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oh92

"What the Yield Curve and Fed Moves Mean for Your Next Trade." Historically, when the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate while the yield spread is negative (also known as an inverted yield curve), it has often been an indicator of an impending market correction or recession. Let’s break this down: Historically, the bond market is a key indicator....

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Similar to cryptocurrencies and equities, the bond market is often considered speculative. While fixed-income securities such as bonds are generally perceived as a safer investment, recent volatility has cast doubt on this assumption for some investors. Bonds: In general, the price of an existing bond exhibits an inverse relationship with its yield. When...

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Though I long term bullish on Bitcoin, my opinion remains unchanged from my former analysis in 2022. In which I believe the crypto market remains in a prolonged correctional wave. Since the initial analysis, interest rates have risen dramatically, mid/low cap equities have continued to bleed, and I myself believe crypto has yet to enter the next bull cycle....

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With the world economies weakening, interest rates rising, equities tumbling, and inflation running rampant; I have been forced to generate a few panic support levels for BTC. The chart above illustrates a ratio analysis study of the major corrections from the 2013 and 2017 Bitcoin highs. By extending the ratio's of the former corrections we are able to generate...

oh92 Updated 

Like predicted in my previous article, since the very release of the Coinbase IPO, "COIN", Bitcoin has yet to test new highs. Consequently, Bitcoin is nearly 45% from the April 13th high, and has spent the last 18 days consolidating into what appears to be a pennant. Generally, pennants have a higher probability of a continuation than a reversal. However, this...

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Despite how bullish this crypto run has been; One can't help to question the possibility of the Coinbase IPO release marking an intermittent top. Looking back at the 2017 bull run, the CME Future release marked the top of the of the crypto market for some time; Post-futures release was then followed by several painful years of consolidation. It wasn't until 2020...

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If you're not the first to fomo, you're probably too late. - A grueling lesson learned over the years. Though Bitcoin is at a new high, there is even more chance of a correction! Fractal from the 2017 rally shows after BTCUSD made a new high 15% above the previous, price action was followed by a correction to the 0.382 fibonacci level. Supporting this, median...

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Joe Biden Tax Plan Topics: ☐ increase capital gains tax ☐ elimination of step-up basis ☐ elimination of the 1031 exchange As the 2020 presidential election comes to an end, many are wondering what Joe Bidens' Tax Plan could do to the asset markets; By looking into his tax plan, we may have a couple of hints. As many know, democratic nominee, Joe Biden plans to...

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This is a very simple analysis based on ratio analysis. Based on the last several waves down ADA saw a 81%, 80%, and most recently, a 79% retracement. These ~80% retracements were then followed by a 150% and 132% bounce. Therefore, if this pattern continues we should expect ADA to make a nice run to the 800 sat level. Coming to about a 100% return from the 400...

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As the Coronavirus continues to spread throughout the globe without any cure or treatment, researchers have been left with nothing but data to help predict and counter the disease. This being a novel virus, even our data sets are tremendously lacking. We must make do with what we have, and 4 months into this global pandemic it seems that Italy has been taking the...

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The channel displayed above is one of the most pre-historic channels in Bitcoin's history. It's first intersection was back in Nov, of 2011 with a second touch in Aug, 2015 which conceived the channel. IF someone would have used this channel back in the 2017 rally, they would have been able to successfully call the top of 20k. For almost a decade now, this...

oh92 Updated 

After nearly a 40% drop from the retest of the bearish pennant at 10k, Bitcoin is now setting on the trend line that supported the 6k level back in 2018. So far, BTC has actually broken below this level, and has since seen roughly a 10% bounce so far putting us back above. However if history repeats itself, which it often does, this historic trend line should...

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Based on a basic rule of thumb, if the .786 or greater retracement is hit after a significant bull or bear trend it is expected that a reversal has taken place. BTCUSD just so managed to hit the .786 after its 2018 low of 3100. Therefore based on this rule, BTC has entered an unconfirmed bull trend. Keeping this in mind, it would be wise for fib traders like...

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ETHUSD is currently getting squeezed between several major Daily EMA levels. These being the 100 and then higher up 200 EMA which are acting as major resistance. Then we have the 50/20 DEMAs which are acting as support. These Daily EMA's have not been this tight for several months. Which once there is a close above or bellow these levels, it is generally a...

oh92 Updated 

Since this massive spike it seems the bullish sentiment is expanding quickly. Which is excellent. Bullish sentiment is something that we need in order to continue the run up. However, when taking a closer look at the recent leg on larger time frames. It appears to be nothing other than a simple retest of the major resistance line down, and the bottom of the...

oh92 Updated 

After the recent break of the descending triangle formed from the recent high of 13.5k to the baseline of 9k, BTC seems to be forming a very similar pattern to the bottom formed after the 2018 bear market. The chart above displays the possible fractal on the BTCUSD pair. Both of the deceasing triangles show several similarities, with the most recent one is...

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Ethereum is currently facing a major resistance level which is serving as a neckline for the ETHBTC pair! IF Ethereum were to break the neckline at .0225 satoshi it would further confirm an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern that appears to be forming. Support Analysis: Based on the Gods Envelope Cloud, ETHBTC has successful performed a trend change on...

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After over a 300% run up this year, Bitcoin is finally starting to show some major signs of weakness. The last couple weeks of consolidation have been brutal, showing weaker bounces and increased signs of selling pressure by breaking down trendlines that have been in place all year. The two most recent key things to consider is the .236 retracement level has...