Hours to Go: Will ECB Cut Rates?
The euro zone economy flashed modest signs of life earlier this week, with a series of indicators suggesting tepid but still growing activity for a region that has narrowly avoided recession for over a year.
However, the numbers are possibly unlikely to deter the European Central Bank from moving forward with a rate cut on...
Oil Oversold? Middle East Risks Remain
Oil prices are cooling off as concerns over the nature and scale of Israel’s retaliation to Iran become known. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated to the Biden administration that they will be targeting military rather than oil nor nuclear facilities.
Israel could be keeping oil-related targets as a...
Gold's recovery faltered on Monday as the U.S. dollar surged to a nine-week high, curbing upward momentum for the precious metal. The greenback’s strength was bolstered by the euro’s decline, which fell for the 11th time in 12 sessions as investors price in a 25-basis point rate cut from the European Central Bank this Thursday.
Despite this, geopolitical...
UK inflation is forecast to dip below the key 2.0% threshold this week, according to economists monitoring the country’s inflation.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
Morgan Stanley analysts anticipate a larger-than-expected decline,...
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde signaled that weaker-than-expected inflation will be on the agenda at the central bank’s October meeting next week. This has fueled speculation that policymakers could move to cut rates again.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to...
Bank of America (BofA) anticipates that the European Central Bank (ECB) will reduce interest rates more aggressively than what is currently reflected in the EUR/USD.
This expectation is driven by doubts surrounding the ECB's estimate of the neutral rate and shifting savings and investment patterns within the Euro Area.
Even so, the EUR/USD has dropped to a...
At its October meeting, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points, lowering it from 5.25% to 4.75%, in line with expectations.
The NZD/USD pair deepens its decline, falling below the crucial 100 AND 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A clear break could set the stage for a move toward the psychological...
HBO’s documentary Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery, airing tonight at 9:00 p.m. EST, is expected to present compelling evidence on the identity of Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.
Speculation surrounds figures such as Hal Finney, Nick Szabo, Adam Back, Len Sassaman, and David Kleiman, with Sassaman emerging as the frontrunner on prediction market...
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to slash the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points this Wednesday, a move that's adding pressure on the New Zealand dollar.
A Reuters survey of 28 economists reveals that 60% anticipate the central bank will deliver a half-point cut, while market pricing suggests near-certainty of such a decision. Major...
The Israeli military warned that its response to Iran’s missile attack would be “serious and significant,” as Goldman Sachs forecasted that oil prices could surge by $20 per barrel if Iranian production is disrupted.
Daan Struyven, Goldman’s co-head of global commodities research, stated on Friday that a "sustained drop of 1 million barrels per day" in Iranian...
Israeli officials are considering how to respond after an Iranian missile strike on Wednesday, which caused little damage, but definitely had the potential to do so.
Their next steps could depend on the U.S. stance. President Joe Biden reaffirmed U.S. support for Israel but made it clear on Wednesday that he would not support Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear...
Stocks in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hong Kong took off last week and continued their climb on Monday, posting their best single-day rally in 16 years. This surge came after several announcements from Beijing aimed at boosting the country’s economy.
But now, The Shanghai Stock Exchange will be closed from Oct. 1 to Oct. 7 for China’s National Day celebrations, and...
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are projected to rise by 140,000 in September, matching August's pace and pushing the three-month average job gains to the weakest level since mid-2019. The NFP data is due this Friday.
At the same time, a major labor disruption is underway. Dockworkers at 14 key ports, handling roughly half of U.S. trade, have launched an indefinite...
Mexico makes history today as Claudia Sheinbaum becomes the country’s first female president. With nearly 35.5 million votes—representing close to 60% of the electorate—Sheinbaum secured more votes than any president in Mexican history.
Since the election, the Mexican peso has declined by around 13%. Recent price action has moved sideways as markets assess...
The Gold-Silver Ratio (XAU/XAG) measures how many ounces of silver are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, providing a clear example of the relative performance of each metal.
Bank of America (BofA) has argued there could be an opportunity to short gold against silver at its current ratio of 83.50, targeting a move down to 78.50 or 75.00, with an upside stop...
Democrat Tim Walz and Republican JD Vance are set to clash next week in the sole U.S. vice presidential debate, an opportunity for both candidates to bolster their running mates’ platforms ahead of the crucial November 5 election.
For the exact date and time of major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in...
The New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) has slipped below its 25-day exponential moving average (EMA) and could potentially test the 50-day EMA next. But, can sellers maintain the momentum and push further into bearish territory?
Kiwibank is betting on more downside due to faster and deeper rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). However, their initial...
Gold is set to face two major US economic data points this week, following last week’s surprise 50-basis-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve: U.S. GDP figures on Thursday and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on Friday
Danielle DiMartino Booth of Quill Intelligence argues the Fed’s larger-than-expected cut signals concerns over potential...
