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SPX Since 1975 Channels

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GS IBD

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GOOGL IBD

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AAPL IBD

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BT IBD

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DTED IBD analysis

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VOD IBD

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S IBD analysis

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IBD study

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QE and Fiscal stimulus already distort the Economic business model cycle proposed by Armstrong.

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Judge by the level of commodities indexes and oil price correction depth level, we already had a financial crisis. now fiscal stimulus and QE can serve as a ICU, cover the real situation of a person.

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Minor correction line, uncertainty event drive as main reason. (Brexit, Election) it's interesting that in a bullish trend, market follows a log channel nicely. (previous 3 cycles)

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Will it be able to touch the upper channel line before have another correction?

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US Financial sector Bank relative growth vs 10y-2y yield spread you can see the high correlation between the two.

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ISM PMI vs US dollar index, tend to negative correlated

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XLE still a big drag in cyclical.