long this name for a few months now in my investment account. I have added more today with a stop on the added position size just below today’s low. There are some very big names in this ETF, it invests in AI learning as well as Quantum Computing. It looks to me to be in a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), more popularly called a wedging pattern....

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Clean Energy (Solar) has been in a downtrend since January 2021! Every time it looks like it is setting up for a stage 2 breakout, it has broken down. Will this time be different? Here is what I see on this chart. TAN was in a clear downtrend until mid-December 2024. Then it challenged its previous high from the beginning of December. That failed BUT, it seems...

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AMEX:ARKK Mark Minervini made famous the VCP as a set-up. It is also simply a wedging pattern that can break either way. However, where there was a previous uptrend, like in this chart, the direction of the break is usually to the upside. The path of least resistance is a continuation of the previous trend. ARKK had a move of over 60% from the Oct 30th low to...

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NYSE:TGI I have had my eyes on this one since the big volume breakout on December 21st. I did not want to chase it, so I have been waiting for a pullback and re-breakout. I have that this morning. See chart for notations. I started a one third size position here with a stop on any close below the breakout trendline. Ideas, not investing / trading advice....