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scheplick

Mar 10

Here's a line chart of the Nasdaq-100 ETF QQQ since the recent plunge started. It has been relentless selling. While I could tell you all about the 10% correction and all that other jazz, I just want to share this line chart that is essentially going straight down. I think there are essentially three ways to play this: 1. Do you wait for one capitulation event...

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Mar 7

The market took a beating over the last two weeks or so. Everything except for a few defensive sectors was hit hard. After all the selling, I am looking around and asking: where are some dip buys? I've come up with a list of a few names, but for this chart specifically, I have zoned in on two different companies of industry and size: TSLA and FIVN. I'll start...

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Mar 3

I've written quite a bit that stock picking is back. That active management of undiscovered names can finally lead to alpha again. I think we are seeing that take place with the recent performance of value stocks compared to the leading indexes. While the Nasdaq has dropped nearly 2% this year at its worst during the most recent drawdown, the Vanguard Value ETF...

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Feb 20

Sometimes, trading is boring. The same can be said for investing as well. I first got interested in Bandwidth when AI was starting to emerge about 2+ years ago. I found their approach and AI product interesting because they quickly started building voice at scale for AI products by providing the "piping" to quickly connect AI interfaces to voice applications...

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Feb 19

The charts above highlight Klaviyo and Reddit. The first thing I must say is I am not long either of these companies. I am simply using them as a barometer to spark some research. What I find interesting about both of these names is the way they have marched to all-times and being somewhat new companies to the market. Both have IPO'd within the 12-24 months....

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Jan 24

I always find it fascinating to study stocks that have "returned from the dead" and made comebacks no one saw coming. I'll be the first to admit this: while I get some trades right, this one I got completely wrong. I thought Meta was on its way out in so many different ways. In fact, during its most recent crash in late 2022/23, I thought the final nail in the...

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Updated  Jan 21

This chart, tracking the performance of PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL , Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN , Block NYSE:SQ , and Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD over the past year. I think the chart offers a captivating glimpse into the potential return of a sector that has gone through a fairly large downturn, and drawdown, but continues to show resiliency. I should add that this is also an...

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Jan 21

Building on my series about stocks making some fairly epic comebacks off their lows, I now want to talk about SoFi, which I know many follow. SoFi, was at one point down 85% from its highs and was in the dumps. It was considered a failing bank. However, it would appear that as I've been writing, emerging from the great Covid post-crash are companies that have...

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Jan 17

I must say, I am finding it increasingly fascinating to revisit companies that skyrocketed and subsequently crashed during the post-COVID boom of 2021 to 2023. The explosive growth of that period was driven by an unusual combination of factors, creating a perfect storm that sent valuations soaring and then crashing. I have now written about this a few times, but...

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Updated  Jan 13

In my new 2025 project, I’m sharing charts with annotations on major risk assets right here. Since the correction started in December, I’ve been marking key levels on the S&P 500 and have updated the chart again with today’s price action. Comparing today’s levels to the chart from earlier this week, it’s clear that patience has been the right approach. The...

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Dec 23, 2024

I noticed that Nordstrom is making headlines today as the Nordstrom family moves to take the company private, effectively "buying it back" from public shareholders. I find this fascinating and may add it to one of my themes for 2025: more small and mid cap companies will leave public markets and go private. What is Nordstrom's doing? The strategy involves...

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Dec 11, 2024

The charts of companies like Applovin, Carvana, and Twilio are all companies that, at one point, were high flyers during the 2020/21 bull market. However, they are also poster child's for its subsequent collapse. But then again, pay close attention to the charts that I've shared here... something is brewing. Applovin: A Sudden Vertical Surge Starting with...

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Oct 13, 2024

While many investors spend weeks or even months searching for the next big AI stock, a company from a different sector has quietly taken the spotlight since the start of the year. With Mediterranean rice bowls as their signature offering, CAVA has surged to a market value of $15 billion and has become one of the top-performing stocks of the year up 200% since its...

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Sep 27, 2024

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) has essentially crashed. I think many of us know this story, seeing it across cities and towns across the country. However, based on the recent price action, who knows how much longer this will last. It currently trades at 25+ year lows. Here are a few key reasons why Walgreens stock is in a free fall: 1. E-Commerce Growth:...

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Sep 25, 2024

You often hear about equity markets at all-time highs, and some of the excitement in crypto, but today I just have to showcase the recent move in gold. Gold is at an all-time high today and remains the most valuable asset in the world by market cap. Here are some stats and facts: Gold's Market Cap: Valued at over $12 trillion, gold is the most valuable asset in...

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Aug 7, 2024

When market volatility spikes, I see many traders start talking about volatility instruments like UVXY, VXX, and UVIX. Yes, in the moment, these symbols may spike a bit, but over the long-term, and as clearly shown on the chart above, they appear to do only one thing – go down. So, I am writing this post to try to help any traders/investors out there interested in...

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Jul 30, 2024

Ladies and gentlemen, traders of all ages, today I am sharing an idea about 3D printing stocks trading at remarkably low levels considering the following points: 1. They've been through several "hype cycles" already. 2. They've been improving the tech for 10+ years now. 3. But most importantly, generative AI is about to unlock ridiculously powerful capabilities...

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Jul 29, 2024

The other day I was scanning for stocks hitting 52-week highs (or in other words, their highest price in 12 months' time) and noticed that several private equity stocks appeared on this custom scan that I was performing. The stocks were KKR, Blackstone, and Apollo Global. I found a few things interesting about this that are worth discussing and looking into more...