RBC Global Asset Management has warned that the U.S. dollar appears significantly overvalued. The firm points to the ballooning U.S. budget deficit—now forecast to surpass $1.9 trillion this year—as a key factor behind its bearish outlook.
RBC's position might be reflected in the FX market with the USD/CAD under pressure. The pair has been forming lower highs...
Elon Musk publicly criticised Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” as a “disgusting abomination” that would explode the U.S. deficit and “bankrupt America.” The bill is projected to add $2.5 trillion to the U.S. deficit over 10 years.
Musk claimed Trump wouldn’t have won the 2024 election without his support, calling the backlash “such ingratitude.”
Musk then...
President Trump expressed challenges in negotiating trade with China's President Xi, while EU–US trade talks progressed positively in Japan. Scheduled discussions in Washington are set for June 5th to 8th, amid new 50% US tariffs on steel and aluminium and China’s potential Airbus jet order.
In economic data, eurozone services PMIs improved, with mixed results...
Gold has climbed following softer-than-expected US economic data, which has strengthened speculation for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. ADP employment figures showed just 37K new jobs, well below the 111K forecast.
President Donald Trump, posting on Truth Social, called on “too slow” Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates immediately.
The...
The “TACO trade” – short for “Trump Always Chickens Out” – originated in equity markets but is equally relevant in forex. The pattern is simple: Trump signals aggressive tariffs, markets react and then reverse when the threat is walked back.
One example: In May 2025, the U.S. dollar weakened sharply after Trump announced a 50% tariff on EU imports. EUR/USD...
The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates again this week, marking its eighth consecutive reduction as policymakers attempt to support sluggish growth across the eurozone. Markets widely anticipate a 25-basis-point cut, which would bring the deposit rate down to 2.00%.
EUR/USD is testing the upper boundary of a triangle formation visible on the...
US equity futures are well bid ahead of the North American open, with S&P 500 minis up over 1.1% and the Nasdaq up 1.7%, partially driven by Nvidia's strong results and a US court ruling declaring some of President Trump's tariffs illegal. This has boosted risk sentiment by potentially supporting consumer spending and economic growth, although uncertainty remains...
XAUUSD could potentially be presenting a multi-timeframe bullish bias, with the trend analyzer indicating strong uptrends from M30 through H4, and a weaker uptrend on the D1 timeframe.
The price has moved above the 20, 50, and 100-period exponential moving averages (EMAs), potentially suggesting strengthening short-term momentum. The 200 EMA near $3,254 has held...
GameStop has disclosed a $500 million investment in Bitcoin, marking its first significant move into the crypto space.
The video game retailer is sitting on $4.76 billion in cash and hasn’t disclosed a limit on future purchases.
GameStop shares fell 10% following the announcement, while Bitcoin pulled back toward $107,000. A 14% rally would be needed for BTC...
The parent company of Truth Social, Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT), on Tuesday announced a $2.5 billion capital raise to build a Bitcoin treasury.
The announcement coincides with Bitcoin 2025, the largest Bitcoin-focused event of the year, currently underway in Las Vegas. Despite the bullish signal from Trump Media, shares of the company closed down...
Asian markets have shown mixed performance on this Monday. Treasury Secretary Bessant announced plans to relax the supplementary leverage ratio this summer, potentially lowering government borrowing costs by enabling banks to trade more treasuries, while dismissing concerns about rising US bond yields.
However, US fiscal challenges persist with deficits over 6%...
The U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief.
GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are...
Gold recently broke above a descending trendline and reclaimed the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $3,333.05. The bullish momentum now faces resistance near the 0.618 retracement at $3,366.29 and the $3,389.94 zone (0.786). A clean breakout could open the way toward the $3,440–$3,507 area, aligning with the 1.0 and 1.618 Fib extensions.
The rally follows rising trade...
EUR/USD is struggling to hold above 1.1250 after a modest bounce from recent lows near 1.1220. On the 4-hour chart, price remains capped below the 9-period SMA, with RSI hovering near neutral at 40 and volume showing persistent selling pressure. The technical setup points to a fragile recovery that has yet to gain conviction.
This comes as Credit Agricole...
Apple has confirmed it is actively exploring a redesigned web browser across iPhone, iPad, and Mac with a focus on AI-powered search. The potential shift away from Google as the default search provider on iOS devices, poses a direct risk to Alphabet’s search business.
Alphabet shares fell $14.11 (-8.54%) to $151.09 USD on the news, breaking below the 50-day...
The Taiwan Dollar surged more than 5% against the U.S. dollar on Monday, briefly pushing USD/TWD below the 29.00 mark.
The two-day rally—totaling nearly 10%—is the sharpest in over three decades. But Taiwan isn’t alone. A broader wave of U.S. dollar selling has lifted several Asian currencies, including the Singapore Dollar, South Korean Won, Malaysian Ringgit,...
The US dollar is demonstrating some resilience despite recent setbacks, perhaps with the market focusing on the upcoming Q1 GDP data which analysts have downgraded to expect a contraction against a consensus forecast of 0.2%. Meanwhile, the dollar looks set to put in its weakest monthly performance since November of 2022 despite what had been some reports of...
Gold prices have stabilized today after experiencing an earlier decline that represents the fourth dip down to the $3260 level over the past few sessions. The repeated defense of this support level could indicate strong buyer interest at these prices.
Recent reports suggest an easing of trade tensions which might be weakening demand for gold. But have tensions...
