Famous American Author Alfred Paul Ries once said, “Good things happen when you narrow your focus”. Global macro conditions and monetary environment could make that quote apt for US equity market investing too. Given the backdrop of price behavior, this case study argues that a spread trade comprising of Long Dow Jones Index and short S&P 500 index provides a...
The red metal is widely regarded as a barometer of global economic health. Despite thin investments in production in recent years, copper prices have been bullish since June this year. Anticipation of China re-opening from Covid linked restrictions and less than expected inflation prints in the US have fueled a near 15% rally in copper prices over the last two...
Crypto winter is here. Is this the darkest before dawn? Or the start of a long artic winter ahead? In such nebulous times, directional bets are rife with risks. In contrast, spread trades vastly lowers risk while enabling limited but durable returns. Set against the current macro backdrop and landscape shift in the industry, this case study will argue that...
Fundamentals combined with its track record during recessions; Gold is set to outperform S&P 500 in 2023. S&P 500 faces uncertainty in the new year given higher rates for longer hurting both equities and bonds, nudging investors to alternative stores of value. Against that backdrop, this case study argues for a spread position of long Gold and short S&P 500 with...
BACKGROUND Bitcoin (BTC) price has been in decline for the past year with price crashing as much as 20% on a single day in June. Still, the low set of $17,750 on 18 June (Saturday & hence unseen on CME chart) has turned out to be a resilient support level. BITCOIN PRICES RESILIENT RELATIVE TO S&P500 (SPX) and NASDAQ-100 (NDX) NDX and SPX with which BTC is...
Silver commands value both as a precious metal and an industrial metal. Silver is often considered as a poor man's gold. According to the Silver Institute, Silver is used in solar cells (also known as photovoltaic cells which convert sunlight into electricity), electrical switches, and chemical-producing catalysts. Its unique properties make it nearly impossible...
SUMMARY Lowered demand projections for Crude Oil as per IEA and OPEC+, softer demand for Crude Oil in China despite partial loosening of restrictions as per EY, the G7-Russian Crude price cap which would lower demand for WTI Crude. We are short-term bearish on WTI Crude Oil. However, it should be noted that there may be very limited downside in price as the...