mohemati

mohemati

The chart can talk for it self I'm pretty sure about it. But lets dive into more detail and see what confluences we can find to back up our trading idea... 1- Price is getting very close to structure point means it used to act as support before but now shifted to a resistance 2- Also the area can be considered as a static and classical resistance area, since it's...

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look where price is one more time at an area where rejected clearly twice before plus it's a structural point too ( it use to be support but changed to resistance ) if you look at the left side of the chart. this cluster of resistance add to the importance of the area. But the thing is matter most is not to rush into a trade as we have CPI news today and depends...

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Two important factors that been driving Dollar prices in last several month as we all know is Federal Funds Rate and Inflation data like CPI. In this week we have both of them coming out on Tuesday and Wednesday, now we want to see how it can affect the market. Price usually tend to be at important resistive or supportive areas at the time of important news hit...

mohemati

As we discussed before in #JPYBASKET analysis ( you can see it in related ideas ) we believe JPY is aiming for higher prices due to technical and fundamental analysis, and in order to take advantage of this move we can sell other currencies against JPY. Price currently in EURJPY pair is moving down and has formed bearish channel in 4H timeframe which can be...

mohemati

Since JPY index shown potential upside move and already break above a bearish Daily channel as well as forming a reverse Head & Shoulder formation it gave us the idea of to be looking for a shorting opportunity on different JPY pairs like CHFJPY. If JPY index keep going up to reach its one to one Head & Shoulder target projection then we can expect any upside...

mohemati

Price clear bearish structure in 1H timeframe, price shows reaction to structural point ( previously acting as a support but now its acting as a resistance area ). Now for a short position we need price to comes up one more time and reject from the area and forming a kind of toping formation like double top which is possible in lower timeframe to be able to...

mohemati

Price has been trapped in a rangy market for quite some time, but as it can be seen finally managed to break the consolidation area to the downside which means more downside move can be followed. this kind of formation base on DOW theory area called line formation and by the way they are considered as very important when they break to the one side. As it can be...

mohemati

Price has formed a V-TOP chart pattern formation as you can see in 4H timeframe and also managed to close below 4H low which means that our structure now turned to bearish again. due to V-TOP formation price formed a bearish engulfing candle in Daily timeframe which is a strong signal for bearish move and also as we can see we are in overall in bearish move so we...

mohemati

In order to analyze EURUSD move we can use intermarket analysis as well, and as you can see for a past couple of month we have high positive correlation between EURUSD and TLT ( US 20 year treasury bond ETF). Right now that price has been trapped in a rangy area for a Days, we can say for a breakout of any side we need to see confirmation from TLT as well. which...

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Head and shoulder definition: A simple head and shoulders top formation is characterized by a peak representing the left shoulder, followed by a higher peak which is referred to as the head of the formation. A lower peak representing the right shoulder is found on the right‐hand side of the head. The head should be the highest peak in the formation. The...

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yesterday red candle was not only a retest to a broken bearish channel upper line, but also head and shoulder neckline. in addition to these two confluence we should be aware that JPY index suffers a lot through past month during rate hike cycle of central banks and fall massively like never before. But now that we have some confluences that we are close to end...

mohemati

take a look at where price currently is sitting on and the long term resistive cluster around price... price at the moment is testing a bearish weekly channel resistance line and also at weekly high which means if the downtrend in weekly scale wants to resume price cannot close above this high. although that price can whipsaw above it but it can't close above...

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As you can see in the chart bearish impulsive move followed by a corrective bullish move which shows price intention of moving lower after completing its corrective move. now in this case we need to be looking for an area where corrective move may end. for a bearish move to resume price need to take out enough liquidity in order to move down, as it can be seen in...

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4H bearish market structure as it can be seen in the chart, price just below an important structural point where price bounces up and down several times and shows that the area is important for traders. there are 2 areas that price can tap into and reject from, one of them is a local top in recent price bullish corrective move, price can take out liquidity from...

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price 4H timeframe bullish structure move, followed by a lower timeframe bearish corrective move which brought price close to static support area and shows price intention of more upside move. for taking a buy position we need: 1- price tap into the supporting area 2- see some bullish move in form of engulfing candle which shows that buyers are in the market. 3-...

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Price closed below an important low on Friday as it can be seen in the chart, also there is a clear 4H timeframe bearish structure which leads us to believe that now we can wait for a corrective move towards the 2 key highlighted areas to sell oil again. remember if price can close above the arrow it means there is a good chance for price to retrace all the way...

mohemati

price bearish impulsive move broke market structure as well as short term bullish trendline to the downside. price is now below 1H, 30M, 15M EMA 200, and in last hour price formed a bearish engulfing candle which shows that sellers are now into the market after a short term bullish corrective move. now that we have different confluence for bearish scenario we...

mohemati

contractionary monitory policy on one hand and full storage of European countries to cover the winter put pressure on energy commodities like oil, Natgas and etc.. from technical point of view we are in bullish corrective move after massive impulsive Daily bearish move which took out the Daily low. Price on the way down formed measuring gap which also got filled...