Instead of waiting for NBER to officially declare the confirmation of recession, an alternative way to identify is using the U.S. indices quarterly chart, especially the S&P. Typically, economists call a recession when GDP has declined for two consecutive quarters. A committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is responsible for officially...
A buying strategy in a downtrend. How to identify buying opportunity in a downtrend? Not my preference to buy in a downtrend, but that does not mean we should avoid it when buying opportunity arises. Recognizing it is a downtrend, we keep our buy position short-term; as we are going against the trend. Discussion: Rules in constructing a downtrend parallel...
Discussion: 1. Example on Natural Gas - breaking away from its range 2. Beginning stage of a “Growth” stage 3. Identifying and trading in its uptrend with multiple timeframes Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing...
A typical characteristic of a bull market as seen is its significant highs are higher and its lows are higher. However, the market has confirmed moving into bear when the market broke below the major uptrend on the 3rd week of 2022. Now we could see the Bear is in-charge. And a typical characteristic of a bear market as seen is its significant highs are lower...
Common mistake made using trendline Discussion: 1. 2 rules to draw an uptrend line 2. Primary % secondary uptrend line 3. Common mistake made using trendline 4. Where is its trend now? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and...
2 Rules for Trendline: 1. Identify the significant lows. At least three points 2. Find the best fit among the significant lows We can apply the 2 points to a down trendline analysis as well. Looking-out for the significant highs instead. Gold started its rally after year 2000. We could see it started forming its primary trendline since 2006. Primary...
Discussion: 1. 2 rules to draw an uptrend line 2. Primary uptrend line 3. Secondary uptrend line 4. Time for buy Gold? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and...
Discussion today: 1. Set up with MACD 2. How to tell if the bull is still intact? 3. How to tell if the bull is losing its momentum? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market...