On Monday, January 27, reports showed China’s manufacturing activity contracted for the first time in four months, with the PMI dropping to 49.1 from 50.1 in December. The decline was attributed to the Lunar New Year holidays, as factory production slowed due to worker absences.
Given China's role as Australia's largest trading partner, particularly for...
Following stronger-than-expected EUR PMI results, EUR/USD surges this Friday, posting over 2.30% weekly gain to trade around 1.0515, though it is facing resistance near 1.0525. This recovery follows Monday's Jan. 13th low of 1.0177, the lowest price level since November 21, 2022.
The dollar showed notable weakness in the cause of the week, with the dollar index...
Markets are eagerly awaiting Friday, January 24, 2025, as highly significant economic indicators and news are expected to have a strong impact on the EUR/JPY pair and its medium-term direction. What are these data and news, and how might they affect the markets?
Key Developments in the Eurozone:
In addition to ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech, the...
As markets adjust to the new U.S. administration, “a dawn of a new era," DXY recovers after Trump’s inauguration. After experiencing a decline of over 1%, the index found support around 107.56 and is now trading at 108.40 as of 3:43 PM GMT+4 (Dubai time), marking a 0.61% increase.
From a fundamental standpoint, President Trump's second administration is...
POTENTIAL IMPACT OF THE FED'S TWO TIMES RATE CUTS ON BTC IN 2025
With the Fed now projecting two rate cuts in 2025, down from the previously expected four, markets may interpret this shift with various implications for riskier assets like Bitcoin (BTC). Lower interest rates typically increase market liquidity by making borrowing cheaper, potentially driving more...
How will inflation data impact gold price movements?
All eyes are on gold prices during today's trading, as significant volatility is expected with the release of U.S. inflation data. This is due to the negative correlation typically seen between the U.S. dollar and gold. However, it's important to note that this negative correlation is not always sustained. At...
Traders are closely watching the USD/CAD pair as labor market data from both the United States and Canada are set to be released today. Forecasts suggest a decline in Canadian employment change from 59k to 24.9k, accompanied by a rise in the unemployment rate from 6.8% to 6.9%. In contrast, U.S. non-farm payroll data is expected to show a decrease in job creation...
The US Dollar Index started 2025 with an increase of about 0.79%, which drove several currencies to decline to their lowest levels, including the British Pound, which continued its downward trend and touched 1.23527, its lowest level since April 2024.
The decline of the GBP/USD pair and the formation of a new low below 1.24774 confirm the bearish momentum of the...
The GBP/JPY pair is trading in an overall upward trend on the medium and long-term, forming higher highs confirming the bullish momentum and higher lows that maintain the bullish trend.
The pullback occurring in this pair is considered corrective for the upward trend, and the level of 195.114 is considered as a potential bullish point for a renewed rise to...
Following the recent Federal Reserve meeting, where expectations for 2025 interest rate cuts were adjusted from three to two, the US Dollar Index surged by approximately 1.28%. But what are the technical scenarios shaping its next moves?
On the daily chart, the US Dollar Index remains in an overall uptrend, recently hitting a higher peak at 108.071. The daily...
What’s next for Bitcoin? On December 17th, just about a week before Christmas, BTC reached an all-time high of $108,364, coinciding with the election of former President and President-elect Donald Trump. However, it seems Bitcoin might be surrendering last week’s gains as bearish momentum takes center stage during this festive period.
Several fundamental factors...
FUNDAMENTAL VIEW
It’s a quiet week on the economic calendar as the holiday spirit takes center stage, but gold remains in focus. What moves lie ahead for the precious metal?
From a fundamental perspective, the FED’s recent 25bps rate cut, paired with a cautious stance on future rate changes, has influenced gold prices. Furthermore, softer U.S inflation data for...
FUNDAMENTAL VIEW
Later today, markets will focus on U.S. PMIs, with manufacturing PMI forecast at 49.4 and services PMI at 55.7. On Tuesday, at 5:30 PM GMT+4, key data releases include USD core retail sales and retail sales, expected at 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively.
On Wednesday, December 18, the spotlight will be on the Fed funds rate decision, with markets...
FUNDAMENTAL VIEW
On Monday, December 16, 2024, Eurozone data showed mixed results. French manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations, recording 41.9 compared to a forecast of 43.2, while service PMI improved to 48.2, surpassing the 46.9 forecast. Similarly, Germany reported manufacturing PMI at 42.1 against an expected 43.1, while service PMI outperformed,...
Markets Await Q1 US GDP Data: Insights and Implications
Q1 GDP data is set for release on Thursday in the US, providing a crucial measure of the economy’s performance. Gross domestic product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific period. As a broad measure of overall...
Bank of Japan is expected to Keep Interest Rates Steady
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates steady this week and consider whether to offer clearer guidance on how it plans to reduce its huge balance sheet, in a slow but steady retreat from its massive monetary stimulus.
At the end of its two-day meeting on Friday, the BOJ is expected to keep its...
After the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, the markets are now awaiting the reaction of the US Federal Reserve. The Fed is set to announce its decision on interest rates today at 10:00 pm Dubai time. Currently, US interest rates are at their highest level in 23 years, at 5.5%.
Recent job data, which showed an...
ECB Expected to Cut Rates for the First Time Since 2019
Two years ago, the European Central Bank (ECB) was criticized for being late to the party when the world’s major central banks began raising interest rates to combat the fiercest inflation surge in a generation. But it looks like the central bank won’t be late when it comes to cutting them.
The European...
