Market analysis from Capital.com
A Two-Step Filter to Find the Ones That Actually Matter We’ve all seen them. Long wicks, tight bodies, price rejecting a level. The classic pin bar. Textbook stuff, right? But here’s the problem. Pin bars show up all over the chart. Some lead to clean reversals. Most do absolutely nothing. The trick isn’t spotting them. It’s knowing which ones to trust. This...
Investors wanted Elon Musk to double down on EVs. Instead, they got a new political party and another reason to sell the stock. Musk vs Trump: A Fight Investors Didn’t Ask For Tesla’s latest sell-off has little to do with earnings or electric vehicles. Shares dropped 6.8% on Monday after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new US political party,...
A Practical Guide to Figuring Out if What You’re Doing Is Actually Working There comes a point in every trader’s journey when you stop asking “what indicator should I use” and start asking something much more important. Is what I’m doing actually working? It’s an honest question. When the P&L has been chopping sideways or dipping red for weeks, it’s easy to...
Nvidia has powered to new all-time highs, reclaiming its title as the world’s most valuable company. The move is being driven by a blend of AI-fuelled optimism and technical resilience. AI spending is alive and well After a rocky start to the year, Nvidia’s resurgence has been fuelled by a sharp rebound in confidence across the AI ecosystem. At the company’s...
Gold has pulled back to a key technical level, despite a mix of conditions that would usually support higher prices. This signals a potential shift in how investors are positioning for risk, inflation, and growth. Gold Ignores the Playbook You’d be forgiven for expecting gold to be higher. The past week saw softer US dollar action, rising bets on interest...
“Execution is everything.” It’s a phrase you’ll hear time and again in trading circles, and for good reason. Having a solid strategy is important, but it means very little if you can’t stay focused enough to follow through. One moment of hesitation, one distracted click, and the edge you worked so hard to find can vanish in an instant. Focus is the gateway to...
Crude oil’s conflict-driven rally may have run its course. After surging into resistance last week, Brent has now reversed sharply on signs of de-escalation in the Middle East. Ceasefire Hopes Trigger a Sharp Reversal Last week we highlighted that crude oil’s rally on the back of the Middle East conflict had taken the market right into a confluent area of...
Last week’s surge in crude oil following the escalating conflict in the Middle East sparked a wave of momentum buying as traders responded to the rising risk premium. But with prices now testing a key technical barrier, let’s take a look at whether this rally has legs or if it’s already starting to fade. Escalation Risk Remains, but Has the Market Overreacted?...
With the greenback under pressure, we take a look at EUR/USD, which has just formed an inside day pattern at key resistance. As both macro headwinds and high-impact data loom, the next breakout or fakeout could set the tone for the week ahead. Dollar under pressure ahead of high-stakes week The dollar is reeling after Donald Trump reignited global trade...
When it comes to analysing market structure, sometimes less is more. That’s where line charts come into their own. While most traders default to candlestick charts, switching to a simple closing-price line chart can offer a clearer, cleaner view especially when you're trying to quickly assess trend direction, swing highs and lows, or key turning points. This...
Oil is back at a key level. After a two-legged recovery from May’s lows, Brent crude is now pushing into a heavy resistance zone that traders will be watching closely. Let’s take a look at what’s driving the move and why this area could matter. Production Lags Behind the Promise OPEC’s production rose in May, but not by as much as the latest agreement had...
The FTSE 100 finds itself at a crossroads. After an impressive V-shaped recovery from the April lows, the index has spent the past two weeks compressing beneath a well-established resistance zone. Tension is building and we’re left asking the critical question: will this be a great shorting opportunity or the start of a trend leg higher? Is a Breakout or...
As we start a new trading week, let’s take a look at EUR/USD across multiple timeframes. Weekly EUR/USD has broken above a major resistance zone defined by the highs from both 2023 and 2024. That area was retested and has now held, with price starting to build above it. The RSI is climbing steadily and remains below overbought territory, suggesting there’s...
These companies all beat on the top and bottom lines—and crucially, they raised guidance too. In other words, they didn’t just exceed expectations, they increased them. Microsoft (MSFT): AI Momentum Meets Financial Muscle Microsoft delivered across the board, with strength in all segments and standout growth in Asia—the region that’s fast becoming the beating...
EUR/AUD has been one of the standout crosses to watch this year, with the pair carving out a strong uptrend. After a steady pullback, prices are now sitting at trend support—and the market is asking whether this is simply a pause in the move, or the start of a deeper shift. To answer that, we’ve taken a closer look at both the cross and its component parts. ...
Gold markets are navigating another week of heightened volatility. After a bullish start on Monday and Tuesday, XAU/USD reversed course on Wednesday, with sellers regaining control. The precious metal faced strong rejection at the $3,430 level—an area that also acted as intraday resistance in April as gold attempted to break through all-time highs. Monday’s surge...
USD/CHF has broken down from a long-term range — and is now retesting that breakdown area as the market weighs diverging macro signals. With safe-haven demand lifting the franc and improving US data supporting the dollar, this is a classic battle between structure and sentiment. Flight to Safety vs Improving US Economic Data The initial break lower in April...
Spotify heads into this week’s earnings update with a solid tailwind behind it, both in terms of financial performance and share price strength. After rebounding sharply from the recent Trump tariff sell-off, the shares are now trading within touching distance of their highs. Big Expectations The market is expecting another strong set of numbers from Spotify...