konhow

07:37

konhow Wizard

While many of us celebrate the stock markets reaching new highs, central banks worldwide are actively purchasing gold, and institutions are hedging into treasuries and yields. Interest rates are determined by the central banks whereas Yields are determined by the investors. If you choose to lend or borrow money over a longer period, such as 10 or 30 years, you...

08:23

konhow Wizard

Today, we will discuss how to apply inter-market analysis effectively. While there are numerous analysis methods available, I find comparing the index, an influential stock, and a smaller yet actively traded stock to be effective in projecting what is coming ahead. Let's make some interesting observations in the tech market, focusing on the Nasdaq Index, the...

06:59

konhow Wizard

Just about 1.5 years ago, inflation reached the highest point in recent decades. The January inflation number for 2024 was released on February 13th. Its CPI has improved from 3.4% for December to 3.1%. However, the major US stock indices collapsed more than 1% on the same day. Why is there such nervousness surrounding improved inflation, and what are its...

07:33

konhow Wizard

At the latest FOMC meeting on January 31st, Jerome Powell stated, 'The Fed is not ready to start cutting,' which immediately caused the yield to pivot higher. During an recent interview on Sunday, February 4th, he reiterated that the US central bank is not yet prepared to cut interest rates, resulting in another increase in the yield. Today, we will discuss the...

07:25

konhow Wizard

In January alone, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and other tech companies have collectively cut more than 21,000 jobs. Furthermore, last year marked one of the worst periods in recent memory, with approximately 260,000 tech professionals losing their jobs. Normally, we expect to see cost-cutting measures during a contraction stage, as was the case during the Dot-com...

08:57

konhow Wizard

Whenever we see a divergence, this means they are going through a process of moving apart or deviating from what we are seeing. In this case the US markets, even though it appears to be trending higher, but its activities and especially its transacted volume are telling us otherwise. And what are their implications? My name is Kon How, my work in this channel,...

09:02

konhow Wizard

The recent development of the Red Sea crisis does not suggest that it is going to resolve anytime soon. Which markets have already started moving? And how far will they rise this time? We are going to recap the supply chain crisis during the pandemic and also delve into the current supply chain disruption caused by the Middle East conflict, which has led to the...

07:55

konhow Wizard

The first week of 2024 the US market opened around the high and closed around the low. It is very similar in 2022 and 2023. And what is the market telling us from the first week of 2024 and the direction for the rest of the year? We are going match the fundamental reason with this technical observation over the last two years. Also, what is the key...

08:17

konhow Wizard

If you ask anyone on the street, 'Do you think living expenses and food prices will be higher in a year or two from now?' 9 out of 10 will likely say 'Yes.' This means inflation is still a concern. Risk 1, U-turn in inflation. Risk 2, An expansion in geopolitical tension Risk 3, A delayed recession in 2024 Comex Gold Futures & Options Its Minimum...

07:10

konhow Wizard

During the December FOMC conference, the fed said the appropriate level for interest rate or the fed funds rate will be 4.6% at the end of 2024 from current 5.5%, 3.6% at the end of 2025, and 2.9% at the end of 2026. Many reporters take that as Fed’s hint to cut rate in 2024, but the Fed added saying these projections are not the committee decision or plan. So...

08:15

konhow Wizard

In 1930, when the Fed cut interest rates, the market crashed further. In today's tutorial, we will be comparing the 30s and today’s market to identify some of their similarities. Where exactly are interest rates’ direction pointing us? As we may have read, many analysts are forecasting that there will be a few rate cuts in 2024. Is this the best option? My work...

08:11

konhow Wizard

Global inflation often signifies a weakening of global currencies. The question of whether Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against a depreciating dollar has gained significant interest among investors. Or should it still be the Gold? In this study, we will analyse the top 8 cryptocurrencies to determine which one is a more reliable currency hedge. Bitcoin & Its...

06:29

konhow Wizard

Why has gold broken above the $2,000 level? And why is it likely to stay this way for a long time? This is because the USD has been weakening since October, and we can observe an inverse relationship between them during this period, as well as in previous periods. Micro Gold Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Code: MGC Disclaimer: • ...

konhow Wizard

Gone are the days of passive investing, but mid-term trading could be the solution. The term passive investing was first made famous by Warren Buffet, who once said, 'If I like a stock, I will hold it forever.' However, in recent years, he has been seen cutting losses on his wrong decisions and taking profits when he finds the time is right. The dynamic of the...

10:16

konhow Wizard

Video tutorial: • How to identify downtrend and uptrend line • How to draw parallel channel correctly • Confirming a change in trend (using trendline itself) • Managing positions with parallel lines - Profits - Risks - Knowing its volatility Micro Natural Gas Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation 0.001 per MMBtu = $1.00 Code: MNG Disclaimer: • ...

08:44

konhow Wizard

This video tutorial discussion: • What is QE and QT? • Each impact to the stock market • The latest QT, how will the stock market into 2024? Dow Jones Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $5.00 Code: YM Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $0.50 Code: MYM Disclaimer: • What presented here is...

08:33

konhow Wizard

This video tutorial, we will learn the difference between: • Interest rates and yield • Healthy yield curve and an inverted one and • The risks and opportunities with a prolong inverted yield curve (since March 2022) Micro Treasury Yields & Its Minimum Fluctuation Micro 2-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) =...

06:46

konhow Wizard

U.S. equities are unsuitable for passive investors since 2022 and onwards, and likely many more years to come. In this video tutorial, we explain the reasons why and how we can re-strategize our investment. Trading into Nasdaq - E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Code: NQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq and Options: Minimum...