


I have my doubts the rally will last, however if they get over the previous highs it is likely going to 5700+
Markets did sell off last night and the VIX did start breaking up, so I believe another leg down is upon us. However, the chance for a C wave rally from the lows is possible, so caution is necessary.
quick overview after the close. I wasn't happy with the pump at the end of the day but I still lean bearish for some reasons I discuss.
Quick update. The market is acting as it did during the last balance area.
The market needs to make a decision to either follow through or trap last minute bulls from yesterday.
Things I'm seeing post market. I still lean bearish but a gap up tomorrow would negate my idea.
market has to make a decision here as it has reached targets on SPX and the VIX
A small bounce at open is expected but lower into the rest of the day to complete the pattern is likely as of now.
The pattern seems to be a WXY (abc X abc) I expect a low Monday with a good bull trapping bounce, but then a lower low at the end of the week.
Some ideas for the week ahead. I do think we'll bottom this week, but maybe not Monday. However, I think eager buyers will support price on Monday no matter how bad the gap down may be. Best not to rush in in my opinion.
18 monthly ma being at 535 on spy makes me feel like a flush to there on Monday is quite possible. The C wave idea is being negated as of now in favor of another 5 wave move to 535.
qqq has filled it's gap, spy hasn't Some megacaps are at strong support, where usually buyers would step in. No guarantee this reverses. Monday may be a flush to 535 on SPY
Market is coming down hard, but I believe it is a C of B with a large C wave to 5900+ next. Good luck!
Today or Monday should be a low. The possibility of a move up after open to squeeze out shorts before a larger down move is there.
An overview of all the indexes I follow. Most are showing indecision after today.
Update on the trade I believe it is winding up to break down hard.
My feeling here is we are finishing a B wave down in the next day or two and then a C wave up to 5900 +. I explain the structure and RSI on SP500
Possible bounce here, technically it looks feasible. If overnight is a bounce, we may have a C wave into Friday. It's very uncertain here.